Ian Posted July 24, 2012 Author Share Posted July 24, 2012 SPC makes me hot DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS TO FORM WHICH COULD TRACK FOR LONG DISTANCES ONCE DEVELOPED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 last 3 posts are solid for radar watching skills Only weather skillz I've got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 24, 2012 Author Share Posted July 24, 2012 tornado warning in WV! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Hello! BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 1155 AM EDT TUE JUL 24 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHWESTERN MINERAL COUNTY IN EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA... NORTHEASTERN GRANT COUNTY IN EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA... * UNTIL 1230 PM EDT * AT 1150 AM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS OVER CENTRAL GARRETT COUNTY...OR 9 MILES WEST OF WESTERNPORT...AND WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... KITZMILLER... SULPHUR CITY... EMORYVILLE... MOUNT STORM... MOUNT PISGAH... ANTIOCH... BISMARCK... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 SPC makes me hot DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS TO FORM WHICH COULD TRACK FOR LONG DISTANCES ONCE DEVELOPED. Hopefully it is not like yesterday where absolutely nada formed lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 24, 2012 Author Share Posted July 24, 2012 Link? https://twitter.com/#!/search/derecho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Speaking of radar hallucinations, there is a sprinkle going up between Youngstown and Pittsburgh, right where and when the HRRR wanted to start our late afternoon storms. OTHER CU OF INTEREST WERE ACROSS NERN OH NEAR THE COLD FRONT. ADDITIONAL CELLS MAY FORM HERE AND TRACK SEWD WITH A HAIL AND WIND THREAT. You can't contain the HRRR! (But evidently you can stop it since it hasn't run for 3 hrs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 That storm by Youngstown OH exploded quick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 1" hail in Accident,MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Guess I should delay my trip back to Boston this afternoon to see these storms, SPC is quite gung ho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 https://twitter.com/.../search/derecho I think this guy is onto something Luis Pedro :3 @ValdesLuis_ & todos tenemos derecho a amar & ser amados *fin* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 SPC makes me hot DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS TO FORM WHICH COULD TRACK FOR LONG DISTANCES ONCE DEVELOPED. Need a minute or two to yourself? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi[/url]By my count, this is the 10th "Derecho threat" since the Derecho. Sort of like missing a snowstorm, then trying to get it back with nxt 1 If that's not the pot calling the kettle black, I dont know what is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Long track supercells?! WTF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 24, 2012 Author Share Posted July 24, 2012 Need a minute or two to yourself? if we get more formation in an area that can get us, probably Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 if we get more formation in an area that can get us, probably I'm guessing that with that meso discussion wording that the 30% gets pulled farther north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 If that's not the pot calling the kettle black, I dont know what is. lol nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormDude81 Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 SPC makes me hot DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS TO FORM WHICH COULD TRACK FOR LONG DISTANCES ONCE DEVELOPED. Tornado Warning in WV, explosive storm devlopment possible, maybe we could see a tornado watch for PA/WV/MD/VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 24, 2012 Author Share Posted July 24, 2012 I'm guessing that with that meso discussion wording that the 30% gets pulled farther north. possible.. tho not sure we'd get widespread enough for that. front is still pretty far north though. these debris clouds are not necessarily helpful. might see torn risk bumped to 5% over WV.. not as sure about here, kinda marginal overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 possible.. tho not sure we'd get widespread enough for that. front is still pretty far north though. these debris clouds are not necessarily helpful. might see torn risk bumped to 5% over WV.. not as sure about here, kinda marginal overall. Looks like we'll be getting an 18z balloon out of LWX to help us determine the cloud/earlier sprinkle impacts on the atmosphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Perfect timing for MoCo. they just cleaned everything up from the last derecho so they are ready for today's http://silverspring.wusa9.com/news/news/115074-montgomery-co-completes-derecho-debris-pick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Mmmmm. Right movers moving due south.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Mmmmm. Right movers moving due south.. What does that mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 1630 OTLK has 2% TOR and 30% wind nudged sightly north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 SPC update... SB SATL IMAGERY SUGGESTS AIR MASS WAS COMPARATIVELY MORE STABLE EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS WITH THE LEE TROUGH POSITION FARTHER E THAN NORMAL...NAMELY FROM ERN MD TO ERN NC. EARLY MORNING STORMS N OF THE MASON-DIXON LINE DID NOT PERSIST E OF THE MOUNTAINS AND THIS HAS ADDED CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ON CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION THIS AFTN/EVE. IT IS LIKELY THAT STORMS WILL INITIATE ALONG THE LEE TROUGH WITH POSSIBLE ADJUNCT ACTIVITY OVER THE UPR OH VLY/ALLEGHENY MOUNTAINS THEN MOVING ACROSS NRN VA/ERN MD TO ERN NC BY LATE THIS AFTN/EVE. REGION WILL RESIDE WITHIN A 40-50 KT WNW H5 WIND MAX WITH 0-6KM SHEAR MORE THAN SUPPORTIVE OF INITIAL SUPERCELL STORMS. ACTIVITY WILL ATTAIN A GROWING COLD POOL WITH CONGLOMERATING STORMS LIKELY PRODUCING DMGG WINDS ALL THE WAY TO THE COAST OF MD/VA/NC THROUGH THIS EVE. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 What does that mean? It's just that you don't see it too often.. Usually with supercells you have a low level jet from the south with westerly winds atop. Here we have a westerly low level flow with NW winds atop. If you look at the hodograph it's similar to the classic supercell shape except its turned clockwise 90°. Thus when a right mover develops, instead of tracking E or slightly S of E, today their tracking S or just W of S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 HUGE amt of lightning in that svr warned cell by LWX in the Mineral/Hampshire/Hardy counties area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 That bowed out line coming into W WV looks nasty, it's moving fast...most of the warnings are on it's southern most point though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Watching storms in WV moving southeast is pretty boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 24, 2012 Author Share Posted July 24, 2012 tempting to get the meh out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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