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End of July 2012 obs/discussion


Ian

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Are you heading over seas?

The flight to LHR is the only over seas flight our crappy airport has but it does leave at 920.

I forgot about that lovely flight to Berlin that just started twice a week on air Berlin, we are a hotbed of international flights.

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The flight to LHR is the only over seas flight our crappy airport has but it does leave at 920.

I forgot about that lovely flight to Berlin that just started twice a week on air Berlin, we are a hotbed of international flights.

Yeah I know and Condor airlines is the new one. You got aways to go to catch up with IAD LOL

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Yep to london

Yeah you will get out, Intl flight just about always gets priorities. You will get out ahead of the line of storms as you are heading NE. You may encounter some turbulence as you climb out and get over Long Island, nothing major though. Have a great trip

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Yeah you will get out, Intl flight just about always gets priorities. You will get out ahead of the line of storms as you are heading NE. You may encounter some turbulence as you climb out and get over Long Island, nothing major though. Have a great trip

Thanks!!

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1619

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0806 PM CDT THU JUL 26 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR EASTERN WV/NORTHERN VA AND MD TO DE/SOUTHERN NJ

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 528...

VALID 270106Z - 270230Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 528

CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SEVERE TSTM WATCH 528 CONTINUES UNTIL 05Z...WITH ISOLATED

DAMAGING WIND/SMALL HAIL POTENTIAL CONTINUING TO SLOWLY SHIFT

EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE DELMARVA VICINITY THIS EVENING.

OVERALL SEVERE THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE TO BECOME MORE

ISOLATED/MARGINAL THROUGH LATE EVENING.

DISCUSSION...A BROKEN CLUSTER OF TSTMS CONTINUES TO SHIFT

EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE DELMARVA/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS SPINE

THIS EVENING IN VICINITY OF A SOUTHWEST-NORTHEAST

ORIENTED/OUTFLOW-REINFORCED EFFECTIVE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. LINGERING

SEVERE POTENTIAL...IN THE FORM OF ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND

PERHAPS SMALL HAIL...WILL LIKELY REMAIN FOCUSED ACROSS FAR NORTHERN

VA AND CENTRAL/NORTHERN MD INTO SOUTHERN NJ/NORTHERN DE IN THE

SHORT-TERM /THROUGH 01Z-03Z/. THE 00Z OBSERVED SOUNDING FROM DULLES

SAMPLED A HOT/VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS /5000 J PER KG MLCAPE/ JUST

SOUTH OF THE EFFECTIVE FRONT...ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT LOW-MID

TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES /NEAR 40 KT 0-6 KM SHEAR/ FOR CONTINUED

EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD PROPAGATION OF SUSTAINED MULTICELLS CAPABLE OF

SPORADIC WIND DAMAGE ACROSS THE DELMARVA.

WHILE COMPOSITE OUTFLOW WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY REFOCUS STORMS

SOUTHWARD ACROSS NORTHERN VA/ADJACENT DELMARVA...STORMS MAY

OTHERWISE STRUGGLE TO CROSS THE APPALACHIANS SPINE FROM EASTERN WV

INTO WEST-CENTRAL/SOUTHWEST VA. ALONG WITH MORE MEAGER VERTICAL

SHEAR...THE 00Z OBSERVED SOUNDING FROM ROANOKE VA WAS INDICATIVE OF

A SOMEWHAT DRIER/WARMER ALOFT THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE.

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That was the forecast posters in this subforum were pointing towards for here in the June 1st outbreak as well. At least our area came much closer to meeting 'potential' with 12 tornadoes. But, as has been pointed out, that was a lot of gear-up for an event where the vast majority of us never saw any severe weather.

Well since we are all weather lovers I guess its to be expected but unfortunate when the other side is mocked. Saying squall lines were usually more interesting last night drew some of that..

I see some lightning!

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Yeah I know and Condor airlines is the new one. You got aways to go to catch up with IAD LOL

Right my bad Condor Air, IAD has more flights per hour going international than we have the entire year. It is such a pain in my ass going to IAD every time i go international. I have actually started using PHL much more often it is about the same distance from my house as IAD and in rush hour it is actually shorter to get there.

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Right my bad Condor Air, IAD has more flights per hour going international than we have the entire year. It is such a pain in my ass going to IAD every time i go international. I have actually started using PHL much more often it is about the same distance from my house as IAD and in rush hour it is actually shorter to get there.

Not bad for you then, PHL is way worse with delays over IAD. PHL is a traffic nightmare flying into and out of there.

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