Ian Posted July 26, 2012 Author Share Posted July 26, 2012 Ian ftw Thx for skipping the 70/30 no storms but that might still be good... Haven't looked much this am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazess556 Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 It seems there is no real trigger mechanism over the region. CAPE values will climb to around 3,000 J/kg region wide and inhibition is very weak. There is good shear with SRH values above 300 for the most part, and inverted V profile. But, just lacking the trigger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Thx for skipping the 70/30 no storms but that might still be good... Haven't looked much this am Was trying to stay positive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 my threads bring moderate risks to the region. WATCH FOR MY THREADS!!! Well if you sew anything, just don't let it unravel. Right now the moderate is to our north. My POPS is 30%, should I get excited than the meh I'm feeling for the slight risk? A retired met wants to know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Ian and Yoda are my severe barometers. When they get excited, I'll start watching. I'll pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Well if you sew anything, just don't let it unravel. Right now the moderate is to our north. My POPS is 30%, should I get excited than the meh I'm feeling for the slight risk? A retired met wants to know It's 3rd & 18. Not punting yet, but I'm not thrilled with the opportunity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 26, 2012 Author Share Posted July 26, 2012 Well if you sew anything, just don't let it unravel. Right now the moderate is to our north. My POPS is 30%, should I get excited than the meh I'm feeling for the slight risk? A retired met wants to know I still getthe impression it's a bit CYA down here but impressive lines like to build south so not sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 I knew this would be a slow start to a hot day, but damn, 77.6 at my house as we approach 10am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 I still getthe impression it's a bit CYA down here but impressive lines like to build south so not sure. Shhh, I like being under a mod risk so I'm hoping it pans out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 I'll pass gas. No thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 26, 2012 Author Share Posted July 26, 2012 Shhh, I like being under a mod risk so I'm hoping it pans out At least we don't have to pray for a tornado outbreak like those in the 5% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 26, 2012 Author Share Posted July 26, 2012 I knew this would be a slow start to a hot day, but damn, 77.6 at my house as we approach 10am. So much for 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 So much for 100 an I thought we were a lock to get to 100. I better stick to winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 I knew this would be a slow start to a hot day, but damn, 77.6 at my house as we approach 10am. what a debockle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 an I thought we were a lock to get to 100. I better stick to winter. silly high clouds ruining everything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 26, 2012 Author Share Posted July 26, 2012 an I thought we were a lock to get to 100. I better stick to winter. guidance was about as hot as you'll see it a few days out.. Kinda tapered since but even last night it looked possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 my threads bring moderate risks to the region. WATCH FOR MY THREADS!!! Your threads bring all the storms to the yard And they're like It's better than yodas Damn right it's better than yodas, I can teach yoda, But I have to charge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 26, 2012 Author Share Posted July 26, 2012 NAM says at least I'm not mapgirl. edit: and lol ^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WoodbineWX Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Your threads bring all the storms to the yard And they're like It's better than yodas Damn right it's better than yodas, I can teach yoda, But I have to charge I'm usually just lurking, but this^ cracked me up. lol, you guys are good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 NAM says at least I'm not mapgirl. edit: and lol ^ Nothing like watching a line of storms approach and then fall apart as they reach you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 NAM says at least I'm not mapgirl. edit: and lol ^ 015h-021h are a kick in the groin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 I hope it doesn't rain. I need to mow the lawn today (for the first time in six weeks). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 an I thought we were a lock to get to 100. I better stick to winter. 22°C at 850 on IAD's sounding this morning. We should be able to shoot up now that the sun is coming out, but 20 degrees from 10am is a tall order. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 015h-021h are a kick in the groin Seems about right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Seems about right If that is not telling I don't know what is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 People are rooting for 100 today? WTH? Thankfully, clouds this AM have slowed the heating ... so far. Currently 82F. Unfortunately, we've already matched yesterday's high temp at only 10:45 AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Pesky Pesky clouds, especially for Md Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Pesky Pesky clouds, especially for Md I'm starting to see a few specks of sunshine through the trees i my backyard. Hopefully the clearing comes in fast. Not that we can expect much anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Sun peaking out here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 I'll take the clouds and leave the storms for another day........I don't care to have another 100 degree day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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