yoda Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 SPC doesnt seem to like Friday for us for any severe... 5% probs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Maybe we get lucky? This is at 8pm tonight... if anything does make it in... would be around 10pm or so one would think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Interesting.. SPC goes SLGT for entire LWX CWA... must admit I am a bit surprised... prob a conditional SLGT... but we shall see. MOD is Mason-Dixon line north.... no TOR probs... hail probs are 15% basically along a line from BWI to DCA to CHO and northwest of there... wind is 15% for all... but 30% wind isnt that far away... skirts extreme NW portions of LWX CWA... prob just NW of FDK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Only got down to 76 this morning and very muggy outside. Nearby airports are 80 and 77. That's unusual for this area. It's going to be an ugly day to be outside today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Hi-res models can't decide on where to put the storms... just gonna have to let it fly and see what develops today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 71 and a breeze, downright pleasant out right now. I don't see us making the 100 run. We will have good WAA today, and given that and the 850 temps we would generally be game, but I'm guessing there will be too many clouds around by late afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Is this as close as we come today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Im being reminded of winter today, where SNE gets all the weather and we have to just sit and watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 69 out under a pretty decent cloud deck. Not sure any of that rain to my W will stay together but none the less went out and covered up the patio furniture. I don't want soggy cushions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Ummm I'm now in the edge of the updated Mod risk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 06z high res nam definitely drops the storms a little further south than they did yesterday. Areas in the updated mod risk now see some action around 11pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 ...Parts of LWX are indeed in the moderate. Okay then lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 ...Parts of LWX are indeed in the moderate. Okay then lol Why would I lie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 06z high res nam definitely drops the storms a little further south than they did yesterday. Areas in the updated mod risk now see some action around 11pm Wow...that big line goes POOF on the HI-RES NAM. Impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Picked up 0.25" from this breezy thundershower. What is unusual is that the temp has actually risen a couple of degrees during the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Why would I lie? Never thought you were - But I didn't think they'd do it lol Woo storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Never thought you were - But I didn't think they'd do it lol Woo storms? All good, I'm surprised too but it seems the models have been shifting things slightly south. Mark seems ok with SPCs update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Why would I lie? Because all women lie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Interesting that they moved MOD into N MD... 30% wind DC with 45% hatched not far away... interesting... remnant MCS may provide boundary for later storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Interesting that they moved MOD into N MD... 30% wind DC with 45% hatched not far away... interesting... remnant MCS may provide boundary for later storms? NO storms for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 NO storms for you. I am just a bit surprised MOD risk is tha far south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 NO storms for you. Aside from the dorcho thing, that's been the story of summer for Yoda and me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 All good, I'm surprised too but it seems the models have been shifting things slightly south. Mark seems ok with SPCs update You will repeat the storms of Tuesday. Mark my words. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 I was expecting more discussion, guess its still early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 26, 2012 Author Share Posted July 26, 2012 Looks like they are talking more segments and have put us under at least 30% wind. Me > SPC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Looks like they are talking more segments and have put us under at least 30% wind. Me > SPC 1630z outlooks is critical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 I was expecting more discussion, guess its still early Until Yoda starts posting BRN's and SWEAT's I'm uninterested Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Until Yoda starts posting BRN's and SWEAT's I'm uninterested Ian and Yoda are my severe barometers. When they get excited, I'll start watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 26, 2012 Author Share Posted July 26, 2012 Ian and Yoda are my severe barometers. When they get excited, I'll start watching. my threads bring moderate risks to the region. WATCH FOR MY THREADS!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 I think it's probably a little bit of a hedge on the southern end. But, the environment should be generally supportive if we can get anything to fire or if for some reason a complex tries to elongate south. I would expect more multiple line segments tomorrow as opposed to a derecho but maybe I'm missing something. I guess the squall line of doom. Not much precip on QPF but line clips MD. I wouldn't be surprised to see the 30% shifted over us at least. Not sold we get much or anything but it might be too close to ignore. Ian ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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