mattinpa Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Yup http://www.meteo.psu...op.html#picture Still, 6 or 7 of them give precip to the northern mid-Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 I count 7 out of the 12 that are along the same track as the op or west of it... yeah, I was wondering what number system was being used Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 yeah, I was wondering what number system was being used If anything, it seems to me there are handful of far OTS outliers that have kept the mean from being even closer in... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 If anything, it seems to me there are handful of far OTS outliers that have kept the mean from being even closer in... ya....there are 3 Members that are so severely out to sea that nobody gets nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 The euro is not bringing up hours on the site i get it from...will let you guys know when it comes out.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Hmmmm First the 2nd event looks to hit eastern va and lwoer md eastern shore hard perhaps the most of any region secind YES the 12z gfs are west and more amplifed so things look much improved from being 100% out to sea true... and I still think this is unlikely to be a significant hit for DC/Baltimore but the trends on the 12z GFS and GGEM were a step in the right direction. I am skeptical but at this range there is always a chance that the models are not getting the final solution correct and things will change. They could just as easily change for the worse though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Its started out to 24hrs now.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 For the thursday-friday event. Has .10-.25 from baltimore-just south of DC. .25-.50 for Central Va Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 For the thursday-friday event. Has .10-.25 from baltimore-just south of DC. .25-.50 for Central Va How can the .1-.25 run through baltimore which is due north of DC and then run south of DC? Sorry not trying to be difficult just confused. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 How can the .1-.25 run through baltimore which is due north of DC and then run south of DC? Sorry not trying to be difficult just confused. .25 line runs through DC I think is what he means Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 .10-.25 for central nc and .25-.50 north nc.....looks to be all rain. This is for the thursday-friday event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 For the thursday-friday event. Has .10-.25 from baltimore-just south of DC. .25-.50 for Central Va Richmond gets .38 for the event Looks like total for IAD is .14 for 18z and 00z DCA is also .14 BWI is .10 1-2 inches for DC is a good bet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Richmond gets .38 for the event Looks like total for IAD is .14 for 18z and 00z DCA is also .14 BWI is .10 1-2 inches for DC is a good bet Thanks Ji, how do you get specific liquid output for the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 .25 line runs through DC I think is what he means This...sorry......... The line is just south of Dc....and the .10 run through baltimore...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Thanks Ji, how do you get specific liquid output for the Euro? Accuweather MOS for the EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 78 HRS there is almost NO sort wave at all in the STJ None... a flat fast slow with a weak flat low east of sc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 78 HRS there is almost NO sort wave at all in the STJ None... a flat fast slow with a weak flat low east of sc What are your thoughts on this solution by the euro, a flat flow with no amplification? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 78 HRS there is almost NO sort wave at all in the STJ None... a flat fast slow with a weak flat low east of sc 96hrs weak low about 300 miles east of HSE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Wow on the Euro. Not sure I buy it..but it is a bit of a red flag. no STJ wave? none? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Wow on the Euro. Not sure I buy it..but it is a bit of a red flag. no STJ wave? none? la nina ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Richmond gets .38 for the event Looks like total for IAD is .14 for 18z and 00z DCA is also .14 BWI is .10 1-2 inches for DC is a good bet caution for RIC, however at the end of the 6 hrs when Euro puts out .3", 850 temp is +1C Norfolk is, of course, even warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Wow on the Euro. Not sure I buy it..but it is a bit of a red flag. no STJ wave? none? I would be discounting anything (of consequence) if all we had was the GFS/NAM, but Canadian suggests we should maintain interest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 wonder if that sw bais of the euro is affecting how it is handking s/w in STJ as it comes into the sw states ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 wonder if that sw bais of the euro is affecting how it is handking s/w in STJ as it comes into the sw states ? DT, I recall somebody posting last night about where the energy is that will play (or will not play) a role in this potential system. When will the piece of energy be over an area where we can consider it a decent sampling zone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 wonder if that sw bais of the euro is affecting how it is handking s/w in STJ as it comes into the sw states ? That short-wave looked a little stronger on initialization - with a second vorticity contour? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Wow on the Euro. Not sure I buy it..but it is a bit of a red flag. no STJ wave? none? At this time I'm going to say the sparse data on that energy over pacific is leading to flat flow depiction on euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 DT, I recall somebody posting last night about where the energy is that will play (or will not play) a role in this potential system. When will the piece of energy be over an area where we can consider it a decent sampling zone? The s/w should be over CA for tomorrow's 12z sondes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 The s/w should be over CA for tomorrow's 12z sondes Thanks! So I guess although the signs may look grim right now I should hold judgement a bit longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 Did we ever get confirmation that the UKMET was way OTS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fameso Posted December 15, 2010 Share Posted December 15, 2010 NAM vs. GFS out to 84 hours... GFS NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.