griteater Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 How are winters classified in terms of ENSO strength? Below are a few examples. In these examples, I'm using the following scale: +0.5 to +0.9 SST Anomaly for weak El Nino, +1.0 to +1.4 for moderate El Nino, and +1.5 & above for strong El Nino. Also, I'm using the latest ONI from the CPC. 1. Winter 1951-1952...the El Nino peaked in Sept/Oct/Nov at +1.2, then fell to +0.6 in DJF and +0.4 in JFM. Does this winter get categorized as moderate because it peaked at +1.2, or is it considered weak since the value fell down into the weak range during the winter months? 2. Winter 1987-1988...the El Nino peaked in Aug/Sept/Oct at +1.6, then fell to +0.7 in DJF and +0.5 in JFM. Similarly, does this winter get categorized as strong because it peaked at +1.6 in ASO, weak due to the winter month readings, or some combination of both? A second question would be regarding the scale used for the strength classification. Above, I've used a 0.5 scale for weak/moderate/strong. I've seen others consider +1.2 as the low threshold for a moderate El Nino. In that case, what is considered the low threshold for a strong El Nino....and which scale is more widely used? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QVectorman Posted July 20, 2012 Share Posted July 20, 2012 http://ggweather.com/enso/oni.htm Jan has them all categorized with an explanation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted August 4, 2012 Author Share Posted August 4, 2012 http://ggweather.com/enso/oni.htm Jan has them all categorized with an explanation I like the approach taken with the ENSO classifications on that site. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aljareer Posted August 19, 2012 Share Posted August 19, 2012 Climatic phenomena in the Mathematical Sciences is divided into two sections: 1- Statistic. example : el nino/la nina ... 2- Dynamic. example : mjo . Arctic vortex .... we must expand the circle of monitoring the climate. Misconceptions about El Nino : http://www.climatewatch.noaa.gov/article/2009/can-we-blame-el-nino/2 thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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