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Chicago 2012 Record Watch


Chicago Storm

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25th might be the next date to watch?

12z Euro says yes, but actually to the 24th mainly. Models shifted south pretty substantially, probably seeing that the Arctic air mass won't be as easy to kick out. The Euro has a very nice baroclinic zone across the LOT CWA with that wave. From +2 at 850 in central IL to -11 along the WI state line.

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I'm at 8 inches.... Just slightly less sucky that Chicago, thankfully I had 3 weeks with snowcover that lasted through the holidays.

Very rare for me to be beating you as we near mid-winter (12.4"). Then again LAN is only at 5.8"!

Both craptastic... Just slightly less.

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You know me, normally I'd find a way to disagree. But with it essentially refusing to snow at ORD this winter, I'm inclined to agree.  

 

 

It's certainly within reach...I think we typically average like 16-18 inches from here on out so we still have some work to do.  If we don't do it this year, it will be depressing to know that it can still get worse.

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It's certainly within reach...I think we typically average like 16-18 inches from here on out so we still have some work to do.  If we don't do it this year, it will be depressing to know that it can still get worse.

 

lol

 

Well, like I posted before. Better draw the shades...

 

1912-13: 19.1"

1913-14: 28.2"

1914-15: 19.0"

1915-16: 26.1"

1916-17: 23.7"

1917-18: 64.1"

1918-19: 28.7"

1919-20: 32.2"

1920-21: 9.8"

1921-22: 11.5"

1922-23: 21.5"

1923-24: 27.6"

1924-25: 18.9"

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I'll always take the 10"+ event. 

 

I probably should clarify.  If it was a precursor to an arctic outbreak or well below normal temps, I'd probably agree with you.  But 10" of snow followed by normal early April, late March, temps...nah, having the big dog record would be more memorable for me, plus I'd have whining and complaining rights. 

 

One nice thing about the '08 March cmh storm was we had unusually cold temps for a couple of weeks following it.  So in spite of higher sun angle and time of year, the snow cover managed to stick around for an amazing length of time.

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I'd bet the house that they manage to not break the record especially around half the winter left, all they need is 8.6" with snow in the forecast.

The snow-hole around Chicago this winter is certainly something I cant ever recall seeing before. Its insane. But still, with just over 50% of the snow season to go, I have to have huge doubts they will not get 9 inches or so.

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There is quite a difference between below normal snow and what is going on in chicago.

 

FEATUREGRAPHIC012013.jpg

Most of the snow in the other places came either on Dec 20th or 27th, which leads me to believe that even with one modest storm most of the needed 8.6" to pass the current futility mark will come with some system.

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I probably should clarify.  If it was a precursor to an arctic outbreak or well below normal temps, I'd probably agree with you.  But 10" of snow followed by normal early April, late March, temps...nah, having the big dog record would be more memorable for me, plus I'd have whining and complaining rights. 

 

One nice thing about the '08 March cmh storm was we had unusually cold temps for a couple of weeks following it.  So in spite of higher sun angle and time of year, the snow cover managed to stick around for an amazing length of time.

If a futility record is in reach (or perhaps even a top 10), typical late Mar/Apr snow will certainly draw the ire of some hoping Chicago breaks it, because its just all too common to have some tack-on snow that time of year that melts very quickly. Detroits all-time snowstorm (24.5" in Apr 1886) was completely melted in less than 1 week. Your run of the mill 2" or less April snows often dont last the day. If Chicago is out of futility's reach (which I think they will be) it wont matter, but if not, watch out. NYC has snowfall records to the 1860s, and in 1997-98 they were primed to break their all-time low snowfall record (like 2 inches from 72-73 I believe) with a few tenths total on the season, and a 5-inch surprise snow at the end of March ruined it, and didnt even last the day on the ground.

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Most of the snow in the other places came either on Dec 20th or 27th, which leads me to believe that even with one modest storm most of the needed 8.6" to pass the current futility mark will come with some system.

Yes. It certainly has been an odd season in that we have been without our nickel and dimes (today notwithstanding), most of the snow came in a Christmas-week thump here (and a pre-Christmas week thump to our west).

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Updated...

 

Many new records still continue and a new record set for latest 3.0"+ total seasonal snowfall.

 

Days Since Last 1.0"+ Calender Day Snowfall:
1. 333 - 1/22/2013
2. 319 - 1/6/1940
3. 315 - 12/07/1958
4. 307 - 12/03/1921
5. 305 - 1/15/2002
6. 303 - 1/07/1944
7. 302 - 12/09/1988
7. 302 - 11/16/1927
9. 299 - 12/29/1990
10. 298 - 12/23/1918

Days Since Last 1.0"+ Snow Depth:
1. 331 - 1/22/2013
2. 313 - 1/06/1940
3. 302 - 1/07/1944
4. 296 - 12/12/1988
4. 296 - 12/14/1946

Latest 1.0"+ Snowfall:
1. 1/22/2013
1. 1/17/1899
3. 1/16/2002
4. 1/15/1890
5. 1/14/1937
6. 1/11/1983
7. 1/8/1944
8. 1/7/1940
9. 1/6/1913
10. 1/5/1994

Latest 1.0"+ Snow Depth:
1. 1/22/2013
2. 1/16/2002
3. 1/8/1944
3. 1/8/1940
5. 1/7/1913
6. 1/2/1987
7. 12/31/1923
8. 12/30/1998
9. 12/26/1933
10. 12/25/1993
10. 12/25/1984

Latest 2.0"+ Total Seasonal Snowfall:
1. 1/22/2013
2. 1/16/2002
3. 1/15/1890
4. 1/14/1937
5. 1/12/2012
6. 1/8/1944
7. 1/7/1940
7. 1/7/1913
9. 1/5/1994
10. 1/4/2004

Latest 3.0"+ Total Seasonal Snowfall:

1. 1/22/2013

2. 1/21/1937
3. 1/18/1913
4. 1/16/2002
5. 1/15/1890
6. 1/12/2012
7. 1/11/1983
7. 1/11/1924
9. 1/8/1944
10. 1/7/1940

Latest 4.0"+ Total Seasonal Snowfall:
1. 2/10/1944
2. 2/4/1937
2. 2/4/1900
4. 1/23/1890
5. 1/22/2013

6. 1/20/1913
7. 1/16/2002
8. 1/15/1924
9. 1/13/2000
9. 1/13/1939

Latest 2.0"+ Snow Depth:
1. 2/4/1989
2. 2/3/1983
3. 1/27/1923
4. 1/22/2013

5. 1/21/1937
6. 1/20/2000
7. 1/18/1914
8. 1/16/2002
8. 1/16/1924
8. 1/16/1907         

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