daddylonglegs Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Looking like a mini drought buster for an area that needs it badly...looks good to me... getting a little up here..better then nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Looking like a mini drought buster for an area that needs it badly...looks good to me... getting a little up here..better then nothing. Don't see much southern movement, looks like it misses me to the north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Monster storm just south of Dane county is splitting. Intense helicity prob developing just ahead of the line as southerly low level winds accelerate. Dual pol detecting hail throughout the main line at the elevation it's scanning at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 as odds are that complex stays along/north of the IL/WI border. good call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Gusting to 60 mph at Lone Rock! http://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/meso_base.cgi?stn=KLNR&unit=0&timetype=LOCAL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 New mesoscale discussion: .MESOSCALE DISCUSSION... 558 PM CDT CONVECTION FIRING ALONG FRONT/STRONG LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE OVER SOUTHERN WISCONSIN HAS INDEED CONTINUED TO INTENSIFY AND HAVE BEGUN TO EXHIBIT SUPERCELLULAR CHARACTERISTICS. STORMS TO THE EAST/COOL SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY APPEAR TO BE ROOTED NEAR ENOUGH TO THE SURFACE TO BE INGESTING THE EASTERLY SURFACE WINDS...WHICH IS RESULTING IN STRONG SHEAR PROFILES MORE SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION. BUNKERS RIGHT MOVING SUPERCELL VECTORS SUGGEST WELL ORGANIZED SUPERCELLS WOULD PUSH SSE AT ABOUT 20KT...AND RECENT RADAR TRENDS SUPPORT MORE OF A SOUTHERLY PROPAGATION DEVELOPING WITH THE INTENSE CELL IN ROCK COUNTY. A SSE MOTION WOULD ALSO TEND TO KEEP STORM FAIRLY CLOSE TO THE SURFACE BOUNDARY WHICH COULD RESULT IN IT RIDING VERY NEAR THE BOUNDARY AND REAPING THE BENEFITS OF ENHANCED LOW LEVEL HELICITY NEAR THE FRONT. WILL NEED TO CLOSELY MONITOR STORMS OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN WISCONSIN AS THEY COULD DEVELOP SOUTH INTO FAR NORTHERN ILLINOIS. THE STRONGER SHEAR PROFILES NEAR AND IMMEDIATELY ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY WILL RESULT IN A HIGHER THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL THAN PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT...AS WELL AS DAMAGING WIND THREAT. THE LARGE TEMP/DEWPOINT SPREADS ARE LIKELY TO KEEP TORNADO THREAT VERY LOW...THOUGH IF MESOCYCLONE CAN RIDE ALONG THE BOUNDARY THE TORNADO THREAT MAY NOT BE AS CLOSE TO ZERO AS PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT. IT DOES APPEAR THAT THE REAR INFLOW JET APPARENT ON KMKX WITH SW WI CONVECTION SHOULD KEEP THE MAJORITY OF THAT CLUSTER ON A MORE EASTWARD TRAJECTORY AND EITHER NORTH OF JUST BARELY INTO OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES THIS EVENING. Can see the anvils from the storms nicely overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 That cell in Rock county is a beast, producing baseball sized hail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 That cell in Rock county is a beast, producing baseball sized hail Sure is. Looks like it's riding the surface boundary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Madison is about to get blasted. Milwaukee has been added to the watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Funnel cloud over Lake Mendota just before the rain and wind started. Feels like a tropical storm out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Starting to see more of a south push with the outflow and SPC things Chicago metro and NW IN are still in play...going to be close Will be interesting to see if anything fires along the lake boundary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 TWC: 60-70mph winds associated with this line. Hope I get some rain tonight... Getting quite dark here. 0541 PM TSTM WND GST LONE ROCK AIRPORT 43.21N 90.19W 07/18/2012 M60 MPH SAUK WI ASOS 0612 PM TSTM WND DMG SAUK CITY 43.27N 89.73W 07/18/2012 SAUK WI 911 CALL CENTER SIDE OF ACE HARDWARE STORE BLOWN IN. TREES ALSO REPORTED DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. 0550 PM HAIL 4 N ORFORDVILLE 42.69N 89.26W 07/18/2012 E2.00 INCH ROCK WI TRAINED SPOTTER SIGNIFICANT HAIL DAMAGE TO A FARM HOUSE...LARGE HOLES PUNCHED IN ROOF. TIME AND HAIL SIZE ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR. 0550 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 N ORFORDVILLE 42.66N 89.26W 07/18/2012 ROCK WI TRAINED SPOTTER MULTIPLE HEALTHY BRANCHES DOWNED...SIX INCHES IN DIAMETER...AT A LOCATION ALONG HIGHWAY 213. TIME BASED ON RADAR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 you look good Geos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Rain rapidly ending around here...looks like a fail, but we did get a light rain for a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 I'm heading to the beach we will see how long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 you look good Geos Just as you said that, cells started popping up here. One is a couple miles to my west. Yah !!! It's raining! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 southern end of the line north of freeport starting to push south some more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 I really hope this follows the instability gradient so it does curve se to give Chi town, nw IN and Michiana some much needed rain, even if we have to put up with special effects wind and hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magoos0728 Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 Hoping Kenosha has a bullseye on it tonght.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 Looks like a hook echo on the Stephenson/Winnebago County line! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 Looks like Rockford's in for a nice storm. Looks like the storms should follow the boundary right into Chicago over the next hour or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 Looks like Rockford's in for a nice storm. Looks like the storms should follow the boundary right into Chicago over the next hour or two. nice call by the SPC was looking dicey there but they've built south nicely into the deeper instability/theta-e gradient...boundary should help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 nice call by the SPC was looking dicey there but they've built south nicely into the deeper instability/theta-e gradient...boundary should help. Western/southern metro going to get it hard this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 757 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN BOONE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS... DE KALB COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS... KANE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ILLINOIS... SOUTHWESTERN MCHENRY COUNTY IN NORTHEAST ILLINOIS... EASTERN OGLE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS... SOUTHEASTERN WINNEBAGO COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS... * UNTIL 900 PM CDT * AT 754 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ROSCOE TO ROCKFORD TO ROCKFORD AIRPORT TO STILLMAN VALLEY...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 55 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 Heck yes. Let's do this. These were on way to weekly concert on the Square with one hell of a view. The concert band conductor just said, "I don't know if it is going to rain or not, but we are going to proceed as if it wasn't." Wizard of Oz medley playing now as gazebo weather vane swings into north-northwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 Heading out now, probably to western Kane Co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 Got quite a light show going on here, rain isn't heavy though. Winds are gusting ~35 mph. About 71°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 Western/southern metro going to get it hard this evening. no doubt, I should have trusted my gut instead of letting Joe drag me down Anyways, looks like a solid wind threat as this thing bows out. The whole metro should get a needed soaking as well. Some of the hi-res guidance did really well this morning picking up on this (as they have for the past month+ when the trigger is obvious enough) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 Heading out now, probably to western Kane Co. As am I....but farther north to the Huntley area. Looks like the better potential will stay up that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 nice little bow segment into western McHenry Co Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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