CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Kevin, those clouds you see are altocumulus-castellanus clouds. Tell that one at the water cooler. A good sign of mid level instability. .The sky is covered with these clouds all of the sudden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Kevin, those clouds you see are altocumulus-castellanus clouds. Tell that one at the water cooler. A good sign of mid level instability. .The sky is covered with these clouds all of the sudden. Done. One of the guys in the office is flying to Florida this afternoon. His wife is petrified of flying. My wife is flying back from LGA today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Done. One of the guys in the office is flying to Florida this afternoon. His wife is petrified of flying. Could be bumpy leaving Logan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Scoots... hilarious... I was just going to post that after taking the dog for a walk. The sky is covered in ACCAS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Scoots... hilarious... I was just going to post that after taking the dog for a walk. The sky is covered in ACCAS! Take a picture! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Scoots... hilarious... I was just going to post that after taking the dog for a walk. The sky is covered in ACCAS! Yeah I know..lol. Front is very close by..I hope I'm far enough south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 gotta love an image like this at 8 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Take a picture! The good stuff is all east right in the sun.... here's the best one I got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Kevin, those clouds you see are altocumulus-castellanus clouds. Tell that one at the water cooler. A good sign of mid level instability. .The sky is covered with these clouds all of the sudden. Can they just morph into a storm pretty much anywhere at any point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Can they just morph into a storm pretty much anywhere at any point? No, because it usually is capped below. It just means it is unstable aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 I had some better shots to the east, but the sun was messing it up. Still, that's what you see a lot in the Plains above the cap. I'm not suggesting supercells at all...lol, just noting mid level instability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 7AM UPDATE... A FEW SCT -SHRA ARE MOVING OFF OF CAPE COD THIS MORNING IN BAND OF WEAK INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT...PER LATEST MSAS AND OBS LOOKS TO BE DRAPED FROM WRN MAINE SW TO SRN NH/VT AND INTO CENTRAL NY STATE. SO IT APPEARS THAT IT IS JUST ON THE DOORSTEP OF THE BOX CWA THIS HOUR...AND WILL GRADUALLY BEGIN SLIDING SE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. DUE TO THE FRONTS LOCATION TO THE N AND THE INITIAL BAND OF SHOWERS MOVING OFFSHORE...THE SKIES ARE MOSTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING WHICH SHOULD AID IN THE DESTABILIZATION PROCESS EARLY TODAY. SO SUSPECT WE WILL BEGIN TO SEE SOME SHOWERS/TSTMS DEVELOPING PRIOR TO THE 18Z TIMEFRAME...WHICH IS GENERALLY AGREED UPON BY HRRR/WRF MODEL DATA. GIVEN ALL THESE FACTORS...HAVE BROUGHT TEMPS/DWPTS/SKIES/POPS UP TO THE EXPECTED TRENDS. HAVE ADDED SOME ENHANCED WORDING TO THE WX TO ACCOUNT FOR THE SEVERE POTENTIAL OF THESE STORMS AS SBCAPE VALUES SHOULD HAVE LITTLE TROUBLE REACHING AND LIKELY EXCEEDING 1500J/KG BY AROUND NOON. THIS WILL BE AIDED BY BULK SHEAR VALUES AROUND 30-40 KT...BUT LAPSE RATES WILL GRADUALLY LOWER FROM ABOUT 6.5C/KM...WHICH IS THE DOMINANT MITIGATING FACTOR TO WATCH ATTM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guvna Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Kevin, those clouds you see are altocumulus-castellanus clouds. Tell that one at the water cooler. A good sign of mid level instability. .The sky is covered with these clouds all of the sudden. It reminds me of the sky the morning of 6/1/11, when all of a sudden that line blew up out of nowhere. Obviously, not comparing the set-ups, but interesting to see.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 I had some better shots to the east, but the sun was messing it up. Still, that's what you see a lot in the Plains above the cap. I'm not suggesting supercells at all...lol, just noting mid level instability. Nice to see it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 It reminds me of the sky the morning of 6/1/11, when all of a sudden that line blew up out of nowhere. Obviously, not comparing the set-ups, but interesting to see.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Nice shot Ryan. Is that your house? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Nice to see it though. I wonder if that tree in your pic will come down today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 OSU did a good job sniffing out the stronger than modeled EML. The 3z SREF was definitely more robust with the 7c/km MLLR probabilities and the 00z soundings indicated that too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 A shame we cant get these to stick around all day...Though it may work out to the advantage of our southeast new englanders out there to get these storms in the late morning/before your typical desired peak heating time..to capitalize on these MLLRs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guvna Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 I remeber the sky quite vividly, as most of that day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Nice shot Ryan. Is that your house? Yeah the house on the right with the window. There's a new addition on the back which is what you see that's a dining room/kitchen extension. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 A shame we cant get these to stick around all day...Though it may work out to the advantage of our southeast new englanders out there to get these storms in the late morning/before your typical desired peak heating time..to capitalize on these MLLRs. A lot of our severe days come as steeper lapse rates/modified EMLs are on their way our. We seem to capitalize a lot on the tail end of these things. That said the models do keep decent lapse rates around through at least 18z in these parts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Yeah the house on the right with the window. There's a new addition on the back which is what you see that's a dining room/kitchen extension. Nice, looks like a great house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Nice, looks like a great house. Hasn't fallen down yet lol... so far so good. I took out a huge tree in the backyard so that has opened up things nicely. Just finished putting in a fence as well in the backyard for the dog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 A shame we cant get these to stick around all day...Though it may work out to the advantage of our southeast new englanders out there to get these storms in the late morning/before your typical desired peak heating time..to capitalize on these MLLRs. On a semi-related note, I wonder if the La Nina-tendency on the global pattern has even had a modifying effect on our potential today. The mid-July EML potential we were speculating to happen did to some degree materialize but not as strongly so as the original forecast in the long range. Perhaps if we had more of an El Nino-tendency, I wonder if the overall jet stream / wave structure would have been improved and increased our wind shear probabilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 wowzers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 wow...That's a real solid EML Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 OKX sounding is awesome. Albany sounding upstream is still nice looking too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 LOL I was going to post the same thing. Damn I even have the image link copied and all ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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