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SNE severe/convective thread IX...or whatever number we're on


weatherwiz

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Does anyone have any saved images of the cell that went through Lynn? I have video of the gust front approaching the Lynn/Saugus line but there was no obvious sign of rotation after watching the video again.

I had pykl3 going on my phone so I was able to see that there was a tremendous couplet on the front side of the cell as it went offshore...which unfortunately made it impossible to see from Lynn beach

I should add...I have seen some images from Nahant that seemed to indicate rotation did occur...but that may have been on the latter cell that passed through...R4 as you guys had mentioned on Wunderground

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Pattern going forward has a nice trough in the east, so it could be somewhat active anyways. Either fronts hung up on the coast or a weak ave moving north...etc.

As we move into late summer and early autumn, the question about wave number / length will be tougher than normal. On the one hand, the extremely warm / dry country and burgeoning El Nino argue for the waves to remain shorter than normal through September. However, on the other, if the Alaskan Vortex / old La Nina regime remains a player, the waves may grow longer in September and bring widespread warmth.

The first option gives a window for a trough to develop along the East Coast while the second option basically keeps the torch going into the start of autumn (perhaps most of autumn).

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Pattern going forward has a nice trough in the east, so it could be somewhat active anyways. Either fronts hung up on the coast or a weak ave moving north...etc.

Agreed. Nice to keep heat/drought southwest and active pattern overhead. I think we will have unusually active svr chances through late July and August.

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Agreed. Nice to keep heat/drought southwest and active pattern overhead. I think we will have unusually active svr chances through late July and August.

It would be nice to get an Ekster EML event 7/23-8/14 since that is a large period without one. After that, it was mostly La Nina years that produced.

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Agreed. Nice to keep heat/drought southwest and active pattern overhead. I think we will have unusually active svr chances through late July and August.

It was fun yesterday. I feel like it's been a while since I've seen action closer to this area. Usually, its blurry you tube videos from Wiz, or pics of random termite infested limbs down from Kevin.

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I was driving down Route 2 East shortly after 6 PM yesterday and got POURED on during the whole trip from Lexington to Alewife. I don't think I've ever seen it rain harder while driving. Many people were pulling over due to the almost zero visibility and flooding on the roadway. Nobody was going more than 30 MPH. Was that the cell that caused the tree damage in Arlington?

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Agreed. Nice to keep heat/drought southwest and active pattern overhead. I think we will have unusually active svr chances through late July and August.

That would be nice...maybe we can add some more rain to the whopping .25" we have had here in C MA this month. How miserable to get home to .03" in the rain guage after driving through flooded streets one town away.

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CONGRATS DON FROM ARLINGTON

PROBABLE MICROBURST. APPROXIMATELY 100 TREES DOWN.

SOME STREETS INVOLVED INCLUDE MARATHON STREET...WALDO

ROAD....CHANDLER STREET...MASS AVE AND BROADWAY. BRICK

GARAGE COLLAPSED ON HARLOW STREET. SOME ROOF DAMAGE

REPORTED ON MASS AVE.

Thanks Steve,

So close, but close enough. (2 1/2-3 miles) A blessing not having to clean up. Sure does keep the enthusiast in the game.

I was driving down Route 2 East shortly after 6 PM yesterday and got POURED on during the whole trip from Lexington to Alewife. I don't think I've ever seen it rain harder while driving. Many people were pulling over due to the almost zero visibility and flooding on the roadway. Nobody was going more than 30 MPH. Was that the cell that caused the tree damage in Arlington?

I believe it was the initial afternoon cell. The dynamics lacking in the evening show, the report time is 6:00pm. Must check with eye-witnesses.

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I think it has to do more with the increased activity over the last couple of years with TS up this way, I can remember quite a few years with very low activity, We had 1 day this year where we saw 5 storms in a 1 day period which i don't ever recall here.

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IDK about that though, cells and digitals have been around for a very long time. I myself saw a shelf cloud formation this year that was so midwest like.

Thing is digital cameras are great but chances are you're not carrying one around when you're out to dinner or on the way to work or just taking the dog for a walk.

Cell cameras have been around for a while but now we're at a point where the cameras are getting nearly as good as some digital cameras. For example my first generation iPhone took crappy pics... my new one take some beautiful shots.

The number of people who have high end smart phones is also going through the roof... it's not just young people. Companies are moving from blackberry to Droid and iPhone with much better cameras.

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Thing is digital cameras are great but chances are you're not carrying one around when you're out to dinner or on the way to work or just taking the dog for a walk.

Cell cameras have been around for a while but now we're at a point where the cameras are getting nearly as good as some digital cameras. For example my first generation iPhone took crappy pics... my new one take some beautiful shots.

The number of people who have high end smart phones is also going through the roof... it's not just young people. Companies are moving from blackberry to Droid and iPhone with much better cameras.

wish my company would ax the Blackberry. Iphones FTW all around. At any rate what great photos this year from Florida to Maine, certainly a great East coast T storm year.

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Man the media went nuts here today. The anchors were clueless calling shelf clouds wall clouds and saying tornado warnings were issued for the state lol. That always happens when non mets talk weather.

I wish I was in a whale watch boat in the harbor today. That cell was epic. I wonder if there was a spout well offshore.

I had the same thought watching that cell on my phone while fishing off Newburyport. We ended up running for shore at Hampton Beach and caught a gap in the line that was forming. It's very possible that some sort of circulation was on the water with that cell.

I'm going to download the data tonight so I can peruse the dual-pol data, but I will definitely be taking a look at the velocity as well.

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I had the same thought watching that cell on my phone while fishing off Newburyport. We ended up running for shore at Hampton Beach and caught a gap in the line that was forming. It's very possible that some sort of circulation was on the water with that cell.

I'm going to download the data tonight so I can peruse the dual-pol data, but I will definitely be taking a look at the velocity as well.

It looked like it briefly developed a good couplet offshore. Take a look, I mean the presentation on the reflectivity alone was awesome.

Catch any stripers?

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It looked like it briefly developed a good couplet offshore. Take a look, I mean the presentation on the reflectivity alone was awesome.

Catch any stripers?

Just from the level 3 data available to me I could tell there was a beast of a core aloft.

Storms cleared in time to catch the outgoing tide and I managed to catch a couple nice stripers. About 27" and 30", catch and release just for fun type of day.

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The cell in extreme N Litchfield CTy is turning into a beast..and appears like it my have some slight rotation.

I'm not sure if YouTube videos can be embedded on here, but here are some video clips I made from 1:50 to 1:55 p.m. in Sharon yesterday. Your comment was at 1:52.

The most impressive winds are 0:55 to 1:05 on the counter.

I initially estimated winds at 50+ MPH. I did some frame-by-frame analysis and I'm fairly confident winds were reaching 60 MPH. (peices of hay moved approximately 3 to 4 feet in 1/25th of a second, which is 51.1 to 68.1 MPH. Also note that this is only 1 to 2 meters AGL and not 10 meters.

There were trees and power lines down everywhere in Sharon, including a tree that brought down wires just 500 feet from where I set up this storm incercept. I was in a field along Westwood Road 1.

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holy ****

any reports of a waterspout in Boston harbor????

I had the same thought watching that cell on my phone while fishing off Newburyport. We ended up running for shore at Hampton Beach and caught a gap in the line that was forming. It's very possible that some sort of circulation was on the water with that cell.

I'm going to download the data tonight so I can peruse the dual-pol data, but I will definitely be taking a look at the velocity as well.

This couplet looked pretty damn impressive in boston harbor... I posted this yesterday, snapshot from 2:29pm

I'm eager to hear what you find in the dual-pol data.

Real shame we don't have any spotters/eye witnesses on the harbor islands or boats further out.

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You know what I find odd is there were no damage reports anywhere around BDL. They had a gust to 61 mph so surely there was some trees down. This happened a year or 2 ago when they reported strong winds in a severe storm and i drove up there that day after work and there was nothing down.. Not even leaves in Suffield or Windsor. I find it hard to believe the only place that had that gust was right over the ASOS

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