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SNE severe/convective thread IX...or whatever number we're on


weatherwiz

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Watching that activity in eastern NY moving into CT

Last night at work we were talking about how downstate NY and SNE would get crushed today. Perfect withcing if you will. Synoptic + mesoscale features coming together in time and place to perfection.

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Last night at work we were talking about how downstate NY and SNE would get crushed today. Perfect withcing if you will. Synoptic + mesoscale features coming together in time and place to perfection.

When I saw your post regarding the leftover boundaries and such this morning I became a little more worried. If llvl shear today was a bit stronger things really would have been way more interesting as we would have seen a much greater tornado threat. Actually, those cells about to work into western CT are moving into an area of enhanced helicity.

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Andy and/or Scott,

Any thoughts on that round of convection about to enter western CT? Sun is really out strong across these parts again and with still warm low-level airmass in place temps should warm back up and we should be able to remove some of that CIN that developed with earlier storms. Think we see any of that get severe?

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When I saw your post regarding the leftover boundaries and such this morning I became a little more worried. If llvl shear today was a bit stronger things really would have been way more interesting as we would have seen a much greater tornado threat. Actually, those cells about to work into western CT are moving into an area of enhanced helicity.

Yeah they were huge yesterday X the A'dacks and even last night with the stornger cells and rainers that occurred after dark. Today is a classic case where a "decent" day actually over achieves when you factor in the little things interacting with the bigger ones.

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Andy and/or Scott,

Any thoughts on that round of convection about to enter western CT? Sun is really out strong across these parts again and with still warm low-level airmass in place temps should warm back up and we should be able to remove some of that CIN that developed with earlier storms. Think we see any of that get severe?

There's no CIN.

We just need rain at this point. If we don't get some decent rains from these this evening we are in deep sh ite

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You think those storms in E NY hold together here? I wonder why your area has all those storms and they died out here?

We really need those to make it here

Yeah it's possible, but they seem to be meandering. We just had a combo of good convergence and shear sustaining updrafts today. Sometimes storms cluster in an area where multiple outflows are around. Those NY storms may miss.

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Andy and/or Scott,

Any thoughts on that round of convection about to enter western CT? Sun is really out strong across these parts again and with still warm low-level airmass in place temps should warm back up and we should be able to remove some of that CIN that developed with earlier storms. Think we see any of that get severe?

Give me about 20 mins and I'll get back to you...

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Yeah they were huge yesterday X the A'dacks and even last night with the stornger cells and rainers that occurred after dark. Today is a classic case where a "decent" day actually over achieves when you factor in the little things interacting with the bigger ones.

Just like what occurred on July 21st(?) two years ago where a really decent setup was further enhanced by small-scale boundaries across CT and we had 4 small tornadoes that day...although some will argue it was just one tornado that skipped and what not but anyways we had several small-scale features which interacted perfectly with the larger scale features.

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Just like what occurred on July 21st(?) two years ago where a really decent setup was further enhanced by small-scale boundaries across CT and we had 4 small tornadoes that day...although some will argue it was just one tornado that skipped and what not but anyways we had several small-scale features which interacted perfectly with the larger scale features.

Quite similar

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