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SNE severe/convective thread IX...or whatever number we're on


weatherwiz

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Absolute beast in northern RI right now...huge symmetrical core...wouldn't be surprised to see it threaten a tor at some point especially as in approaches the swwd moving outflow boundary near BOX moving wwd to near 95.

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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1492

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0146 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...CT/MA/RI AND NORTHEAST NJ/SOUTHEAST NY INCLUDING

NYC METRO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 490...

VALID 181846Z - 182015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 490

CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SEVERE TSTM WATCH 490 CONTINUES UNTIL 01Z ACROSS PORTIONS

OF CT/MA/RI AND NORTHEAST NJ/SOUTHEAST NY INCLUDING THE NYC METRO

AREA. PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT INCLUDES DAMAGING WINDS/SEVERE

HAIL...ALTHOUGH A BRIEF TORNADO THREAT MAY EXIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF

COASTAL NEW ENGLAND.

DISCUSSION...SEVERAL BROKEN BANDS OF STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS CONTINUE TO

STEADILY INCREASE/SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN/EASTERN MA AND

SOUTHEAST NY/CT/RI THIS AFTERNOON. A 55 KT WIND GUST WAS RECENTLY

MEASURED AT KBDL/HARTFORD-BRADLEY CT. WITH A HOT THERMAL AXIS

EXTENDING NORTHEASTWARD FROM NJ INTO SOUTHWEST NEW ENGLAND /100F IN

A FEW AREAS/...THE AMBIENT AIRMASS REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTABLE

NEAR/SOUTH OF EVOLVING STORMS...WITH MLCAPE AS MUCH AS 2000-3000

J/KG ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST NY AND CT/RI/SOUTHERN MA. LATEST WSR-88D

VWP DATA FROM TAUNTON/KBOX REFLECTS THE MODERATELY STRONG VERTICAL

SHEAR THAT ESPECIALLY RESIDES ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...WITH

35-40 KT WESTERLIES SAMPLED BETWEEN 3-5 KM. MULTICELLS/SMALL BOWING

SEGMENTS WILL REMAIN COMMON ACROSS THE REGION. THAT SAID...A FEW

SUPERCELLS WILL BE MOST PROBABLE ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. SUCH

SUPERCELL /AND ENHANCED SEVERE HAIL AND SOME TORNADO RISK/ POTENTIAL

WILL BE ESPECIALLY FOCUSED 1/ TO THE EAST OF A HEAT-AIDED SURFACE

LOW ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEW ENGLAND OR MORE SO 2/ TIED TO EXPECTED

STORM/SEA BREEZE INTERACTIONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MA AND PERHAPS

RI/CT/LONG ISLAND VICINITIES.

..GUYER.. 07/18/2012

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Hi Steve!

Not sure if it touched down, but when the camera went straight up, I thought it looked like a funnel in the white cloud angling downward. I also heard winds in their audio, which might have been RFD. Again, not sure what direction they were shooting toward. I think they caught the backside of it.

I think they should get a look at this at the office, especially if HF is there.

BTW, NICE photo from your work, too!

--Turtle

Thanks El, getting dark here now, just got severe warned

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I'm in Cumberland.... Looks to be getting VERY dark.

Wow...

"This storm was located near

Woodstock... or 8 miles northwest of Putnam... moving east at 30

mph. In addition... there are some signs of rotation near

Burrillville Rhode Island. While its not imminent... there is a low

risk of a tornado developing."

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Hi Steve!

Not sure if it touched down, but when the camera went straight up, I thought it looked like a funnel in the white cloud angling downward. I also heard winds in their audio, which might have been RFD. Again, not sure what direction they were shooting toward. I think they caught the backside of it.

I think they should get a look at this at the office, especially if HF is there.

BTW, NICE photo from your work, too!

--Turtle

Eleanor, it's 98F at TAN!

Powderkeg just waiting to go off with the DP at 72F.

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MCD 1492:

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1492

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0146 PM CDT WED JUL 18 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...CT/MA/RI AND NORTHEAST NJ/SOUTHEAST NY INCLUDING

NYC METRO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 490...

VALID 181846Z - 182015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 490

CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SEVERE TSTM WATCH 490 CONTINUES UNTIL 01Z ACROSS PORTIONS

OF CT/MA/RI AND NORTHEAST NJ/SOUTHEAST NY INCLUDING THE NYC METRO

AREA. PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT INCLUDES DAMAGING WINDS/SEVERE

HAIL...ALTHOUGH A BRIEF TORNADO THREAT MAY EXIST ACROSS PORTIONS OF

COASTAL NEW ENGLAND.

DISCUSSION...SEVERAL BROKEN BANDS OF STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS CONTINUE TO

STEADILY INCREASE/SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN/EASTERN MA AND

SOUTHEAST NY/CT/RI THIS AFTERNOON. A 55 KT WIND GUST WAS RECENTLY

MEASURED AT KBDL/HARTFORD-BRADLEY CT. WITH A HOT THERMAL AXIS

EXTENDING NORTHEASTWARD FROM NJ INTO SOUTHWEST NEW ENGLAND /100F IN

A FEW AREAS/...THE AMBIENT AIRMASS REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTABLE

NEAR/SOUTH OF EVOLVING STORMS...WITH MLCAPE AS MUCH AS 2000-3000

J/KG ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST NY AND CT/RI/SOUTHERN MA. LATEST WSR-88D

VWP DATA FROM TAUNTON/KBOX REFLECTS THE MODERATELY STRONG VERTICAL

SHEAR THAT ESPECIALLY RESIDES ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...WITH

35-40 KT WESTERLIES SAMPLED BETWEEN 3-5 KM. MULTICELLS/SMALL BOWING

SEGMENTS WILL REMAIN COMMON ACROSS THE REGION. THAT SAID...A FEW

SUPERCELLS WILL BE MOST PROBABLE ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. SUCH

SUPERCELL /AND ENHANCED SEVERE HAIL AND SOME TORNADO RISK/ POTENTIAL

WILL BE ESPECIALLY FOCUSED 1/ TO THE EAST OF A HEAT-AIDED SURFACE

LOW ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEW ENGLAND OR MORE SO 2/ TIED TO EXPECTED

STORM/SEA BREEZE INTERACTIONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST MA AND PERHAPS

RI/CT/LONG ISLAND VICINITIES.

..GUYER.. 07/18/2012

ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI...

LAT...LON 41387421 42197267 42677093 42257005 41436985 40927150

40507322 40597424 41387421

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