dryslot Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 1.50" hail 100% prob with the cell moving over tyngsborough towards Dracut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Classic anvil on storm entering sound. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 TOR right over Ray's head at Lowell? It is nasty here.....vis has decreased markedly, sheets of rain...loud thunder and vivid lightning. No hail as of yet... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Blizz is right...CT SENY and NNJ are primed. Below is a severe wx summary table. RI is Ricks Index to find out more about google it and convection together. The QPF tool is pretty neat. Here is a fast summary of the RI: IF RI <110...No Severe thunderstorms IF RI 140 ...50% probability for hail 1" diameter IF RI=145…50% probability for damaging winds (55kts) IF RI=150...40% probability for EF1 Tornado IF RI >160…SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY (50% probability @ RI=160) Maglenta Eqn values: If S >= 3.5 Not Severe If 2.5 =< S < 3.5 Minor Severe Event If 1.5 =< S < 2.5 Major Severe Event If S < 1.5 Tornadic Event That's pretty Dandy Andy.I've seen ALB mention that Maglenta stuff before in their AFD's. You think today's is mostly high end wind damage ? Any TOR potential? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Dual Pol does show the hail signature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 BIG CU towers just went up to my north and NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 The office is in an uproar...love it haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Dual Pol does show the hail signature. Echo top 44,800' 50% chance severe hail. 1.75" diam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 That's pretty Dandy Andy. I've seen ALB mention that Maglenta stuff before in their AFD's. You think today's is mostly high end wind damage ? Any TOR potential? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 The office is in an uproar...love it haha Get out side in it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Andover MA FTW right now. Big cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 That cell dropping SE over towards Beverley is popping as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Andover MA FTW right now. Big cell. Might go right over my place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dabize Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Visibility lifting now in Lowell, looks like its over Dracut now No hail to speak of Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 That's pretty Dandy Andy. I've seen ALB mention that Maglenta stuff before in their AFD's. You think today's is mostly high end wind damage ? Any TOR potential? Leaning toward HIGH END WIND as DCAPES are very High 1000+ j/kg. Heavy rain too. That said forecast soundings have very large and fat CAPE profiles so if any supercells develop could see some hail circa 1-1.5 inches. As for TOR potential low-level srh/ 0-3 K EHI is meh so if a TOR just a brief spin-up, EF1 intensity or < Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Get up in it! Shake ya little ethiopian rump, shaka rump, rump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Yea, calming down....hail fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterLand Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 wow. NE MASS getting nailed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 I wonder if I'm too far north? Looking at radar I'm getting that feeling .Need those storms in SW Mass to take off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Was just on 495 in westford. Wow it was dark and lots lightning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 That cell just north of Tewksbury is "Very" impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 I wonder if I'm too far north? Looking at radar I'm getting that feeling .Need those storms in SW Mass to take off Dude its 130 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 fantastic .. the day im not working up at UML they get a nice t-storm looks like cells are begining to fire just east of springfield too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Dude its 130 Look at the radar. It's always been an early show..This will be out of the state by 4-5:00..Your area looks good for the cells entering Litchfield Cty. I'm worried for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Look at the radar. It's always been an early show..This will be out of the state by 4-5:00..Your area looks good for the cells entering Litchfield Cty. I'm worried for me Dude, you should be good for at least some action. Pipe down weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 I wonder if I'm too far north? Looking at radar I'm getting that feeling .Need those storms in SW Mass to take off Smoking Lesco? Hold tight, CT about to be scarred forever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 lol, give it some time, Max heat ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Classic shape to these towers. Big time boiling look right now to the north. Anviled out too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Smoking Lesco? Hold tight, CT about to be scarred forever. LOL..I was doing 6 foot glass bong hits of Lesco. Huge cauliflower CU are literally exploding in just about every direction now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 I am pretty sure if I were home right now...the storms would be here in Cambridge... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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