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SNE severe/convective thread IX...or whatever number we're on


weatherwiz

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If only the winds were slightly more backed up this way and the front was a little slower. ..

MLCape >3K j/kg here, 0-6km shear > 40 kts, and ML lapse rates ~6.5 Pretty solid.

Meantime, my boy Murphy and his law showed up today... UMass radar was vandalized recently, and we were forced to repair damaged fiber optics cables. Of course they decided to give out in the last 24 hours, with no time to repair. So no data.... Guess now I'll cheer for CT to get rocked and us to dry out.

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Weenies love watches without links..

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CONNECTICUT

MASSACHUSETTS

NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY

SOUTHEAST NEW YORK

RHODE ISLAND

COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1220 PM UNTIL

900 PM EDT.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70

MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70

STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHEAST

OF NEW BEDFORD MASSACHUSETTS TO 40 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF

NEWARK NEW JERSEY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE

ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND

INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF COLD FRONT SETTLING SWD INTO THE

REGION. WARM SECTOR HAS BECOME QUITE HOT...WHICH WHEN COMBINED WITH

DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S...IS RESULTING IN MLCAPE OF

2000-3000+ J/KG. WHEN COUPLED WITH 30-40 KT OF DEEP...WLY

SHEAR...SETUP WILL FAVOR ORGANIZED STORM MODES CAPABLE OF DAMAGING

WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60

KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM

MOTION VECTOR 30020.

...MEAD

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