Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 CT/RI/SE MA are gonna get lit up I think. Will it be like this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 If it helps... the 3 to 4 foot surf we've had the past few days is a bit flatter today - maybe 1 to 2 feet. Waters are still incredibly warm and virtually no seaweed. Haven't seen consistently clean water like this in years. Channel 10 this am had the water temps at 74-79!! An eerie dead calm outside - very unusual for the immediate coast to not even have a slight breeze at 11am on a summer morning. 86/73. Yea I caught that surf, very odd day for sure, not sure what it means but not typical by any means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Depends on how long it takes for the cap to erode. I actually like the fact we're capped. It will make the initial convective initiation quite explosive. Agreed with Mitch about north of the Pike. Probably after 1-2? Some CU here along the seabreeze front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Will it be like this? http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RukUetw0hAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Probably after 1-2? Some CU here along the seabreeze front. Best chase spot for severe if you were chasing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RukUetw0hAM LOL. Buckcherry is one of my top 10 favorite bands. Most people have heard of them I guess, but they seem to also have a relative unknown to them. Lots of great songs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Best chase spot for severe if you were chasing? I think most of CT and RI into TAN is great. If I had to guess a spot it would be near and just south of I-84 in CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 LOL. Buckcherry is one of my top 10 favorite bands. Most people have heard of them I guess, but they seem to also have a relative unknown to them. Lots of great songs. I know them but never got into them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 right now i'm on Cnimbus watch. takin t from NE mass to framingham area in about 2 hours. should be interesting there i hope! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 I think most of CT and RI into TAN is great. If I had to guess a spot it would be near and just south of I-84 in CT. chuck em Yeah I think RI, CT, SE Mass, and a chunk of SE NY (north of NYC) is game on for big svr. I will probably update the "threat" graphic I use from "enhanced" to "significant". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 This seems like one of those setups where you get storms to fire and they almost immed. Go severe. Like within 5 minutes of popping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 chuck em Yeah I think RI, CT, SE Mass, and a chunk of SE NY (north of NYC) is game on for big svr. I will probably update the "threat" graphic I use from "enhanced" to "significant". Most of the time I don't feel comfortable chucking them, but this looks great for that area and it seems like you agree. Think it's time to chuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 chuck em Yeah I think RI, CT, SE Mass, and a chunk of SE NY (north of NYC) is game on for big svr. I will probably update the "threat" graphic I use from "enhanced" to "significant". Just totally frontal and backal nudity right there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 I'm sitting on a powderkeg here. 3000J MLCAPE overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 bliz what part of ct are you in next few hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 We haven't seen this much chucking and nudity since gasp....October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 bliz what part of ct are you in next few hours? I'm home today. 2 miles N of I- 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 For those that are wondering, MLCAPE is high in the area of best theta-e. Look at the 925 and 850 progs. There is a ribbon of high RH there. SO that prevents mixing and we have a deep layer RH plume in the lower levels...hence the high MLCAPE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterLand Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 So the front is at the MA/NH border right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 We haven't seen this much chucking and nudity since gasp....October. I guess the only meh aspect is if the remnant EML plume exits quick, but it seems like models can be quick to have it exit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Another layer of altocu kind of blossomed out of nowhere again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 I guess the only meh aspect is if the remnant EML plume exits quick, but it seems like models can be quick to have it exit. Was the EML plume stronger for the DC derecho than ours is today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 So the front is at the MA/NH border right now? i would say it's close is this it showing up on composite radar loop http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=BOX&product=NCR&overlay=11101111&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Was the EML plume stronger for the DC derecho than ours is today? Wayyyyyy stronger in DC. Can't compare the two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 I'm sitting on a powderkeg here. 3000J MLCAPE overhead. There was a brief bout of rain about 930 here in Wrentham. Looking to see how things develop as we move into the aftn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Was the EML plume stronger for the DC derecho than ours is today? No comparison man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Really hope we can hold off til after four. At work atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Really hope we can hold off til after four. At work atm. No way it waits that long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 we are roasting closer to NYC, temps already in the mid 90s with lower 70 dews Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 kev is that some CU just south of your house in last visible frame or more acass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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