Summer update III: SNE region's 4 primary climo sites all remain solidly above normal as of the closing of July 14.

[RIcoastalWX]

FFA for that SE CT stuff

Good call on Upton's part. Nearing .70 now... Thunder has been thrown into the mix.

Heaviest rains seem to have passed but still a moderate rain - winds have switched from light south to a breezy ENE.

[Sugarloaf1989]

It's dumping buckets of rain here in Coventry, been raining steadily here since about 3pm.

[Mr Torchey]

High of 79

Low of 69

-1 on the day, normal summer weather

[MaineJayhawk]

FFA for that SE CT stuff

[MaineJayhawk]

FFA for that SE CT stuff

Ryan will not be happy about it, however.

[Ginx snewx]

Ryan will not be happy about it, however.

Well it is not a warning just the advisory he advocates.

[weathafella]

Euro and it's ensembles look to build death dome mid country in the longer range. Hard to say but my perception is we go above normal for an extended spell with shorter and shorter breaks 8/3-17.

[CoastalWx]

Euro and it's ensembles look to build death dome mid country in the longer range. Hard to say but my perception is we go above normal for an extended spell with shorter and shorter breaks 8/3-17.

I agree, we'll get some bouts of warmth and humidity.....but we need to watch that front that wants to hang up nearby. That may cause weather similar to the last few days which is very difficult to see that far out.

[powderfreak]

Slow, heavy rainers popping up now up and down the Green Mountains. Will be interesting to see how much rain some local spots get. I have been hearing steady thunder for about 10 minutes now.

This has flash flooding written all over it... where some mountain basin gets 3-4" in like 90 minutes and the stream that drains it all goes berserk.

[CT Rain]

I agree, we'll get some bouts of warmth and humidity.....but we need to watch that front that wants to hang up nearby. That may cause weather similar to the last few days which is very difficult to see that far out.

Let's throw up the Scooter severe caution flags for next weekend. It looks warm and humid but I don't see any big heat.

[CoastalWx]

Let's throw up the Scooter severe caution flags for next weekend. It looks warm and humid but I don't see any big heat.

I can deal with mid to upper 80s and high dews. It's August afterall. But 94/74 sucks.

[CoastalWx]

Sunday has potential to be hot, but a week out so we know that can change.

[Ginx snewx]

Euro Ens have negative 5 H departures in the heartland, opposite of what was a heat dome. What are you guys seeing?

[CoastalWx]

Well it is not a warning just the advisory he advocates.

FFA are usually more of a viable option then FFWs. I think other than the Berks where it's more mountainous and the roads can be rough, we don't really get true FFWs. Heavy heavy rain in an urban area could qualify, but they'll always be the token flooded out area under a train bridge that has poor drainage.

[CoastalWx]

Euro Ens have negative 5 H departures in the heartland, opposite of what was a heat dome. What are you guys seeing?

The long range have a heat done in Rockies and plains.

[CT Rain]

FFA are usually more of a viable option then FFWs. I think other than the Berks where it's more mountainous and the roads can be rough, we don't really get true FFWs. Heavy heavy rain in an urban area could qualify, but they'll always be the token flooded out area under a train bridge that has poor drainage.

Yeah and those are the ones that you see in LSRs more often than not.

There can be substantial flash flooding from small rivers/streams. We've seen that before here in CT that can wash out roads etc. That kind of stuff is life threatening.

2"-3" of rain in 90 minutes the other day flooded some parking lots and railroad bridges but that was pretty much it.

[CoastalWx]

Yeah and those are the ones that you see in LSRs more often than not.

There can be substantial flash flooding from small rivers/streams. We've seen that before here in CT that can wash out roads etc. That kind of stuff is life threatening.

2"-3" of rain in 90 minutes the other day flooded some parking lots and railroad bridges but that was pretty much it.

I also think the public has no idea or cares about flood warnings.

[weathafella]

Euro Ens have negative 5 H departures in the heartland, opposite of what was a heat dome. What are you guys seeing?

Refresh manually. I find the need to do that. It's a big change from prior runs so that in itself suggests caution.

[weathafella]

The long range have a heat done in Rockies and plains.

I'm heading for a big family reunion in northern WI 8/15-24. That area needs the dome to feet what we in SNE would consider normal. Heading to the lake Friday night through mid day Wednesday so timing looks good in that as well. Lots of swimming and canoeing plus bagging a few mts if it's not too hot. Hard work now will yield to some sweet times.

[CoastalWx]

I'm heading for a big family reunion in northern WI 8/15-24. That area needs the dome to feet what we in SNE would consider normal. Heading to the lake Friday night through mid day Wednesday so timing looks good in that as well. Lots of swimming and canoeing plus bagging a few mts if it's not too hot. Hard work now will yield to some sweet times.

Sounds nice. I heard that area is beautiful. When you headed to the Lakes region?

[CT Rain]

I also think the public has no idea or cares about flood warnings.

agreed

[powderfreak]

We had to have picked up 1"+ of rainfall in a 45 minute time period with these heavy thunderstorms.

Nice line has developed over the axis of the Green Mountains here and they are in no hurry to go anywhere.

VTZ003-004-006>008-010-012-018-019-300030-

ORLEANS-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-ORANGE-WINDSOR-

EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...ISLAND POND...JOHNSON...

STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...MONTPELIER...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...

SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...BRISTOL...RIPTON...

EAST WALLINGFORD...KILLINGTON

622 PM EDT SUN JUL 29 2012

.NOW...

AT 615PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE SPINE OF THE GREEN

MOUNTAINS FROM NEAR SMUGGLER/S NOTCH SOUTHWARD THROUGH WATERBURY

TO NEAR KILLINGTON. THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE

LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING THROUGH 8 PM

THIS EVENING. LOCALIZED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE

POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS...AS CELLS MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHWARD AT

AROUND 5 MPH.

[Mr Torchey]

Euro and it's ensembles look to build death dome mid country in the longer range. Hard to say but my perception is we go above normal for an extended spell with shorter and shorter breaks 8/3-17.

August looks warm Jerry, +2-+5 region wide by months end. September might be an all out torch, time will tell.

[Damage In Tolland]

Love these 70 + dews in South Jersey. Just days and days and rolls and rolls

[ORH_wxman]

BOS down to +2.3 on the month after today's 73/66. We'll have to see if they can lose another degree or two on the low temp as its 67 at 7pm.

I give Scooter about a 75% chance of winning the bet with LL.

[CoastalWx]

Nice to have these lower dews and a temp of 68 back home. House is only 75, so I can tell it was cool.

[dendrite]

BOS down to +2.3 on the month after today's 73/66. We'll have to see if they can lose another degree or two on the low temp as its 67 at 7pm.

I give Scooter about a 75% chance of winning the bet with LL.

Already down to 66F at 00z with 5 hours to go.

[weathafella]

Sounds nice. I heard that area is beautiful. When you headed to the Lakes region?

Heading up Friday after work. Looks like the wx timing is good.

[MaineJayhawk]

Already down to 66F at 00z with 5 hours to go.

78% likelihood ..

[Baroclinic Zone]

High of 79

Low of 69

-1 on the day, normal summer weather

Both bos and pvd pulled off a -4.

Orh a -2.