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Summer update III: SNE region's 4 primary climo sites all remain solidly above normal as of the closing of July 14.

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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N. OF PIKE

N. OF PIKE

Posted
Posted

Out of curiosity how do place like berlin,nh. Randolph,nh (1500') and gorham do annually? Seems there is just vÉry little land to choose from near the spine (n of 89) in vt. Maybe belvedre area near 1200-1500' pfreak or any of those towns between jay and stowe near 1500 I think would get 200 every winter

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Mr Torchey

Mr Torchey

Posted
Posted

Sun came out in N CT since late morning so most places tickled or got over 80. BDL was 81 at last check

couple glimpses but thats it down here largely overcast and cool with easterly winds. okx had 80% rain up to 3/4 of an inch, did models back off, water would be nice

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CT Rain

CT Rain

Posted
Posted

I think minimal though (.25-.50 along the CT shore?) Less north? Agree with Kev, this could be a miss for alot of folks. Tough forecast.

We all know what some folks would be praying for in January.

Toss the NAM... it's garbage... GFS is the way to go. Etc, etc, etc.

It is a tough forecast. Take a look at the SREF too. Goes nuts with the thing.

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Damage In Tolland

Damage In Tolland

Posted
Posted

We all know what some folks would be praying for in January.

Toss the NAM... it's garbage... GFS is the way to go. Etc, etc, etc.

It is a tough forecast. Take a look at the SREF too. Goes nuts with the thing.

It's an MCS though and those tend to dive south of us in these setups..There's no instability and high pressure nosing down from canada. I could see SW ct getting some .20 amounts while HFd N sees sprinkles or nothing.. i certainly wouldn't have any rain in the forecast north of HFD other than sprinkles

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Damage In Tolland

Damage In Tolland

Posted
Posted

BOX's take..And this is from Hayden Frank who is good

RIDAY...

WILL INCLUDE SOME LOW POPS IN OUR WESTERN/SOUTHERN ZONES JUST IN

CASE WE GET GRAZED BY THE MCS TRACKING TO OUR SOUTHWEST.

HOWEVER...HIGH PRESSURE NOSING DOWN OVER EASTERN CANADA AND LITTLE

INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY KEEP MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION SOUTHWEST

OF OUR REGION. EVEN IF A FEW SHOWERS AFFECT OUR INTERIOR ZONES FOR

A TIME DURING THE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON...THEY SHOULD BE SHORT

LIVED AND LIGHT.

THE MAIN AFFECTS OF THE MCS IN OUR REGION WILL BE A FAIR AMOUNT OF

MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS...ESPECIALLY IN OUR SOUTHWEST ZONES. LIMITED

SUNSHINE WILL LIKELY HOLD HIGH TEMPS IN THE 70S...WITH THE COOLEST

READINGS FOUND IN THE SOUTHWEST ZONES WITH MORE CLOUDINESS IN THOSE

LOCATIONS.

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

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i don't think the NAM dynamically has the right idea about that stuff overnight into tomorrow morning, anyway.

It's supposed to energize an MCS in NE Ohio during the 18z-00z time frame (today) and that's in question - that's supposed to be your MCS. It's also missing the shield rains over western NY and southern Ontario it would appear.

This is really more baroclinic in nature.. High up N with a wave running south - heck, it almost looks like an alberta clipper.

90fwbg.gif

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

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RE the later on next week agenda...

I think it's possible though far less than certain that the whole of the heights in the 40/75 region correct polarward as the NAO is very heavily clustered still around a total +2 SD rise. Just something maybe to look for in future runs. Having a neutralized NAO domain that is even somewhat positive by D7, is an odd fit for lingering NW mid level flow into the OV/NE regions.

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Damage In Tolland

Damage In Tolland

Posted
Posted

The euro had maybe 0.5" or so in SW CT, but nothing much past Waterbury. It would be close. I could see radar looking ominous moving towards SW CT and then it dries up near and over SW CT as it struggles east. Still a cloudy and cool day for the state.

Yeah pretty much what it looked like on the free site. Close but no cig. Dry begets dry
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scoob40

scoob40

Posted
Posted

They aren't going to be that warm.

Spot on. BDL topped out at 82 whilst Westover and Barnes did see 85. Congrats or your impending fatherhood ! Lots of sleep deprived nights in the near term and maybe a little Daddy Day Care down the road ?

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