Ian Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 FWIW, and I saw Ellinwoods concerns and post, but SPC added LWX into SLGT for 15 wind.. 15 hail DC north I'm not sure why.. I don't really see it at all svr wise today outside perhaps a pulse storm. I guess they're hedging because it will be so hot/humid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Topped yesterday's high at my house. 96.9. Sad part about hitting 100 today is that we are at the time of year where that number is only a record at IAD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 I'm not sure why.. I don't really see it at all svr wise today outside perhaps a pulse storm. I guess they're hedging because it will be so hot/humid. 1630 update - 15 hail for all LWX now... 30 wind along a line from about DCA to MRB and then goes to the NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 well spc upped the ante Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 well spc upped the ante Northern Augusta STWed... but yeah a bit surprising with lil shear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 1630 update - 15 hail for all LWX now... 30 wind along a line from about DCA to MRB and then goes to the NE looks like stuff near harrisonburg would drop south of us if it survives. the shear is crap south of the pa border but terrain/lee trough could fire a pulser or two imo. who knows. i do still have this inkling that we've seen higher probs from spc since the derecho but maybe im overreading it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 I have a question, is history repeating itself this summer?? It seems that after most hot summers the past decade, the following winter featured a KA snowstorm. Is this a product of the developing el niño?? My air conditioning bill was the highest last month that it has ever been and I have lived here for 25 years. I'm in the same opinion as usedtobe, this is getting old. And we're only in the middle of July, we still have all of August and sept to get thru. Any thoughts, thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Not even a MD? Straight to a STW... weird. STW till 9pm winds to 70 and hail to 1.5 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 491 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1245 PM EDT WED JUL 18 2012 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 491 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS VAC003-013-015-043-047-059-061-069-079-091-099-107-113-125-137- 139-153-157-165-171-177-179-187-510-540-600-610-630-660-683-685- 790-820-840-190100- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0491.120718T1645Z-120719T0100Z/ VA . VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALBEMARLE ARLINGTON AUGUSTA CLARKE CULPEPER FAIRFAX FAUQUIER FREDERICK GREENE HIGHLAND KING GEORGE LOUDOUN MADISON NELSON ORANGE PAGE PRINCE WILLIAM RAPPAHANNOCK ROCKINGHAM SHENANDOAH SPOTSYLVANIA STAFFORD WARREN VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDRIA CHARLOTTESVILLE FAIRFAX FALLS CHURCH FREDERICKSBURG HARRISONBURG MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK STAUNTON WAYNESBORO WINCHESTER MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGANY ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT CAROLINE CARROLL CECIL CHARLES FREDERICK HARFORD HOWARD KENT MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES QUEEN ANNE`S ST. MARYS TALBOT WASHINGTON MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BALTIMORE CITY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 hrmph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Weird, wasn't expecting the Watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2010 extreme Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Just hit 100 here clouds seem to be on the increase so will struggle to get much higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 if we miss 100 today ill be sad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 DCA: 98/68 (NW@6) IAD: 99/67 BWI: 100/69 me: 95.7 (97.2 high so far, 4th warmest of the year) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 My air conditioning bill was the highest last month that it has ever been and I have lived here for 25 years. I found this part of your comments interesting. I got my BGE electric bill yesterday and my first reaction was how unexpectedly low my monthly bill was -- approx $165. I'm used to $200-$300+ monthly bills during high heat. Wondering why mine was so low, but I'm not gonna call BGE and ask. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 DCA: 98/68 (NW@6) IAD: 99/67 BWI: 100/69 me: 95.7 (97.2 high so far, 4th warmest of the year) IAD warmer than DCA... hmmm. BWI doing its usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Overall storm coverage will be the determining factor in whether or not the SPC's up-tick in the potential verifies... I'm not so optimistic, but not by much. SPC mesoanalysis shows 4500 J/kg SFC CAPE across northern MD... plenty of fuel for the storms once they work into our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 I have a question, is history repeating itself this summer?? It seems that after most hot summers the past decade, the following winter featured a KA snowstorm. Is this a product of the developing el niño?? My air conditioning bill was the highest last month that it has ever been and I have lived here for 25 years. I'm in the same opinion as usedtobe, this is getting old. And we're only in the middle of July, we still have all of August and sept to get thru. Any thoughts, thanks I found this part of your comments interesting. I got my BGE electric bill yesterday and my first reaction was how unexpectedly low my monthly bill was -- approx $165. I'm used to $200-$300+ monthly bills during high heat. Wondering why mine was so low, but I'm not gonna call BGE and ask. Are they actual or Estimated readings? My Estimated reading last month, forgot to call in the reading, was high ($121) but I just got my bill for this month and it was an Actual reading and it is lower at $91. Just a reminder to myself to make sure to call in my readings on Estimated months as it probably is not as high as they think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 cape is higher than forecast for sure. nice to see more media irresponsibility from nyc in the derecho stuff. hype is more important than facts.. sigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Overall storm coverage will be the determining factor in whether or not the SPC's up-tick in the potential verifies... I'm not so optimistic, but not by much. SPC mesoanalysis shows 4500 J/kg SFC CAPE across northern MD... plenty of fuel for the storms once they work into our area. If the put up a special 18z sounding, would it pop and descend back to Sterling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Are they actual or Estimated readings? My Estimated reading last month, forgot to call in the reading, was high ($121) but I just got my bill for this month and it was an Actual reading and it is lower at $91. Just a reminder to myself to make sure to call in my readings on Estimated months as it probably is not as high as they think. Did you lose power for a week? I'm hoping that outage saves money on the a/c bill for the rest of the month... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Did you lose power for a week? I'm hoping that outage saves money on the a/c bill for the rest of the month... No only lost it for 12 hours over here. I have Potomac Edison so my rates might be lower than BGE. I would expect that you would save money because of an outage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 EHW issued for Baltimore only Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 if we miss 100 today ill be sad 97.7 at my house. 99.99% chance DCA hits 100. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Looks like the NAM might be doing fairly well with coverage. I was sorta dismissing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Did you lose power for a week? I'm hoping that outage saves money on the a/c bill for the rest of the month... I only lost for 36 hours. Pepco is allowed to CHRAGE me for the first 24 hours so I only got a 12 hour free ride. And it probably took an excessive amount of energy to cool my house down to 75 from 95 so I'm probably at a net loss. If that doesn't give me a warm and fuzzy I don't know what does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 97.7 at my house. 99.99% chance DCA hits 100. I'll take the under and i like my odds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Probably terrain induced... but storms eveloping out in I81 corridor quickly going severe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2010 extreme Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 If the put up a special 18z sounding, would it pop and descend back to Sterling? When i went to their open house they said once winds were so light aloft that it did at least fall back on the property. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Looks like the NAM might be doing fairly well with coverage. I was sorta dismissing it. It is absurd how badly the NAM is owning the GFS on surface temps. Even the Euro wasn't fired up about 100 this week, but the NAM was solid. I'll take the under and i like my odds They are fat, fat odds. When i went to their open house they said once winds were so light aloft that it did at least fall back on the property. That is amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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