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July 9-20 2012 Obs and Discussion


mattmfm

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Sadly, 11 doesn't even seem unreasonable at this point.

We are on target though I couldnt predict it. Hard to think we won't have at least one more big heat stretch after this.

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With the way things are going out west, it is hard to think we won't have more high-end heat unloaded at us. 100s are still tough to come by, though.

I'd be more inclined to believe you if it wasn't for the last 3 years :P

The trend is your friend... 100s will be all we see in July in another 10 years.

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Summer is the worst.

I like summer generally but this has been an intense stretch the last month. Especially considering the last two summers. The ratio of 95+ to 90+ must be running about as high as we've ever seen.

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FWIW, and I saw Ellinwoods concerns and post, but SPC added LWX into SLGT for 15 wind.. 15 hail DC north

I'm not sure why.. I don't really see it at all svr wise today outside perhaps a pulse storm. I guess they're hedging because it will be so hot/humid.

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I'm not sure why.. I don't really see it at all svr wise today outside perhaps a pulse storm. I guess they're hedging because it will be so hot/humid.

1630 update - 15 hail for all LWX now... 30 wind along a line from about DCA to MRB and then goes to the NE

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