MN Transplant Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 Thought I might try to jinx it. My backyard is crunchy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 Dry is the new norm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 Dry is the new norm Thank you Leesburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 Dry is the new norm Indeed. The title of this thread should read "2010 - 2012 drought." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 Indeed. The title of this thread should read "2010 - 2012 drought." Not so much for 2010 and 2011... 2010: 2011: ----- Here's 2012 YTD: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 Not so much for 2010 and 2011... Along that same line, as dry as it's been this year, during the last 11 months DCA has received 41.35 inches of precipitation, ranking that period 35th out of 141 August to June periods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 6, 2012 Author Share Posted July 6, 2012 Indeed. The title of this thread should read "2010 - 2012 drought." Last fall was wet, wet, wet. We are at a surplus if you go back a year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
astarck Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 Not so much for 2010 and 2011... 2010: 2011: ----- Here's 2012 YTD: How did you generate these maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 How did you generate these maps? Those are the in house maps at his organization. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 How did you generate these maps? It's the Dynacast tool from MDA/EarthSat... it's a paid service, but I get it free since I work there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 Last fall was wet, wet, wet. We are at a surplus if you go back a year. I can't argue the official stats, but I was referring mostly to our weather out here in the valley, which I can attest has not been above average in precip in any year since 2009. I had 2 years + of personal IMBY obs that unfortunately I lost (mostly) via virus attack. While last fall was wet east of the BR, the bulk of that precip bypassed us as the charts below show. Note, it turned very dry in June after a dry winter, and a wet spring. July was bone dry While record rains hit DC and points east, it stayed bone dry out here in Aug Again records fell east of the BR, but we were only slightly above normal in Sep More above normal precip east of the BR in Oct, and only normal precip here. Here is a yearly chart for 2010 which shows -6 or greater departures I stand corrected, even in 2009 there wasn't above normal precip out here, only normal. I searched back to 2005 and found no year with above normal precip out here. Infact, 2006 and 2007 were even drier than 2010. In summary, in the past 7 years we've had two years with near normal precip (2008 and 2009), one year with -2 to -4 departures (2005) and 3 years with -6 or greater departures (2006, 2007, and 2010). 2011 is odd, as I showed the large deficits observed through the summer, and near normal precip during the fall, yet the yearly map is largely neutral out here. I don't recall my observations last year being reflected by this yearly summary map, but - again - I lost the data that could refute it so I'll concede 2011 as normal. Therefore, we have 3 years of the 7-year period as "normal" and 4 years of the period below normal, and 3 of those years as more than 6 inches below normal. There is certainly no surplus in this area. We have been in an overall dry pattern for a long time now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
astarck Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 It's the Dynacast tool from MDA/EarthSat... it's a paid service, but I get it free since I work there Thanks for the info! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 Last fall was wet, wet, wet. We are at a surplus if you go back a year. Yup. It was not until May that we started to see dry soil moisture anomalies around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 6, 2012 Author Share Posted July 6, 2012 Lets hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 i was considering starting a rain thread last night.. the pattern looks pretty ripe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 6, 2012 Author Share Posted July 6, 2012 i was considering starting a rain thread last night.. the pattern looks pretty ripe GFS is loving it. Noticed that the 12z Euro kept it south of us. Didn't look at 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 i was considering starting a rain thread last night.. the pattern looks pretty ripe I was going to say, "Don't jinx it," but I remembered that that's the point of the thread. Bring on rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 GFS is loving it. Noticed that the 12z Euro kept it south of us. Didn't look at 00z. Euro's precip has been absolute crap lately over the US... I would actually lean towards the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 This year has been way more wet than years past...when I had my drought tantrum over at Eastern....now that was a drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Euro's precip has been absolute crap lately over the US... I would actually lean towards the GFS. GFS seems to be going South as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted July 13, 2012 Share Posted July 13, 2012 I hope that this weekend delivers at least as much as the gfs is advertising. It's getting pretty crunchy out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 30, 2012 Author Share Posted July 30, 2012 Some areas doing better over the last two weeks, some not. We will very likely be 7 for 7 in months below average at DCA in 2012. Next drought monitor comes out tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 i knew it's been dry but if we don't get much rain tomorrow we're top 5 dry at DCA for the first 7 mo of the yr. our buddy 2002 wasn't much wetter though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brad1551 Posted July 31, 2012 Share Posted July 31, 2012 I know just by looking at my vegetable garden that we are well below average for precip. County water is so hard and my vegetables do not like it very much. Your right Ian on 2002! http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/service/national/Regionalprank/200202-200207.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 i knew it's been dry but if we don't get much rain tomorrow we're top 5 dry at DCA for the first 7 mo of the yr. our buddy 2002 wasn't much wetter though. With July's 2.81 inches of precipitation at DCA, there have now been seven consecutive months of below normal precipitation there, totaling just 15.93 inches. As you note, this is the 5th lowest total for the first seven months in DC history (142 years). However, precipitation for the last 12 months at DCA totals 44.44 inches, which is above average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 We've had less than 1.3" IMBY since June 2. Yes, I'm conveniently ignorning the 1.25" we got on June 1, but it's just to highlight just how little rain my immediate area has gotten this summer. The popup, disorganized thundershowers have done very little - if anything - to alleviate the dry conditions. But it is interesting to see the reports of above-normal rainfall from many of the folks on here when I've been so dry. Just highlights the disorganization of the kinds of storms we've generally gotten this year. We had gobs and gobs of rain in August-September of last year (over 10" from TS Lee), which is the only thing keeping us in the positive in terms of rainfall over the 12 months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted August 1, 2012 Share Posted August 1, 2012 We've had less than 1.3" IMBY since June 2. Yes, I'm conveniently ignorning the 1.25" we got on June 1, but it's just to highlight just how little rain my immediate area has gotten this summer. The popup, disorganized thundershowers have done very little - if anything - to alleviate the dry conditions. But it is interesting to see the reports of above-normal rainfall from many of the folks on here when I've been so dry. Just highlights the disorganization of the kinds of storms we've generally gotten this year. We had gobs and gobs of rain in August-September of last year (over 10" from TS Lee), which is the only thing keeping us in the positive in terms of rainfall over the 12 months. Weather is a very fickle thing. The last two years we couldn't buy summer storms out here - or any storm for that matter (with the exception of Apr / May last year). My grass literally was straw by the start of July each year. We even missed most of the tropical rains of last Aug/Sep, and our temps were running with, and often exceeding, DCA's. I thought I'd moved to the desert. This year has been completely opposite. Heck, yesterday alone, we got more than double your rainfall since June 2. Hopefully, an organized system will arrive soon for the entire region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 2, 2012 Author Share Posted August 2, 2012 More severe drought in MD. VA holding pretty steady. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted August 2, 2012 Share Posted August 2, 2012 Not much of any drought up my way, but that's just because of luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted August 6, 2012 Share Posted August 6, 2012 Can't wait until September drops 20" of rain so we can call it a normal year.....drought....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.