EmersonGA Posted July 10, 2012 Share Posted July 10, 2012 It finally turned wet here. It was raining just about as hard as it can for 15 minutes or so. I'll have to go check the gauge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted July 10, 2012 Share Posted July 10, 2012 Thanks for the update Robert. Was another nice day with a little more humidity but temps were right around 80 and we had a nice shower or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneTracker Posted July 10, 2012 Share Posted July 10, 2012 nothing's changed, Thanks, Robert. I'm not as convinced as you are, given that we totally missed out on a lot of action yesterday. IMBY, I have had only 1.99" since June 1, which is tremendously below normal. I mow the lawn every 2 weeks just to keep the weeds down. I also think the HPC maps are out to lunch. This is not fall or winter. This is summer, and convection drives the rainfall processes. Without widespread MCS's moving through, we cannot expect "pop up" thunderstorms to produce the widespread amounts they are showing. And taking yesterday as an example, some places will get hit and many others won't. I do think Wednesday is our best chance...but 5-10" seems crazy to me given the dry pattern preceding this event and that often dry soils feed back to the atmosphere. Drought wants to remain drought. It takes a heck of system to alter drought and I just don't see this as being the "one." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted July 10, 2012 Share Posted July 10, 2012 We didn't get a drop of rain yesterday afternoon of evening, so we busted at that time. But around 1 or 2 am it stormed for well over an hour... gotta love stationary cells. It's still raining some this morning. Probably hit at least an inch or two so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted July 10, 2012 Share Posted July 10, 2012 Gald it's going to be cooler for a while. The storms yesterday were a dud in my neck of the woods, though. It rained hard for about five minutes last night and that was it. Seems these storm systems this spring and summer have been overhyped more often than not. The storms seem VERY hit or miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCWX Posted July 10, 2012 Share Posted July 10, 2012 I think the rain totals will be far less then models said. We got 1/10 yesterday and last night. And radar looks like it kepping the action north into VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted July 10, 2012 Share Posted July 10, 2012 Geez people...this is a long duration event. Nobody is calling for heavy rains all in one swoop, it will be a cumulative process. I'm betting by the time Friday come around Robert will be showing a precip estimate map that lines up pretty well with the area that he targeted (Central TN, SoApps/Carolina Foothills and Western Piedmont, SW Virginia) for heavy rainfall. Will totals be 100 percent accurate down to the nearest neighborhood? No...He even noted that in his discussion... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nrgjeff Posted July 10, 2012 Share Posted July 10, 2012 Generally during a drought one forecasts less QPF than the models. Upslope areas are the exception. Until I see significant progress, fade QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted July 10, 2012 Share Posted July 10, 2012 Gald it's going to be cooler for a while. The storms yesterday were a dud in my neck of the woods, though. It rained hard for about five minutes last night and that was it. Seems these storm systems this spring and summer have been overhyped more often than not. The storms seem VERY hit or miss. I think the rain totals will be far less then models said. We got 1/10 yesterday and last night. And radar looks like it kepping the action north into VA. I believe it's a little too early to be debunking any forecasts or predictions, either from models or from people. It's only day 2 of this week, and it's just now past noon. This afternoon could bring all kinds of rain. In fact, it's really starting to blossom all over NC at the moment. So, why don't we hold off on the doom and gloom, cancelling, and failing for the moment? Let it play out a little... Give the forecasts some air... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted July 10, 2012 Share Posted July 10, 2012 Too wet here ready for another dry spell. Doppler radar estimates a small pocket of 5-6 inches here in north-eastern Wilkes. Another thunderstorm is about to come off the mountain now. Going to wait and get a backyard water total later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted July 10, 2012 Share Posted July 10, 2012 I believe it's a little too early to be debunking any forecasts or predictions, either from models or from people. You're forgetting to factor in the Burns 1st law of forecasting. You can wait to long to be considered correct but It is never too early to be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCWX Posted July 10, 2012 Share Posted July 10, 2012 I take back my morning post.... 0.68 inches in the last 2 hours. And a few lightning stikes that were way to close for comfort. Neighbor had a pine struck.... that thing blew apart, then we lost power for 10 mins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted July 10, 2012 Share Posted July 10, 2012 Had a little negative attitude forwards this rainy week thing too,after fail yesterday,but now have 1.87 in the gauge since about 330 ,and still pouring.its not widespread,but you get under one of these slow moving storms,,and you get a lot in a hurry! I hope everyone gets one or two of these storms over the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted July 10, 2012 Share Posted July 10, 2012 2.55 inches in my backyard. A few miles south-east from here radar estimates up to 5 inches. Cloudy with occasional light rain with heavier showers moving off the mountains. Fairly green out there today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 Nothing again so far today. Had some sprinkles and a 10 minute shower at work around noon in RTP. Hardly nothing here at home. Seems like all the rain is to the south in the sandhills and at the coast. But WRAL still keeps hyping it for central NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 Have had about 4 hours of solid rains here. Have picked up about an inch and a half so far total from this event. Nice steady rains and looks like the rest of the week will be like this. Temps are great to. Currently sitting at 67 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 Nothing again so far today. Had some sprinkles and a 10 minute shower at work around noon in RTP. Hardly nothing here at home. Seems like all the rain is to the south in the sandhills and at the coast. But WRAL still keeps hyping it for central NC. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 Nothing again so far today. Had some sprinkles and a 10 minute shower at work around noon in RTP. Hardly nothing here at home. Seems like all the rain is to the south in the sandhills and at the coast. But WRAL still keeps hyping it for central NC. Nice downpour here. Almost an inch of rain. Power cut out briefly from the storm which was so obvious given the intensity of the lightning. That storm is now severe warned. Still windy here gusting to 30mph now. We only had a 20% chance today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 Plenty of rain here in Myrtle Beach but only .02 today at my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 Closing in on 4" in 2 days here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 2.85 inches in the gauge near lillington over the last 2 days. Friend in Faynam picked up a little over 3.5 inches, most of it today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 Not enough rain to wet the ground here so far. Maybe we can get something tomorrow or Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 2.49" total so far and currently railing lightly. I'm sure jburns gauge is getting a workout this morning.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 1.2 inches here. I talked to Robert Monday and h said heavy rain should be tonight and tomorrow morning so I imagine several amounts will rise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 1.75" last day with several good storms. A little over 4" here as well last. Our of days. Hope we can get some more! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 1.80 since the event started on Monday...next 36-48 hours should bring the most precip... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCStateMMY Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 Recorded 1.44" on Monday and 1.56" on Tuesday. I will take that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 We have not been as fortunate on the East side of the state. I should say... its not been as widely covered. Last night was the better night for us so far this week. My personal home has not gotten as much as the homes 10 miles to my NW. The Lake Lanier basin has been well served this week and for that we are greatful! Here is the 3 day total, 24 hour total and as I stood on the ball field last night watching this massive anvil head roll in, which eventually put on a 4th of July cloud to ground lightning show that was really impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 2.49" total so far and currently railing lightly. I'm sure jburns gauge is getting a workout this morning.. I got .61 since midnight. Just over 1" for the entire event so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted July 11, 2012 Share Posted July 11, 2012 Has rained all day pretty much non stop. Have picked up about and inch and a half already just today. Bringing this weeks total to about 3 inches so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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