Thunder Road Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 PHL 98.5 ABE 95.5 TTN 97.5 EWR 99.5 ACY 96.5 ILG 97.5 MPO 88.5 For your viewing pleasure, the NAM MOS: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmet.pl?sta=KILG&sta=KACY&sta=KEWR&sta=KTTN&sta=KABE&sta=KPHL&sta=KMPO and the GFS MOS: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmav.pl?sta=KILG&sta=KACY&sta=KEWR&sta=KTTN&sta=KABE&sta=KPHL&sta=KMPO Interesting that the farther north you get (i.e. ABE and MPO) the GFS is actually warmer than the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 PHL 98.5 ABE 95.5 TTN 97.5 EWR 99.5 ACY 96.5 ILG 97.5 MPO 88.5 For your viewing pleasure, the NAM MOS: http://www.nws.noaa....a=KPHL&sta=KMPO and the GFS MOS: http://www.nws.noaa....a=KPHL&sta=KMPO Interesting that the farther north you get (i.e. ABE and MPO) the GFS is actually warmer than the NAM. Good #'s... PHL over -- 99 ABE over -- 97 TTN over -- 98 EWR over -- 100 ACY over -- 97 ILG over -- 99 MPO over -- 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 PHL 98.5 over 100 ABE 95.5 over 98 TTN 97.5 over 98 EWR 99.5 over 101 ACY 96.5 over 97 ILG 97.5 over 99 MPO 88.5 over 91 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Not going to do the over/under stuff as I'm probabluy not qualified other than to say that over the past few years is seemed as if the forecasts have many times underperformed during true heatwaves. Anyway, for here, these our our locals. Wunderground Local: Saturday Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain in the afternoon. High of 100F. Winds from the West at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30% NWS: Saturday A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 96. West wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 I'll give it a shot this time... PHL 98.5 over 100 ABE 95.5 over 97 TTN 97.5 over 99 EWR 99.5 under 98 ACY 96.5 over 100 ILG 97.5 over 101 MPO 88.5 over 89 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Outside of the 3 hot spots wilm,philly and newark nj, I don't think anyone gets to 100 or above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 PHL 98.5 ABE 95.5 TTN 97.5 EWR 99.5 ACY 96.5 ILG 97.5 MPO 88.5 For your viewing pleasure, the NAM MOS: http://www.nws.noaa....a=KPHL&sta=KMPO and the GFS MOS: http://www.nws.noaa....a=KPHL&sta=KMPO Interesting that the farther north you get (i.e. ABE and MPO) the GFS is actually warmer than the NAM. Good numbers, well not really but you know what I mean by not really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 12z Nam still 104-106 along I-95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 PHL 98.5 over ABE 95.5 over TTN 97.5 under EWR 99.5 under ACY 96.5 over ILG 97.5 over MPO 88.5 over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 PHL 98.5 over 101 ABE 95.5 over 99 TTN 97.5 over 101 EWR 99.5 over 101 ACY 96.5 over 101 ILG 97.5 over 102 MPO 88.5 over 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 I won't go to 100 until we actually reach it or it looks obvious a day out. I do think EWR reaches 100, and over on all stations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 PHL 98.5 over 102 ABE 95.5 over 97 TTN 97.5 over 100 EWR 99.5 over 101 ACY 96.5 over 98 ILG 97.5 over 102 MPO 88.5 over 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 PHL 98.5 over ABE 95.5 under (this was a really tough one) TTN 97.5 over EWR 99.5 over ACY 96.5 under ILG 97.5 over MPO 88.5 under Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plokoon111 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 So how long is this heatwave been going on for, for Philly? Frankly I lost track. All I know that when I was down at Ocean City MD the past 2 weeks. It has been the warmest in the ocean that I've felt in many years, and usually its that warm around late August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 So how long is this heatwave been going on for, for Philly? Frankly I lost track. All I know that when I was down at Ocean City MD the past 2 weeks. It has been the warmest in the ocean that I've felt in many years, and usually its that warm around late August. 90 or higher started at PHL on June 28th. June 28th-92 29th-98 30th-94 July 1st-97 2nd-91 3rd-94 4th-96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted July 5, 2012 Author Share Posted July 5, 2012 Looks like I should've gone higher with some of the numbers. Lots of bullish people in this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plokoon111 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 90 or higher started at PHL on June 28th. June 28th-92 29th-98 30th-94 July 1st-97 2nd-91 3rd-94 4th-96 ^ Thanks Parsley! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 ^ Thanks Parsley! No problem. Definetely not shaping up to be a "cheap" heatwave either since temps. most days are in the middle to upper 90s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BucksCO_PA Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Hurricane going for 103 on SAT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plokoon111 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 What are the odds that the whole summer becomes a heatwave. Joking aside, I can't wait for hurricane season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 What are the odds that the whole summer becomes a heatwave. Joking aside, I can't wait for hurricane season. This weekend is probably it for 90's for at least a few days. I don't think we get another prolonged heat event (might be a heat wave or two through end of year but those would be 3 day type events). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 PHL 104 ABE 103 TTN 102 EWR 105 ACY 99 ILG 101 MPO 99 RDG 105 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 PHL 104 ABE 103 TTN 102 EWR 105 ACY 99 ILG 101 MPO 99 RDG 105 99 @ MPO? You're all in on this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BucksCO_PA Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 99 @ MPO? You're all in on this one... the modern record at MPO is 95 so yes 99 is most likely a pipe dream, the all time record highs back in 1911 raise some eyebrows - they are 3-4 degrees warmer than the highs in Philly on those dates & additionally the 95 at MPO on 7/31/1911 is 8 degrees warmer than Philly that date??? http://nowdata.rcc-acis.org/PHI/pubACIS_results TOBYHANNA POCONO MTN AP (368893) Extremes Highest Daily Maximum Temperature (degrees F) Days: 1/1 - 12/31 Length of period: 1 day Years: 1901-2005 Rank Value Ending Date 1 103 7/3/1911 2 99 7/4/1911 3 98 7/5/1911 4 95 6/27/2003, 7/31/1954, 9/2/1953, 8/14/1911, 7/31/1911, 8/8/1909, 7/7/1908 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 PHL over - 102 ABE over - 99 TTN over - 98 EWR over - 103 ACY under - 95 ILG under - 96 MPO over - 91 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 PHL over - 102 ABE over - 99 TTN over - 98 EWR over - 103 ACY under - 95 ILG under - 96 MPO over - 91 I tend to like your thinking on this one, atlthough I **might** be inclined to give TTN an even 100. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCT777 Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 Over for all! It's gon' be hot! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 the modern record at MPO is 95 so yes 99 is most likely a pipe dream, the all time record highs back in 1911 raise some eyebrows - they are 3-4 degrees warmer than the highs in Philly on those dates & additionally the 95 at MPO on 7/31/1911 is 8 degrees warmer than Philly that date??? http://nowdata.rcc-a...pubACIS_results TOBYHANNA POCONO MTN AP (368893) Extremes Highest Daily Maximum Temperature (degrees F) Days: 1/1 - 12/31 Length of period: 1 day Years: 1901-2005 Rank Value Ending Date 1 103 7/3/1911 2 99 7/4/1911 3 98 7/5/1911 4 95 6/27/2003, 7/31/1954, 9/2/1953, 8/14/1911, 7/31/1911, 8/8/1909, 7/7/1908 Some of the old thermometers were a bit suspect...that 111 in Phoenixville from 1936 has always been one that I felt was off by at least a few. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted July 6, 2012 Share Posted July 6, 2012 Just wondering what the Mt Holly area heat advisory index numbers are for issuing advisories? Down here in SC it is 110. What is it in PA and NJ?? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 I will be very glad when this heat wave breaks a lot of wear and tear on my 25+ year old central air unit. PHL 104 ABE 100 TTN 100 EWR 104 ACY 100 ILG 101 MPO 98 RDG 103 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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