FoothillsNC Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 GFS is rolling crossing my fingers for the perfect hit here. You know if this was last year we'd be set for the north trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 bingo... crossing my fingers for the perfect hit here. You know if this was last year we'd be set for the north trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Czar Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 RGEM at 48. http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/00_054_R1_north@america_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_048.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 at 500 the gfs looks very flat again at 36 not good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman22 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Seems like a nice setup (Low in the sweetspot known as the Gulf) but my question is will it be cold enough because i dont want to see: High 35 and Rain for Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 i cant find much of a wave at all at 48 hours on the new GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 The flow (500 mb) is as flat as a pancake at hour 42...maybe she will begin to amplify near the Mississippi River. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Our s/w has become non-existent. What a shame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Come this time friday we will be talking storm totals. Wait for the Noise ( the first storm ) to get off the playing field. You see the models James, I have reason's to be on the edge ! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 All I'm seeing is a colder run, esp in regards to 850's and what appears to be alot of suppression getting ready to take place. Like Robert said , Not sure whats there to suppress, flow does look to be backing more SWto NE out of the GOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 This is probably a done deal now. Not even close. Worse run yet. Hopefully we'll get a few peaks of sun anyway on Saturday, I need to get some things done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Czar Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 This run is not gonna end good for us. :axe: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCBlizzard Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 0z GFS says what storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Czar Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 At least it's not as much of a letdown as groundhogzilla! LOL.. I need another lakes cutter so i can get some more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 This is probably a done deal now. Not even close. Worse run yet. Hopefully we'll get a few peaks of sun anyway on Saturday, I need to get some things done. And voila...POOF... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 I love it! The NAM (who usually says no to a storm) has a version of it and the GFS (who usually overdoes a storm) is like no! Haha great! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 This about sums it up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Typical GFS completely loosing a storm in day 3-5 range. Some things never change, regardless of all the upgrading/para whatever from last year. I'm still puzzled after looking at the 500, how it even generates a surface reflection along the GOM, but what do I know. If my Canadian and euro jump off and stay off board by tommorrow at lunch, then I'm off the train. I'm sure sometime over the next 20 minutes the GFS will have a SE Crusher, probably around Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Well...on to the next-un. Christmas potential anyone? If I knew FOR SURE (send me a message God) that we would get snow on Christmas eve or Christmas day, then I would take this letdown a little better. Cannot do anything but laugh. Such is life in Gaston County... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 First I was afraid I was petrified kept thinking I could never live without the GFS by my side but I spent so many nights thinking how the Euro did me wrong... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 16, 2010 Author Share Posted December 16, 2010 This about sums it up... After the 0z EC, yes, it is pretty much over, < 10% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 After the 0z EC, yes, it is pretty much over, < 10% Done deal for all of NC or just southern half of NC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 You guys can hang up snowstorm potential until we pop a PNA ridge...you gotta believe me. It looks like at the very best we have a slightly negative PNA pattern towards the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheVille Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Clipper action? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bingcrosbyb Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 The differences between the GFS from 12z to 0z in the 7 day range are laughable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Clipper action? I've seen this movie before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Czar Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Clipper action? It will trend north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 You guys can hang up snowstorm potential until we pop a PNA ridge...you gotta believe me. It looks like at the very best we have a slightly negative PNA pattern towards the end of the month. Looking at the NCEP site which is only out to 150 hours, you can see the writing on the wall in regards to this cold spell breaking here in the Eastern/Southeastern US. Looks below average through about Christmas and then I'm betting we bring in 2011 much more toasty than we are now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bingcrosbyb Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 +pna by christmas if GFS is to be believed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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