Brick Tamland Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 We must be getting spoiled if an inch or two of snow in central NC is not a big deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 For me, my mean last January was 36.5. So far for December it's been 33.5 http://www.daculawea...dacula_noaa.php Here's a pretty cool look at my temps over the course of a year. http://www.daculawea...tempdetails.php Love the temp detail page. Very intuitive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNCCmetgrad Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 You almost knew it was a lock for a big storm when the NGM was wet. That used to be my sigh of relief during the anxiety of reeling one in. I for one wish they would take the EURO back to its old resolution. Don't know how its verification scores have been since then but it was at least had some run to run consistency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Latest SREF. I'm curious as to why it shows so much moisture in western/central NC if it is the short range model ensembles? Very few short range models show this much moisture. Maybe it's coming from the WRF model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Just goes to show you how right DT's old saying was...it doesn't snow because you want it to, it snows because the pattern is right for it to occur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Well that was a quick catch up on the last two pages. GFS 12Z = OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 yikes, the GFS was ridiculously warm at 850. eh...I think I have been tracking this thing on and off for 9 or 10 days now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 We must be getting spoiled if an inch or two of snow in central NC is not a big deal. Brick for me any SNOW is like pennies from Heaven... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Latest SREF. I'm curious as to why it shows so much moisture in western/central NC if it is the short range model ensembles? Very few short range models show this much moisture. Maybe it's coming from the WRF model. It doesn't show that much moisture. The 0.1" cuts through the Triangle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 12z is pretty much game set match. Watch the Euro show an epic snow storm for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Love the temp detail page. Very intuitive! Thanks! I'm working to get the past years data into it. I'll be doing one for rainfall also. I also have a table for the current month: http://www.daculaweather.com/monthly_records.php and starting in January will have the same type table for the yearly data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 12z is pretty much game set match. Watch the Euro show an epic snow storm for tomorrow. Are you talking about just for your backyard or everywhere? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 12z is pretty much game set match. Watch the Euro show an epic snow storm for tomorrow. lol yeah well that would be the correct flip on this cycle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Classic brick. Are you talking about just for your backyard or everywhere? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Are you talking about just for your backyard or everywhere? pretty much everywhere. However, our location might still in the running for a few flakes, maybe a dusting if things break right, but even that seems unlikely at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Classic brick. Well, it's hard to tell sometimes. I guess when people post and don't say what area they are talking about the safe bet is to assume they are talking about their own backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Sure he was joking anyway..... Well, it's hard to tell sometimes. I guess when people post and don't say what area they are talking about the safe bet is to assume they are talking about their own backyard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Allan Huffman updated his blog. Still thinks we could see some snow, even if it is just an inch. Looks like more potential next Tuesday and around Christmas. http://www.examiner.com/weather-in-raleigh/potential-for-some-snow-saturday-night-perhaps-more-next-week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I like where the low is. If I could get some freezing down to Macon or Perry I'd be sitting pretty. I like being on the northern edge of the shield. Finally got some rain last night. 1/4 inch. Nothing to get giddy about but it hasn't exactly been piling up around here. If the freezing line doesn't make it down I hope at least the rain line makes it up here. The only thing better than cold rain around here is sleet and snow. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 My forecast is now live along with call map and discussion: http://www.sandhillswx.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 My forecast is now live along with call map and discussion: http://www.sandhillswx.com I like your map. I am less optimistic about accumulations, but anyway, nice job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 How so? We've already had two events here and it's just December. I guess I have a higher standard. Its not an event if you can still see the dog turds in your yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherheels Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I guess I have a higher standard. Its not an event if you can still see the dog turds in your yard. Now that made me chuckle, thank you jburns. Quick question guys, why is it that the slp is so extremely strung out. It even appears to me the main player actually goes throw Tampa Bay and shoots out well into the Atlantic before it actually hands off the energy to the coastal. Does it all have to do with that short wave not catching up in time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Now that made me chuckle, thank you jburns. Quick question guys, why is it that the slp is so extremely strung out. It even appears to me the main player actually goes throw Tampa Bay and shoots out well into the Atlantic before it actually hands off the energy to the coastal. Does it all have to do with that short wave not catching up in time? It is all about the shortwaves and phasing on time. This is one where I could get burned forecast wise either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 the 12Z GGEM is a little more encouraging for the prospects of some accumulating snow. It even looks like it gets some precip into the Charlotte area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 I guess I have a higher standard. Its not an event if you can still see the dog turds in your yard. LOL!!!! Someone said if you throw the cat outside and it disappears, you're good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 WRAL Meteorologist Elizabeth Gardner mentions how the models are changing run to run... http://www.wral.com/weather/video/1076424/#/vid1076424 Seldom do they mention that, so they feel our pain or we feel theirs, whichever. Good luck to those making forecasts or call maps for this event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 WRAL Meteorologist Elizabeth Gardner mentions how the models are changing run to run... http://www.wral.com/...24/#/vid1076424 Seldom do they mention that, so they feel our pain or we feel theirs, whichever. Good luck to those making forecasts or call maps for this event! Such is life when it comes to forecasting snow in NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 What a difference a day makes...lol. Currently it's 60 deg under sunny skies. Not exactly "winter like" weather, but I'll try to enjoy today and hope the rain shield makes it to mby tomorrow GFS shows about .50 and the NAM gives just over .60....at this point anything that falls will be welcome COLUMBIA METRO AIRPORT SC MONTH: DECEMBER YEAR: 2010 [TEMPERATURE DATA] [PRECIPITATION DATA] AVERAGE MONTHLY: 37.8 TOTAL FOR MONTH: 0.57 DPTR FM NORMAL: -10.5 DPTR FM NORMAL: -1.03 November total precip = 1.46 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 WRAL Meteorologist Elizabeth Gardner mentions how the models are changing run to run... http://www.wral.com/...24/#/vid1076424 Seldom do they mention that, so they feel our pain or we feel theirs, whichever. Good luck to those making forecasts or call maps for this event! If I get burned I hope I went too low I somehow think it could be the other way though (disco and fcst on my site): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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