burgertime Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 The GFS is starting up, let's see where were at in 30 minutes. Let's hope there isn't convective feedback issues this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 The SW feature looks better organized then the 12Z..... at 06 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCBlizzard Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 http://www.dnr.sc.go...b25_27_2004.php That was a monster, slow moving upper low in the southern stream, with sfc low tracking just off the coast. Thanks! Wish we could get that setup again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Well NWS(RNK) not buying snow chances here SATURDAY...CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICEAGE NOW Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Don't give up the ship yet ! Still two days away, I still think we'll get something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ICEAGE NOW Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Don't give up the ship yet ! Still two days away, I still think we'll get something. Brad on channel 36 in Charlotte on the 4:00 pm news is calling for just flurries here in the piedmont Sat. night, I hope he changes his forecast between now and Sat. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 For those of you just now coming in, we're out to hour 36: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Bit of a westward shift in the GOM at 42 compared to the 12GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Brad on channel 36 in Charlotte on the 4:00 pm news is calling for just flurries here in the piedmont Sat. night, I hope he changes his forecast between now and Sat. . He also said Feb 12, 2010 was going to completely miss us to the south (3-4 inch snow) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 lolz GFS is following suite with the NAM and 12z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 the slp is 50 miles farther sw at hr 42 in gom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 12z Euro Ens - Negative tilt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 I will say this the first few panels of the GFS came out awfully fast. Still though this run is pretty much like the 12z just a slight bit east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 On to the 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 12z Euro Ens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Here's 54 Not gonna cut it for wnc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Like the looks of these maps. Great SLP track for sure... thanks 12z Euro Ens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tazaroo Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 I hope the 12z Euro wasn't too good to be true but it does bring my expectations down some with these 18z runs. This is no time for the American models to score a cue of the European.What is the deal with the 18z Nam and GFS showing two lows off the coast? Does this make any since or is it a convective feedback issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Something is off with this setup IMO. I think this probably trends radically. Either it's a big hit for everyone or it's a complete miss. The timing has to be perfect it looks like b/n the southern stream wave and the polar jet wave coming in behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Here's 54 Not gonna cut it for wnc That's not going to cut it for anyone. But it was the 18z run. We'll see what the 0z model suite looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Sometimes I miss the days of knowing nothing about looking at computer models and just turning on TWC. Haha, this stuff is nerve-wracking with all the flip-flop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blam49er Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 That was a monster, slow moving upper low in the southern stream, with sfc low tracking just off the coast. http://www.meteo.psu...2004/us0226.php I don't post very often but I had to reply to this. This was by far the best snowstorm that I have ever seen (I'm almost 47). Just had to post a pic from this monster. I live in Fort Mill, SC and witnessed thundersnow for two straight hours. Snowfall rates were up to 3 inches per hour during that evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 A disscuion on the main page about data ingestion on the 18Z runs Link Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 A disscuion on the main page about data ingestion on the 18Z runs Link Interesting. I guess we'll see what happens at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Can someone fill me in on what the slp track was for this... One of my favorites. I'm right under the 20 on that map. Several hours of thunder snow. Picture of my back deck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 They never, well never mind, you know what I was going to say! Well NWS(RNK) not buying snow chances here SATURDAY...CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 I suspect a select few would react like this if the Euro goes back to its OTS solution: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWC Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Sometimes I miss the days of knowing nothing about looking at computer models and just turning on TWC. Haha, this stuff is nerve-wracking with all the flip-flop. Ah yes! The good ole days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 LMAO about the LOOKOUT part! How true it would be. I totally agree about the bullseye, don't want it till saturday 12Z if then, the last 5 years have burned us bad about the Bullseye 2 days out!! I'll gladly take a deformation zone setup dumping and let central NC have the duration. Just let us in the game....plz Lol. I agree with getting in the game - as long as I get accumulating snow over an inch or two i would be fine. I would love to be in the bullseye for heavy snow but I'd still rather have some v none Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 To those bashing the NWS for not upping snow chances, consider how we've only had one set of model runs that have shown a more developed and closer to the coast solution. It'd be dumb to change the forecast based on one set of runs for an iffy scenario. If the models remain consistent in showing a snowier solution, the NWS will update the forecasts. It just won't happen overnight at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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