Baroclinic Zone Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 All of this is a thank you and an AWT..Enjoy!! triple right back at ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 triple right back at ya. Yeah what he doesn't understand is how the south coast always has high dews in these situations for a couple of reasons. It's not because of a heavily watered planting bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 All of this is a thank you and an AWT..Enjoy!! You're only allowed to use UUU and GON for dew verification if you use them for snow too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Yeah what he doesn't understand is how the south coast always has high dews in these situations for a couple of reasons. It's not because of a heavily watered planting bed. The main point was the home stations are accurate,,That's what we're trying to get across here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Mid level cloud deck lookd awful for rest of morning and first half of pm (imo) from lookin at visible loop 40 min ago. Heading to norton for pm then raynham this eve. Temp bust anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 The main point was the home stations are accurate,,That's what we're trying to get across here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Will that line of storms make it here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 I wonder if more stuff fires later. We got a thunderstorm this morning but it wasn't all that spectacular...a bit better over the northeast section of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Will that line of storms make it here? looks like it's heading straight for NYC..not for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Mixed-Layer Cape is barely even 250 J/KG per mesoanalysis and the RAP barely gets 500 J/KG in here later on this afternoon. Kind of hard to get good severe when MLcape is crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Stuff near Elmira is attempting to become more surface based...even if it does weaken...it should throw out a boundary for some nice stuff to fire over northern PA in a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Looks like we'll have an 8/10 chance of getting a severe t storm watch over here. KFS ftw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Litchfield, Fairfield and New Haven Counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Litchfield, Fairfield and New Haven Counties. Yeah western ct has always had the best shot, but they are on the edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Pretty insane damaging wind probs with that watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Instability is awful here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 i'll be sure to post pics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Pretty insane damaging wind probs with that watch Yeah, damaging wind threat will be high across the watch areas in PA and NJ... not so much in CT or NY though. Bear watch has been issued for Tolland - main hazard being damage to Kevin's bird feeders. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 yeah, I'm not too impressed with western CT's chances, especially with all the junk moving through over the next couple of hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 You would think with temps well into the 80's and dews in the upper 60's under some fairly steep mid-level lapse rates we'd have way more in the way of instability. Once you look at 925/850mb dewpoints you can see why there just isn't that much here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Looks like a dead threat huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Just back from swimming..it's 85.5/71 so instability isn' t a problem..some of the meso models develop some storms late this afternoon and evening for some of SNE..We'll see i guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Just back from swimming..it's 85.5/71 so instability isn' t a problem..some of the meso models develop some storms late this afternoon and evening for some of SNE..We'll see i guess For us it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 For us it is. Our storms aren't supposed to develop until after 5:00 if they do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Our storms aren't supposed to develop until after 5:00 if they do I know that. Instability is still an issue though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 I know that. Instability is still an issue though. No it isn't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Actually looks like there is some weak moisture pooling occurring across CT as 850/925 dews have slightly increased the past hour...those showers may actually help as well. I'd still like to see 925 dews though another 5C higher and 850 dews like 3C higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 ML lapse rates are horrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 cells going up along the cold front in southern erie/wyoming counties in ny may end up intensifying and be the main show for northern pa through nj over the next several hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 No it isn't When you have temps into the 80's with dews in the upper 60's under mid-level lapse rates of 6.5 C/KM and MLcape values are barely around 250 J/KG and LI values which are struggling to get much lower than -2C (although they have increased to -3C) there is a problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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