Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 you should text wiz and personally apologize for attacking him yesterday....maybe drive him around hartford for a few days so he doesn't have to walk and take the bus. It's hard to believe a storm free entirety of SNE from what was modelled yesterday..but that's exactly what we're going to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 PA could get a nasty line. still a chance for a few isolated cells around these parts...but that is some awful instability as modeled. DC may need to look out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 DC may need to look out. Yeah they deserve it. Haven't had any severe wx in awhile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 PA could get a nasty line. still a chance for a few isolated cells around these parts...but that is some awful instability as modeled. Yeah I agree. There may be a few areas that get nailed, but looks like PA and down that way that has the best potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Yeah they deserve it. Haven't had any severe wx in awhile This is why you should not getbexcited for thunder here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Coming up on one month here with no rain...or nothing more than a < .1 showers once. Another week of dry ahead. No grass growing anyway. PA could get a nasty line. still a chance for a few isolated cells around these parts...but that is some awful instability as modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 SPC still balls to wall and keeps weenies up ...SRN GREAT LAKES EWD TO THE ATLANTIC COAST... ONGOING ELEVATED CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS NORTH OF THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EWD INTO/ACROSS SRN ONTARIO THROUGH THE MORNING. LOW-LEVEL ASCENT INVOF THE FRONT WILL BE AUGMENTED BY DIFFERENTIAL HEATING OVER THE SRN FRINGES OF DEBRIS CLOUDINESS...AND BY LAKE BREEZE CIRCULATIONS OVER THE SRN SHORE OF LAKE ERIE. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP BY MID AFTERNOON INVOF THE FRONT FROM SERN LOWER MI TO SRN NY AND SRN NEW ENGLAND. MLCAPE VALUES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 1500-3000 J/KG AHEAD OF THE FRONT OWING TO STRONG DIURNAL HEATING AMIDST BOUNDARY-LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE MID/UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70F...SUPPORTING AT LEAST ISOLATED SVR STORMS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 It's hard to believe a storm free entirety of SNE from what was modelled yesterday..but that's exactly what we're going to see. which part? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 77/72. nasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 which part? Yeah models did a nice job pegging low instability for last 36 hours. KFS caught on this morning lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Does this debris cloud cover clear?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 SPC still balls to wall and keeps weenies up ...SRN GREAT LAKES EWD TO THE ATLANTIC COAST... ONGOING ELEVATED CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS NORTH OF THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT EWD INTO/ACROSS SRN ONTARIO THROUGH THE MORNING. LOW-LEVEL ASCENT INVOF THE FRONT WILL BE AUGMENTED BY DIFFERENTIAL HEATING OVER THE SRN FRINGES OF DEBRIS CLOUDINESS...AND BY LAKE BREEZE CIRCULATIONS OVER THE SRN SHORE OF LAKE ERIE. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP BY MID AFTERNOON INVOF THE FRONT FROM SERN LOWER MI TO SRN NY AND SRN NEW ENGLAND. MLCAPE VALUES ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO 1500-3000 J/KG AHEAD OF THE FRONT OWING TO STRONG DIURNAL HEATING AMIDST BOUNDARY-LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE MID/UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70F...SUPPORTING AT LEAST ISOLATED SVR STORMS. Yeah, I mean, that's scary wording right there, too bad you are too far north to get in on any of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Yeah models did a nice job pegging low instability for last 36 hours. KFS caught on this morning lol any concern spotty cloud cover limits mixing...keeps dews up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 any concern spotty cloud cover limits mixing...keeps dews up? At least we know now that the black bear roaming through Kevin's yard is breathing into his Davis and keeping dews up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 77.1/70 currently..Lots of low 70 dews out there today.. Once again models bust too low on dews which will help stability parameters this afternoon. Plenty of sun amidst the periodic mid level clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 At least we know now that the black bear roaming through Kevin's yard is breathing into his Davis and keeping dews up. I talked to my neighbor this morning about it. He said it was a medium sized black bear and it went thru MBY then into his and onto the one next to him where it tore into his bird feeder. The guy with the bird feeder is in his early 80's and I guess he was out in the yard..and he started shooing it away, clapping his hands and stuff. I don't know if they attack humans,, but I sure as hell wouldn't have been doing that. i was scared i was going to see it this morning on my run..I'd have to hop on it's back and ride it. They said it was 11:00AM when it came thru. I always thought it was like early morning when they made an appearance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 You know Ryan is a weenie when he's checking in and posting on a meager severe wx threat at best in SNE from his vacation on Brokeback Mtn. in Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 I talked to my neighbor this morn ing about it. He said it was a medium sized black bear and it went thru MBY then into his and onto the one next to him where it tore into his bird feeder. The guy with the bird feeder is in his early 80's and I guess he was out in the yard..and he started shooing it away, clapping his hands and stuff. I don't know if they attack humans,, but I sure as hell wouldn't have been doing that. i was scared i was going to see it this morning on my run..I'd have to hop on it's back and ride it. They said it was 11:00AM when it came thru. I always thought it was like early morning when they made an appearance We had a huge one go 10' from my front door on a Sunday afternoon right after I mowed... about 1PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 You know Ryan is a weenie when he's checking in and posting on a meager severe wx threat at best in SNE from his vacation on Brokeback Mtn. in Maine BDL has a dew of 66 ASOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 BDL has a dew of 66 ASOUT Most home stations are at or above 70 AMOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Greenfield apparently cancelled their fireworks tonite due to the impending storms. Really??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Greenfield apparently cancelled their fireworks tonite due to the impending storms. Really??? They subscribe to KFS Pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 They subscribe to KFS Pro Yeah, right? Of course, we're in the middle of a light sprinkle now, but nothing noteworthy at all. Looks like the heaviest stuff slides to our south. Greenfield cancelled, but I'm sure hartford's are still on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Hey Ryan, that piano bar was insane here last night lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Greenfield apparently cancelled their fireworks tonite due to the impending storms. Really??? You've got to be kidding me! Where did you hear that? Bummer. RA- atm but looks short lived. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Greenfield apparently cancelled their fireworks tonite due to the impending storms. Really??? That might be one of the best fails of all time. Who cancels fireworks 12 hrs before they happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Wonder if those storms in Upstate NY are part of our line of storms later on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 Hey Ryan, that piano bar was insane here last night lol. Lol heavy heavy booze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIcoastalWX Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 After an hour or so of overcast skies, the sun is making an appearance again. More blue to the NW than clouds at this point. Temp at 82 with a virtually unnoticeable movement of the air from the west. Dewpoint at my home Davis VantageVUE is now up to 76!! Most other home stations along the immediate coast of SE CT and SW RI have dews in the low to mid 70's! Westerly Airport at 10am had a dew of 72 and Groton was 71 so I don't believe these home station dews are too far off. As a side note... beach conditions have been beyond superb. Very warm waters for early July (low 70's), light to moderate surf with virtually no seaweed - you can clearly see the bottom in neck-deep waters. Seems every day there has been a breeze and I doubt the immediate beaches have made it much past 83 or 84 for highs (before the sea breeze kicks in in earnest). Chamber of Commerce days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 7, 2012 Share Posted July 7, 2012 After an hour or so of overcast skies, the sun is making an appearance again. More blue to the NW than clouds at this point. Temp at 82 with a virtually unnoticeable movement of the air from the west. Dewpoint at my home Davis VantageVUE is now up to 76!! Most other home stations along the immediate coast of SE CT and SW RI have dews in the low to mid 70's! Westerly Airport at 10am had a dew of 72 and Groton was 71 so I don't believe these home station dews are too far off. As a side note... beach conditions have been beyond superb. Very warm waters for early July (low 70's), light to moderate surf with virtually no seaweed - you can clearly see the bottom in neck-deep waters. Seems every day there has been a breeze and I doubt the immediate beaches have made it much past 83 or 84 for highs (before the sea breeze kicks in in earnest). Chamber of Commerce days! All of this is a thank you and an AWT..Enjoy!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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