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Northeast Severe/Convective/Thunder thread V


Typhoon Tip

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PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION

NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD

835 AM EDT MON JUL 02 2012

VALID 12Z FRI JUL 06 2012 - 12Z MON JUL 09 2012

...MONSOON THUNDERSTORMS TO REMAIN A FIXTURE ACROSS THE

INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND SATURDAY ACROSS THE

NORTHERN PLAINS AND NORTHEAST RESPECTIVELY..

Wiz' is going to take a wiz when he reads this ...

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euro is faster with the shortwave/mcs Wed. morning...entering the area by 12z

Wednesday does seem to having timing trouble. Also, the NAM is trying to actually induce a closed circulation at the surface pretty much right over head, and that stops warm sector penetration.

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Wednesday does seem to having timing trouble. Also, the NAM is trying to actually induce a closed circulation at the surface pretty much right over head, and that stops warm sector penetration.

Yeah I think timing may make the 4th a fail

Yeah messy trends with regards to that...But still not counting out something interesting even if it comes in the morning

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PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION

NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD

835 AM EDT MON JUL 02 2012

VALID 12Z FRI JUL 06 2012 - 12Z MON JUL 09 2012

...MONSOON THUNDERSTORMS TO REMAIN A FIXTURE ACROSS THE

INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND SATURDAY ACROSS THE

NORTHERN PLAINS AND NORTHEAST RESPECTIVELY..

Wiz' is going to take a wiz when he reads this ...

How about a derecho from the Dakotas to New england coast Friday morning through Sat night?

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Yeah messy trends with regards to that...But still not counting out something interesting even if it comes in the morning

Yeah the GFS is really meh. The NAM has a potent follow up shortwave which would be lots of fun for the afternoon/evening. The timing issue is just as much about getting the follow up shortwave in here quickly.

The NAM, by far, is most aggressive.

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have you noticed how everyone is tossing that term around now? it's all over twitter

Yeah its a disaster lol...I knew what we were in for with that term when I was watching sportscenter Sat morning, and the guy who was reporting on the damage at AT&T national called it out.

The 12z euro today does show a very long-lived MCS in that timeframe though. I can dream.

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Yeah its a disaster lol...I knew what we were in for with that term when I was watching sportscenter Sat morning, and the guy who was reporting on the damage at AT&T national called it out.

The 12z euro today does show a very long-lived MCS in that timeframe though. I can dream.

oh yeah no i wasn't calling you out at all.

things just always become the flavor of the month. i've seen so many people talking about an MCS and the potential for a derecho to accompany it.

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oh yeah no i wasn't calling you out at all.

things just always become the flavor of the month. i've seen so many people talking about an MCS and the potential for a derecho to accompany it.

That's because the media only cares about something when it hits DC or NY.

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Do people use it a lot? I only use the climo data on there and Jeff Master's blog... I find the rest of the site clutter and non-user friendly.

I use it for the Euro, and their radar. Jeff does have a good blog, and I hope that they let him continue using it.

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