mike2010 Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 I didn't expect so much clearing in central PA , could get nasty the next few hours. Thought maybe they'd go with a short-fuse mod risk @ 12:30 , but I guess not. ADDITIONALLY...ASCENT WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY FOCUSED ALONG THE COLD FRONT...SUCH THAT THE AFOREMENTIONED WIND/THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL FAVOR A MESSY CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION WITH A MIX OF CLUSTERS/LINE SEGMENTS EXPECTED ALONG AND WELL E OF THE COLD FRONT. DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR TO BE THE MOST PROBABLE THREAT... http://www.spc.noaa....k/day1otlk.html EDIT: very heavy rain right now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 SPC meso discussion out, %40 chance of watch issuance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike2010 Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 nice solid line forming. (kinda unexpected) Watch just Issued. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 No love for nw burlco oh well, I'll still take the rain if the line makes it here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 I believe it's all or nothing on the counties with regard to watches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 No love for nw burlco oh well, I'll still take the rain if the line makes it here... Convective watches are for the entire county, so Burlington county was left out at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 I believe it's all or nothing on the counties with regard to watches. Convective watches are for the entire county, so Burlington county was left out at this point. Oops, my bad. Thanks for the clarification. It looked like kind of an odd exclusion given the other counties included, and the path of the line (so far)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Hate to ask imby, but I'm headed to happy hour and don't have time to check things out... We gonna get stormed on down here in Sea Isle? Or we capped? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maximum lawman Posted August 5, 2012 Author Share Posted August 5, 2012 With any luck this'll be the 4th time I've been warned since I started this thread (though 2 were busts for MBY). So, sorry, but there may be another thread of mine in the future. There's a little supercell bullseye around Aberdeen-wonder if anything will pop in front of the main line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Hate to ask imby, but I'm headed to happy hour and don't have time to check things out... We gonna get stormed on down here in Sea Isle? Or we capped? you got a while till they reach down there..probably after 730 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Not much of anything up here. A few rumbles of thunder and some moderate rain at the immediate moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike2010 Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 non-stop rolling thunder now. I see 3 chasers just got hit head-on with the cell that's about to hit here. (GrEarth) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Not much of anything up here. A few rumbles of thunder and some moderate rain at the immediate moment. And that was that. The warning for the area from CTP sounded ominous mentioning 60mph gusts, intense lightning, and quarter sized hail. I just made a fool out of myself at an outdoor party, telling everyone what was coming. We got nothing more than a plain old thundershower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 And that was that. The warning for the area from CTP sounded ominous mentioning 60mph gusts, intense lightning, and quarter sized hail. I just made a fool out of myself at an outdoor party, telling everyone what was coming. We got nothing more than a plain old thundershower. Been there before bro, it happens...my fiance already thinks im nuts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 pre storm hit clouds rolling in here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Pocono Raceway likely getting hammered right now. A NASCAR race being run there means a lot fans in the path of the storm. Damaging winds are probably occurring close to where the track is located. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Been there before bro, it happens...my fiance already thinks im nuts Yeah, it happened at work once this year. It was one of the days when we were in mod risk and nothing (largely) happened. Now I just mention the possibility of storms if asked... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Pocono Raceway likely getting hammered right now. A NASCAR race being run there means a lot fans in the path of the storm. Damaging winds are porbably occurring close to where the track is located. NWS Mount Holly is in contact with them all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike2010 Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 decent t-storm , almost no wind though. Stronger DBZ's just south of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 And that was that. The warning for the area from CTP sounded ominous mentioning 60mph gusts, intense lightning, and quarter sized hail. I just made a fool out of myself at an outdoor party, telling everyone what was coming. We got nothing more than a plain old thundershower. what you have to take from those warnings, is that not every locale in that warning area is going to get those kinds of winds. They mention it is capable of producing those kinds of winds and hail from areas previously hit. When you get straight line wind damge its very sporadic. Unless you have a derecho coming in where its just a wall of wind, must of the time the high wind areas are very isolated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 gr2 is showing a little pocket of 60+ mph winds just south of reading, at 7100 ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 what you have to take from those warnings, is that not every locale in that warning area is going to get those kinds of winds. They mention it is capable of producing those kinds of winds and hail from areas previously hit. When you get straight line wind damge its very sporadic. Unless you have a derecho coming in where its just a wall of wind, must of the time the high wind areas are very isolated. Oh, I understand that, but the line when it was along I-81 looked solid, then just kind of fell apart in the local region. We seriously got nothing more than a thundershower. It rained for about 10 minutes, had about 5 rumbles of thunder, and no wind at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NickD2011 Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 I noticed all the severe thunderstorm warnings say the same thing, 60 mph winds, hail, lightning. Most severe warned storms don't produce 60 mph winds or hail. We really need another category of severe thunderstorm warnings to differentiate between the storms that actually have a history of damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plokoon111 Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 So what are the chances that this falls apart as it approaches Bucks, Philly ect? It seems that always happens once it passes the lehigh valley. Like the dreaded derecho hype recently lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 definitely will be some heavy rain with this line if it holds. Pwats are in the 2-2.2 range which loaded moisture wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 definitely will be some heavy rain with this line if it holds. Pwats are in the 2-2.2 range which loaded moisture wise. Yeah, line looks solid for at least a good downpour as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wederwarrior Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Much anticipated relief from today's humidity! I almost had collapsed from humidity/heat at a baseball game today...not fun dumping here in N Berks, some wind and rumbles but no real CTG lights Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 I noticed all the severe thunderstorm warnings say the same thing, 60 mph winds, hail, lightning. Most severe warned storms don't produce 60 mph winds or hail. We really need another category of severe thunderstorm warnings to differentiate between the storms that actually have a history of damage. These do...and it's been almost all wind so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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