SmokeEater Posted August 3, 2012 Share Posted August 3, 2012 Can't believe I just watched TWO...not one, but TWO storms head right for my parents and then miss them... both by splitting and dissipating. At least you didn't drive almost to PA just to watch a cell die right in front of your eyes, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 you have lee's shield. My shield is taking a much needed break. Or its been traded, it hasnt been blocking me lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 Missed again today. So far this summer on the the days with pulse storms, we have only ended up with one light shower here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 Missed again today. So far this summer on the the days with pulse storms, we have only ended up with one light shower here. Bad luck in your neck of the woods. Nothing here today, but I've had close to 3 inches of rain in the past 10 days. With that said, I planted a few new crape myrtles in the yard today and digging into the dirt, it's bone dry not far from the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 Can't believe I just watched TWO...not one, but TWO storms head right for my parents and then miss them... both by splitting and dissipating. Welcome to Tamaqua. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 Well hello there, 30% almost to PHL now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 Bad luck in your neck of the woods. Nothing here today, but I've had close to 3 inches of rain in the past 10 days. With that said, I planted a few new crape myrtles in the yard today and digging into the dirt, it's bone dry not far from the surface. not much in Macungie lately- missed out on the storms that hit you. Sorry but planting trees this time of the year is not recommended unless you plan on watering them everyday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 Can't believe I just watched TWO...not one, but TWO storms head right for my parents and then miss them... both by splitting and dissipating. This is surprising because.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 Well hello there, 30% almost to PHL now. I have a feeling a chase day is ahead. I like the setup somewhere near Harrisburg or west north west of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 This is surprising because.... That doesn't usually happen to my parents. Looking at radar it was literally as if there was a shield right over Ewing. It was so weird. It happens all the time here in Elko though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 not much in Macungie lately- missed out on the storms that hit you. Sorry but planting trees this time of the year is not recommended unless you plan on watering them everyday. Meh, I planted a few Crape's last year in August and they were fine. Risky, a little...but considering we are moving toward middle August and the weather pattern is providing occasional rain I'm not too worried. I also have the time right now to water them daily if needed. They'll have time to root themselves before winter. As for the severe threat......I'm really not liking the fropa timing. Maybe some good stuff will race out well ahead of the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 Cell headed this way. Looks like it just popped up per the radar... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 Well hello there, 30% almost to PHL now. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html LOL...the 30% got shaved way back. We go from... ...MUCH OF THE NORTHEAST STATES/NEW ENGLAND TO OH/TN VALLEYS... DEEP CONVECTIVE/SEVERE POTENTIAL ON SUNDAY WILL BE TIED TO THE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ADVANCEMENT OF A POTENT SUMMERTIME UPPER TROUGH...FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION/ONTARIO EARLY SUNDAY TO QUEBEC/NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY LATE SUNDAY. BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT WITH A MODERATELY STRONG BELT OF WESTERLIES WILL OVERSPREAD THE UPPER OH VALLEY/NORTHEAST STATES INTO NEW ENGLAND THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...WITH CONSIDERABLY WEAKER WESTERLIES SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE TN VALLEY. AHEAD OF AN EASTWARD-MOVING COLD FRONT...IT SEEMS LIKELY THAT SCATTERED TSTMS/PERHAPS AN MCS WILL BE ONGOING EARLY SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS THE OH VALLEY/LOWER GREAT LAKES VICINITIES. SOME QUESTIONS LINGER REGARDING CLOUD COVER/PRECIPITATION FROM SATURDAY NIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY...AND THE EXACT MAGNITUDE/SPATIAL LOCATION OF PRIMARY PRE-FRONTAL DESTABILIZATION AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR AREAS SUCH AS THE UPPER OH VALLEY. IT IS CONCEIVABLE THAT EARLY DAY TSTMS AND REMNANT OUTFLOWS/PERHAPS EVEN AN MCV COULD BE FACTORS THAT INFLUENCE/FOCUS A REINVIGORATION OF TSTMS INTO A MOIST/INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR. WELL EAST OF THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT...OTHER TSTMS MAY MATURE SUNDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF NY/PA INTO FAR WESTERN NEW ENGLAND IN VICINITY OF HIGHER TERRAIN AND POSSIBLE CORRIDOR OF PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE/SURFACE TROUGH. REGARDLESS OF THESE DETAILS...A GENERAL INCREASE/INTENSIFICATION OF TSTMS IS LIKELY BY EARLY AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NY/PA AND OTHER PARTS OF THE UPPER OH VALLEY...SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE TN VALLEY. RELATIVELY HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT...STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES...AND MODERATE BUOYANCY /1000-3000 J PER KG SBCAPE/ WILL ACCOUNT FOR STRONG/SUSTAINED STORMS WITHIN A WEAK TO MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MULTICELLS/LINE SEGMENTS ARE LIKELY WITH DAMAGING WINDS AS THE PRIMARY OVERALL HAZARD...BUT SOME SUPERCELLS/PERHAPS EVEN A TORNADO MAY BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NY/PA INTO FAR WESTERN NEW ENGLAND WHERE DEEP LAYER SHEAR/LOW-LEVEL SRH WILL BE A BIT STRONGER. SEVERAL ORGANIZED QUASI-LINEAR CLUSTERS AND MCS/S MAY ULTIMATELY EVOLVE BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...WITH AT LEAST AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT /MAINLY DAMAGING WINDS/ REACHING AS FAR EAST AS INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND/NORTHEAST SEABOARD SUNDAY NIGHT. to... AREAS OF RAIN AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO EXIST EARLY IN THE PERIOD ALONG THE FRONT...FROM FAR WRN NY INTO ERN OH. THIS ACTIVITY MAY CONTAIN MARGINAL WIND OR HAIL AS IT PROGRESSES EWD ACROSS PA AND NY. HOWEVER...DESTABILIZATION IS EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL...WITH MOIST PROFILES AND EXPANDING CLOUDINESS. ALSO...LAPSE RATES ALOFT WILL BE WEAK WITH 500 MB TEMPERATURES AROUND -6 C. VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT WILL SOMEWHAT FAVOR ROTATION...BUT WITH WEAK UPDRAFTS...AND MARGINAL DEEP LAYER SHEAR...ONLY MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND WIND ARE EXPECTED. A BRIEF TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT GIVEN THE LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND MOIST PROFILES. THE BEST WIND PROFILES WILL BE OVER NRN AND WRN NY...THUS WILL MAINTAIN RELATIVELY HIGHER PROBS THERE FOR MAINLY WIND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 downpour here, some thunder. .30" so far from it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 yep torrential downpour at least 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 .48" just about over. just got the grass cut. good timing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 not quite 1" made it to .90" garden watered for the week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 wow, sauna outside, 80f , 83% humidty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 The cell in the Easton area is putting out a lot of lightning right now. Under a warning here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 Sounds like the cell is pulsing down now. Nice downpour with it - 0.25" in the rain guage with a wind gust to 30MPH at its peak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 Totally getting screwed in Allentown today. Well, it had to happen at least once this summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pellice Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 Wow, Mt. Holly had it to the minute for thunderstorm timing. The special statement said 4:00 for Somerset, and 4:00 it was, precisely. This one came up fast. I was out running errands 20 minutes ago, got back, happened to look out again and the storm was approaching. Edit - lots of wind for about 10 minutes. Between 40-45 mph, I would say. Heaviest rain of the year, still raining heavily. Good storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 Congrats to everyone getting hit today. Missed again so far today. This week we are at a total of 0.04. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 Alot of our area is NOT seeing activity today, that was the idea all along really. Tomorrow afternoon/night is our real shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted August 4, 2012 Share Posted August 4, 2012 Alot of our area is NOT seeing activity today, that was the idea all along really. Tomorrow afternoon/night is our real shot. Yeah, Bucks has gotten lucky these past 2 days. Hopefully tomorrow will be good for us down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike2010 Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 rare long term svr discussion today. THIS PATTERN SHOULD MEAN HUMID SUMMER WARMTH TO PREVAIL THROUGH MOST OF THIS PERIOD WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR SEVERAL MORE SHORT FUSE HYDRO AND WIND/HAIL RELATED CONVECTIVE WARNING DAYS. SVR POTENTIAL: WED...TT NEAR 50. MLCAPE 1200J. EC/GFS HAVE LARGE MID LVL LAPSE RATES INDICATED. SO DESPITE WEAK SHEAR LIKE THIS AFTERNOONS ACTIVITY...ISO SVR IS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTN/EVE. THU...CONTINUES VERY UNSTABLE...AND LOOKS SIMILAR TO WEDNESDAY. FRI...MODELED 0-6KM SHEAR GROWS /30KT/...SO ITS POSSIBLE WE`LL HAVE AN EXTENSIVE SVR OUTBREAK IN THE AFTN/EVE NW PTN OF THE FA I95 NWWD. TT NEAR 50. SAT... UNCERTAINTY BUT SEEMS LIKE A HIGH TT DAY AS COLD TROUGH ALOFT DEVELOPS EWD AND SHEAR CONTINUES LARGE SO TENTATIVELY...MAY NEED TO MONITOR FOR SVR. TEMPS: CALENDAR DAY AVG`S GENERALLY AOA NORMAL THROUGH MOST OF THIS FCST PERIOD WITH THE BEST CHC FOR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL SEEMING TO BE TUESDAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesis Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Nice discussion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 Nice discussion You gotta love discussions from Walt Drag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 ...NORTHEAST U.S. SWWD ACROSS THE OH VALLEY TO THE MID MS VALLEY... THE ADVANCING SURFACE COLD FRONT -- LIKELY ACCOMPANIED BY ONGOING STORMS AT THE START OF THE PERIOD -- WILL FOCUS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY THROUGH THE PERIOD AS IT CROSSES THE NORTHEAST AND MIDWEST REGIONS. THOUGH GENERALLY WEAK LAPSE RATES ARE PROGGED ACROSS THE PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR -- PARTICULARLY ALONG THE NRN EXTENT OF THE FRONT ACROSS THE NORTHEAST STATES...LOCAL HEATING OF THE MOIST LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS WILL YIELD AMPLE INSTABILITY TO SUPPORT THE ONGOING CONVECTION. THE STRONGEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE CONFINED TO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AREA...AS THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH LIFTS NEWD ACROSS SERN CANADA TOWARD THE MARITIMES. THIS SUGGESTS A SLIGHTLY GREATER POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION -- AND ASSOCIATED DAMAGING WIND THREAT -- ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN AND WRN NY STATE. ELSEWHERE FARTHER SWWD ALONG THE FRONT...ISOLATED STRONGER GUSTS AND MARGINAL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE -- MAINLY FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH MID EVENING WITH WEAKLY ORGANIZED CONVECTION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted August 5, 2012 Share Posted August 5, 2012 If you guys are chasing today you should set up between Selinsgrove, Williamsport, and Mansfield. And leave like now. Tioga County in pa sounds like where I'd wanna be come 2-4 pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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