Lookout Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Not the greatest coordination between gsp/ffc. Have 60% pops here today while one county next door has 20% and the other has 30% (despite the vort max gsp mentions). Probably FFC's fault if anything since I remember Isohume mentioning it's so hard to coordinate with them. Past today though they are in good agreement and it's nice to see such high pops for an extended period of time. Just hope I don't get screwed the entire period, which honestly wouldn't surprise me. But already seeing quite a few storms in NW Ga and even one between atlanta and athens (although there isn't much, if any, cumulus clouds except in northwest Ga). But seeing a storm forming so early is hopefully a good sign. Just want to see the cumulus develop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Not the greatest coordination between gsp/ffc. Have 60% pops here today while one county next door has 20% and the other has 30% (despite the vort max gsp mentions). Probably FFC's fault if anything since I remember Isohume mentioning it's so hard to coordinate with them. Past today though they are in good agreement and it's nice to see such high pops for an extended period of time. Just hope I don't get screwed the entire period, which honestly wouldn't surprise me. But already seeing quite a few storms in NW Ga and even one between atlanta and athens (although there isn't much, if any, cumulus clouds except in northwest Ga). But seeing a storm forming so early is hopefully a good sign. Just want to see the cumulus develop. Funny you mention that because it took GSP a couple days but they're gradually changing their forecast for the Sunday/Monday timeframe. Earlier in the week GSP was hinting that the next front would sag far enough to virtually eliminate the pops from its northern half of the CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Had a great storm here last night that resulted in a rare MRX issued flash flood warning. I've only ever seen a handful of those issued. The last one here was during TS Lee. Got over 3 inches of rain, but despite this, the constant lightning apparently caused fires all over the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Based on the new mesoscale model guidance and the current lack of cumulus I think that the current TWC, NWS etc forecasts of 60% POP here are overdone- we may get very little in the way of storms this afternoon. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Hey, Cheez, you and I have done well this month, after both getting the rain shaft nearly the whole year. I'm almost due south of downtown, are you almost due north? That narrow band that rocked me on the 3rd was only a few miles wide down here, and it was running due north, though I don't know how far north of Atl. It is clouding up here, but nothing that is climbing to the vault yet. I had .16 last night so I'm now at 5.96 for the month. Sure would like to get over the top tonight There is the making of a sun dog I just spotted, so I'll be checking out there again soon. Still in the mid 80's, but the humidity makes it feel in the 90's. Still, I'll take this for July easy. Tony Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Stuck in a torrential downpour om I285 in stopped traffic while home in Marietta looks dry as a bone Lighting and rain is impressive here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Have had some good rains today with about an inch at my home. Looks like another storm coming in. We have had one dry day and that was on Monday. Yesterday we had some rain and today we have had a lot of rain. Current temp is 79 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Year to date rainfall departure; courtesy of James Spann on Facebook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Bad forecast by me for sure- but I will take the additional .75". Up to just a hair below 7" for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Hey, Cheez, you and I have done well this month, after both getting the rain shaft nearly the whole year. I'm almost due south of downtown, are you almost due north? That narrow band that rocked me on the 3rd was only a few miles wide down here, and it was running due north, though I don't know how far north of Atl. I live just inside the Dekalb line due east of downtown. As I stated in my recent post, up to almost 7" now for July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Alrighty then, the race is on You've gotten hit over and over, and I got 4+ in one go, .9 in one go, and the rest in tenths at a time. I've got an inch to make up, and I can hear the thunder! You've got professionalism and science.... and I've got the moles, lol., but we've added a met to the southside of town, so I like my chances. Mid 80's thru the afternoon.... you just can't buy that in July too often! T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 I've got an out flow boundry going south and one going north about to meet just south of me, with rain headed up and rain headed down Boom or bust in a while..... am I in the hole, or out this time? T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Getting some heavy rain right now along with some lightning and thunder. I thought I was getting the shaft but a storm has popped directly over me. This makes the 9th straight day of measurable rain for mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted July 18, 2012 Author Share Posted July 18, 2012 Nice 30-40mph gusts with an outflow boundary moving north. Had some moderate rain with decent wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 .67 fell in about a 30 minute period earlier this afternoon as a couple cells merged overhead. That makes 9 of 11 days with something in the rain gauge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 After a couple of days without rain I picked up 1.5" tonight. I could look to my west during the downpour and see the sunset. The cutoff was drastic but luckily I was on the rainy side this time. Lots of close lightning and pretty breezy as well. My monthly total is over 6" now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 Barely got missed yesterday....again. I hate slow moving storms or ones that don't move at all. I had storms to the west and east/ne of me yesterday and didn't get anything. The ones to the east was no more than a few miles away too but they just sat there and didn't move an inch. What was even more frustrating though was that there was no cumulus surrounding the storm like you usually see..ie outflow boundaries and so forth. I did get that one good rain event last thursday night that actually put down more than sprinkles or a tenth or two that dries up in 2 days but that's been pretty much it this month here. Hopefully the high chances we have will finally give me something but when in the lookout screw zone, it's best not to be too hopeful. In addition, is the fact there is a lot of mid level clouds this morning so it's not a good sign for widespread coverage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 I got a quick 2.06" yesterday evening. Around 4:55pm the heaviest rainfall was at 0.81"/hr. I was picking up furniture and I got stuck in it...girlfriend didn't want to get out of the truck. Lol. Also saw amazing cloud to ground lightning with that cell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 Kentucky has been a hot spot for MCS activity as of recent...might be something of interest for TN/VA/NC in the next few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 Southwest VA and Tri-Cities in Tennessee better prepare...current MCS over Kentucky still diving southeast. It starting to show that climo trend of weakening over Southeast KY and spitting out an outflow boundary redeveloping over the Tri Cities. I think chances are at least 50/50 that it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 .09" last night gives me 1.01" for the month. Pathetic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 .09" last night gives me 1.01" for the month. Pathetic. You have probably had less rain than 99% of North GA. I pray that a huge storm dumps 5" of rain on your house. You deserve it lol. And I thought the 3.50" i've had this month was pathetic ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 Southwest VA and Tri-Cities in Tennessee better prepare...current MCS over Kentucky still diving southeast. It starting to show that climo trend of weakening over Southeast KY and spitting out an outflow boundary redeveloping over the Tri Cities. I think chances are at least 50/50 that it happens. lookin pretty good on LR composite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 No doubt HKY...its really starting to pick up along the TN/VA line...I wasn't really noticing earlier but the 2nd MCS that's getting ready to slam Lexington KY now has my attention as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 Major ripoff. It rains in my neighbors yard but not mine. Could walk into it and out of it, albeit light steady rain. Rainbow decides to form over the trees on my side though. Then fizzles when I go get my camera. Major ripoff #2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 .09" last night gives me 1.01" for the month. Pathetic. Sorry Justin, I ended up with .43" late yesterday. Today looks to be the first day without rain in 9 days. 3.47" for the month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted July 19, 2012 Share Posted July 19, 2012 Listening to the storms over Fuquay --- they look like they'll miss us to the NW. I'm guessing the cluster of storms around Albemarle will fizzle out before they get here with the loss of heating. I'll be in Concord the next 3 days - hoping that something falls in this yard while I'm gone. Exactly zero precip here over the last 7 days. As disgusted as I am with the lack of rain here, I'm sure glad to see my friends down South of here cashing in on some hefty amounts over the last 2 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted July 20, 2012 Share Posted July 20, 2012 Listening to the storms over Fuquay --- they look like they'll miss us to the NW. I'm guessing the cluster of storms around Albemarle will fizzle out before they get here with the loss of heating. I'll be in Concord the next 3 days - hoping that something falls in this yard while I'm gone. Exactly zero precip here over the last 7 days. As disgusted as I am with the lack of rain here, I'm sure glad to see my friends down South of here cashing in on some hefty amounts over the last 2 weeks. We got the shaft in H'boro as well... but had a excellent lightning show with the cell that formed over Chapel Hill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted July 20, 2012 Share Posted July 20, 2012 Sorry Justin, I ended up with .43" late yesterday. Today looks to be the first day without rain in 9 days. 3.47" for the month FFC really dropped the ball today. This is what they said this morning : THEN CONVECTION WILL SPREAD NORTH AND SOUTH ALONG OUTFLOWS...RESULTING IN THAT NUMEROUS COVERAGE BY MID AFTERNOON AND PERSISTING THROUGH THE EVENING BEFORE GRADUALLY DISSIPATING SOMETIME AFTER MIDNIGHT. Looks to me like today was one of the most inactive days in a long time. They lowered my pops tonight from 60 to 50%. Not sure where this rain is going to come from because most of North GA is completely dry right now. I would think pops need to be lowered to about 0% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted July 20, 2012 Share Posted July 20, 2012 Should go over 8" of rain after today for July at Tri-Cities, TN (TRI). So thankful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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