calculus1 Posted July 16, 2012 Share Posted July 16, 2012 Got under a slow-moving storm yesterday afternoon and picked up 1.21 inches in under an hour. That about doubled my rain total for the week. Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted July 16, 2012 Share Posted July 16, 2012 Amazingly enough, the Sea breeze front and associated thin line of showers gave me 0.32 yesterday. After so many screwjobs, I feel lucky to say the least. But I still need one of those 4 to 6 inch rains, at least, in 2 hours or less to even come close to filling the lake up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx n of atl Posted July 16, 2012 Share Posted July 16, 2012 I just got back from vacation.. and total for the week was exactly 7 inches. I heard we got some rain but now I wonder if my weather station is reading correctly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted July 16, 2012 Share Posted July 16, 2012 Line of thunderstorms producing heavy rain in WNC piedmont currently. It's, once again, raining cats and dogs outside. I picked up 1.21 from the storm yesterday afternoon. We'll see what I end up with after this one today. Man, if it would just rain like this every summer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted July 16, 2012 Share Posted July 16, 2012 Well, I picked up 0.27 inch. Maybe a few more hundredths might be added on, but that was a decent shower. I believe locales to my south and east will be really racking up the rain totals as they storms continue to strengthen. Lots of severe thunderstorm warnings currently for those counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted July 16, 2012 Author Share Posted July 16, 2012 Heavy rain and wind currently. 10 minutes later blue skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted July 16, 2012 Share Posted July 16, 2012 Had a big storm develop over and just to the NE and moved southwest. Lots of CTG lightning winds and heavy rain. Picked up .86" This recent wet period has been great - everything is green and growing like crazy lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted July 16, 2012 Share Posted July 16, 2012 Really nice cell just developed and is starting to slide south of here towards I-40...prob close to another inch of rain today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted July 16, 2012 Share Posted July 16, 2012 SCORE!!! 0.07" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 just missed by yards... literallly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 It's been too wet here. I never thought I'd say it (came close last Summer). This pattern has definitely produced in my part of NC. I guess it's relative to what I'm used to nowadays, after so many Summers of a tenth here, a trace here and there, and small puny cells that skipped this area to reform downstream, its about time to feel "normal". Looks like the pattern will continue on. I'm at 5.73" for the month. I think 8" is possible here, and even a slight chance at 10", which only occurs 2 or 3 times a decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 It's been too wet here. I never thought I'd say it (came close last Summer). This pattern has definitely produced in my part of NC. I guess it's relative to what I'm used to nowadays, after so many Summers of a tenth here, a trace here and there, and small puny cells that skipped this area to reform downstream, its about time to feel "normal". Looks like the pattern will continue on. I'm at 5.73" for the month. I think 8" is possible here, and even a slight chance at 10", which only occurs 2 or 3 times a decade. I'm a 1.8" with a reasonable shot at 2". OF RAIN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 I'm a 1.8" with a reasonable shot at 2". OF RAIN Yeah, not so much in western VA around Roanoke down to north central NC and part of central VA and northeast NC. The mountains played a part in some downsloping and when the best Bermuda flow was with us, it favored the mountains and further south, but scattered areas are doing ok. Give it a little more time,looks like you'll end up with more than 2" on the month. ECMWF has a decent amount coming for the next week to ten days, but like you when in drought, expect to lean more toward the dry side, but that can and does change eventually. Overall the flow is atleast a 30 year climo normal wet pattern or even above normal for the Southeast, but unfortunately not every area will get the above totals. The flow changes Fri/Sat and then maybe another area of weakeness around Alabama which would help NC's chances of more overunning type of southerly flow with a boundary in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 After today's rainfall, my measurements now stand at 4.61 inches for the month. That's crazy! And while not every day has featured downpours, I have had measurable rainfall (x > 0.01) at my house six out of the last seven days. I don't think I can touch Met1985's totals yet, and I'm not up to Foothills' amount, but this has been a truly pleasant surprise. The really wild part about these totals is that the two driest days for my backyard were Wednesday and Thursday of this past week. If you'll recall, those were the days that were incredibly moist and cool outside. I don't believe I saw the sun for more than 5 minutes either day, as they featured low, thick clouds almost constantly. The highs on those two days IMBY were 78.0 and 74.6, respectively, and yet I saw a total of 0.03 inch of rainfall (all of it on Wednesday). Everyone else in GA, NC, and SC seemed to be racking up big totals on those days, and I was a little upset at my "misfortune," but I've cashed in these past several days through pop-up t-storms. I'm reminded of the tongue-twister on one of my children's "Kid's Songs" CD: Whether the weather be cold, Or whether the weather be hot, Whatever the weather, We'll weather the weather, Whether we like it or not! Man, I love this hobby! There's always something interesting to comment on or to follow, even if it's not in your own backyard... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Yeah, not so much in western VA around Roanoke down to north central NC and part of central VA and northeast NC. The mountains played a part in some downsloping and when the best Bermuda flow was with us, it favored the mountains and further south, but scattered areas are doing ok. Give it a little more time,looks like you'll end up with more than 2" on the month. ECMWF has a decent amount coming for the next week to ten days, but like you when in drought, expect to lean more toward the dry side, but that can and does change eventually. Overall the flow is atleast a 30 year climo normal wet pattern or even above normal for the Southeast, but unfortunately not every area will get the above totals. The flow changes Fri/Sat and then maybe another area of weakeness around Alabama which would help NC's chances of more overunning type of southerly flow with a boundary in the area. I'm hopeful, but again tonight I got to watch several warned storms drop down from VA and completely disappear one county north of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 just missed by yards... literallly Know that feeling --- was telling Robert earlier today that on Saturday, I watched a nice shower fall 800' from our place ---2 lots away. We didn't even get any blow-off raindrops from it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Another .47" here earlier- now at 6.24" for July making it the wettest month of 2012, surpassing January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Another .47" here earlier- now at 6.24" for July making it the wettest month of 2012, surpassing January. You're Jan & Jul totals are almost my year total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Yeah, not so much in western VA around Roanoke down to north central NC and part of central VA and northeast NC. The mountains played a part in some downsloping and when the best Bermuda flow was with us, it favored the mountains and further south, but scattered areas are doing ok. Give it a little more time,looks like you'll end up with more than 2" on the month. ECMWF has a decent amount coming for the next week to ten days, but like you when in drought, expect to lean more toward the dry side, but that can and does change eventually. Overall the flow is atleast a 30 year climo normal wet pattern or even above normal for the Southeast, but unfortunately not every area will get the above totals. The flow changes Fri/Sat and then maybe another area of weakeness around Alabama which would help NC's chances of more overunning type of southerly flow with a boundary in the area. Good post as always. Although I missed out on the line of storms out of sc last night, it wasn't too bothersome (although I need all the rain I can get)....since everyone has a decent shot virtually every day of seeing storms and some rain (even likely on friday in some areas outside the mountains). That is sooooo much better than those long periods of no shot or virtually not shot rain for 10 or 20 days...or even longer that we have had so many times in the past. Short of a tropical system, that's the best you can hope for and better than many of the summers we have suffered through the last 6 years at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Raleigh Discussion: THURSDAY WILL FEATURE THE SURFACE FRONT SLIDING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC SATES AND INTO VIRGINIA BY THURSDAY NIGHT FORCED BY A SURFACE 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OUT OF SOUTHERN ONTARIO. THE ECMWF CONTINUES TO BE THE PREFERRED MODEL WITH A BLEND OF THE NAM AS THE GFS CONTINUES TO BE VERY AGGRESSIVE WITH THE SYSTEM. A SURFACE TROUGH WILL PERSIST ACROSS NORTH CAROLINA AND WITH THE BERMUDA HIGH ALREADY OPENING THE GULF OF MEXICO UP...MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL BE BEST SOUTH AND EAST OF THE TROUGH. THIS REGION WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MODEL FORECAST SOUNDING SHOW PLENTY OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TO WORK WITH. INVERTED-V SOUNDINGS WITH TALL SKINNY CAPE SHOULD MAKE WIND THE PRIMARY THREAT IN THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S AND DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW 70S WILL MAKE HEAT INDICES RISE INTO THE LOW 100S THURSDAY AFTERNOON. LOWS THURSDAY NIGHT IN THE LOWER 70S. ON FRIDAY THE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NC AND BEGIN TO DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED SETTLING OVER THE STATE FOR THE DURATION OF THE DAY. STRONG MOISTURE TRANSPORT OVER MOST OF THE STATE WILL HELP INCREASE PRECIPITABLE WATERS FURTHER TO OVER 2.25 INCHES. ALL OF THE CWA WILL HAVE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES SLIGHTLY FAVORING THE SOUTHERN TIER WHERE TEMPS AND DEWPOINTS WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL KEEP HIGHS ON FRIDAY IN THE MID 80S. FORECAST SOUNDINGS PRESENT MORE TROPICAL LIKE FEATURES ON FRIDAY WITH HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT THROUGHOUT THE COLUMN BUT QUITE A BIT LOWER LAPSE RATES THAN PREVIOUS DAYS. THIS MIGHT MAKE HEAVY RAIN A BIGGER THREAT THAN WIND OR HAIL BUT THERE IS STILL TOO MUCH INSTABILITY AND BOUNDARY INTERACTION TO RULE OUT AND SEVERE STORMS AT THIS POINT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SATURDAY WILL SEE THE FRONT CONTINUE TO MARCH SOUTHWARD AND A DRYING TREND BEGINS FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. WILL KEEP CHANCE POPS IN THE SOUTH ON SATURDAY AND PHASE THEM OUT BY SUNDAY AS A DRIER AIRMASS MOVES IN FROM THE NORTH. SUNDAY AND MONDAY SHOULD BE PLEASANT WITH A CLEARING TREND AND HIGH TEMPERATURES TOPPING OUT IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S...A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted July 17, 2012 Author Share Posted July 17, 2012 Nice under a severe thunderstorm watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Yesterday CAE picked up .03, LB Owens (next to the stadium) picked up .61......mby got to listen to the sound of distant thunder for a few hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Yesterday, WRAL was hyping the storms, saying they could be severe, and nothing happened. No mention of storms in the forecast today and it's currently storming here in RTP. Typical for them this spring and summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Yesterday, WRAL was hyping the storms, saying they could be severe, and nothing happened. No mention of storms in the forecast today and it's currently storming here in RTP. Typical for them this spring and summer. You really don't get the "hit or miss" concept in summer thunderstorm forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted July 17, 2012 Author Share Posted July 17, 2012 80% chance of rain x severe thunderstorm watch= Nothing. 30-40% chance of rain since July 10th = > 0.01 each day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Today is going to end up being just the 2nd out of the last 10 days in which no rainfall occurred... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 House shaking thunder started up about 5ish, and then the rains set in. Two hours later I've eaked up to a whole one tenth of an inch, and it still falls out there. I'm at 5.9 for the month now, and want very much to break 6 inches tonight. Maybe if this drippy drizzle continues until 9 or 10 I can get there, lol. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Day 8 with measureable rain. Only. 01" here at home. At work in norcross we got drilled with a doosey around 2:00pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 3+" fell 7 miles to our NW earlier this evening with that stalled storm over Clayton/Flowers... nothing here but listening their thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Yesterday, WRAL was hyping the storms, saying they could be severe, and nothing happened. No mention of storms in the forecast today and it's currently storming here in RTP. Typical for them this spring and summer. Maybe something will hit you today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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