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July 1-8, 2012 Heat & Storms


Herb@MAWS

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Even when DCA/BWI/IAD were hitting 104-106 the last two years, mine has barely touched 100. I figure 101 or 102 is the max my yard/elevation can get to. Only need a few more degrees.

I think it's trees. My neighborhood is quited wooded. Yours is too right?

Alot of shade at the surface prob prevents maxing out pretty easily. I would love to put a remote thermo on top of my tallest tulip poplar. It would be interesting to get readings 60' up.

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1730 SPC Day 2 still 30% slight... states better frontal convergnce may result in a more concentrated severe potential across VA/Delmarva portion of 30% risk area

Won't be a moderate I don't think. Maybe a high end slight.

Yeah that was the part that peaked my interest yoder

Probably will be a decent severe event but not like the derecho. I stand to be corrected possibly.

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I think it's trees. My neighborhood is quited wooded. Yours is too right?

Alot of shade at the surface prob prevents maxing out pretty easily. I would love to put a remote thermo on top of my tallest tulip poplar. It would be interesting to get readings 60' up.

If yours are like my backyard, the trees, grass and vegetation make the DP much higher than the official. I think that keeps the air temp a little lower maybe. I'm running about 8 degrees higher on DP.

Hardly a breeze in area...seems we had more mixing on 6/29.

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Won't be a moderate I don't think. Maybe a high end slight.

Probably will be a decent severe event but not like the derecho. I stand to be corrected possibly.

Maybe a mdt somewhere, I think a pretty good event, some places will get hit hard. Hard to get conditions like the derecho twice in a week, but a moderate I feel like will be somewhere, and if not tonight a judgement call at game time tomorrow. Ill look at some params and models tonight and see if I have to change my viewpoint.

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we are going to put up a 104/82 which will tie our hottest day on record and nobody really cares

I would have cared more earlier in the week when I had no power. Now I think it interesting and sad but I guess if it is going to be over 100 I'd prefer a record to a run of the mill 100 plus day.

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Maybe a mdt somewhere, I think a pretty good event, some places will get hit hard. Hard to get conditions like the derecho twice in a week, but a moderate I feel like will be somewhere, and if not tonight a judgement call at game time tomorrow. Ill look at some params and models tonight and see if I have to change my viewpoint.

I guess. Moderates are really tough to get, though. I think a slight with 30% wind and hatching might be the way to go for this event. Plus...slight is a good bet now since you are usually bullish ;)

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