Bob Chill Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 The dew pt at DCA is 55 on a NW wind. Best of luck getting much with that. It will manufacture its own moist air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 Looks pretty garden variety right now. As folks have said - we need the rain, so no problem for me. Plus, I've been tasked with watering the neighbors plants while they are away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 The dew pt at DCA is 55 on a NW wind. Best of luck getting much with that. Now it's at 53. Mine, and surrounding areas is still in the mid 60's. Feels horrible to me. Areas to the west and south of DC are still quite moist, in the mid 60's to around 70 further south toward Fredericksburg. We got about .08 with that shower that came thru around 5am. Other than that, nothing since 6/29's .20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 Now it's at 53. Mine, and surrounding areas is still in the mid 60's. Feels horrible to me. Areas to the west and south of DC are still quite moist, in the mid 60's to around 70 further south toward Fredericksburg. We got about .08 with that shower that came thru around 5am. Other than that, nothing since 6/29's .20. we could see some storms but we've mixed out across the dc/balt area which is pretty common here. we don't have much if any of that EML influence we had last week right now at least. cape is actually pretty low across this part of the area at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 dry air may promote some downbursts. the stuff in pa looks pretty decent--like we'd probably have more people watching if it wasnt for friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 well looking at gr analyst they look kinda meh but eh we usually have crappy storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 Skies starting to get that dark gray look up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 cell near breezewood pa looks like it might get warned soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 Skies starting to get that dark gray look up here. We need the rain but storms out of the NW never fare well for FDK. The heavier stuff will go through Thurmont into Carroll and Baltimore Counties. We'll end up with a 2 min light shower. Ok, this is true in about 85% of cases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 We need the rain but storms out of the NW never fare well for FDK. The heavier stuff will go through Thurmont into Carroll and Baltimore Counties. We'll end up with a 2 min light shower. Ok, this is true in about 85% of cases. True very true... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1376 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0458 PM CDT TUE JUL 03 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SERN OH...MUCH OF WV...WRN VA...PARTS OF WRN/CNTRL MD...S-CNTRL PA CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 032158Z - 040030Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT SUMMARY...ISOLATED MARGINALLY SVR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF THE OH VALLEY TO THE MID ATLANTIC. ANY SVR THREAT SHOULD REMAIN LARGELY MARGINAL/BRIEF/SPORADIC...AND...AS SUCH...A WW IS NOT NEEDED. DISCUSSION...SFC MESOANALYSIS PLACES AN ARCING...COMPOSITE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY/DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ZONE OWING TO EARLIER CONVECTION AND DEBRIS CLOUDINESS/SHOWERS EXTENDING FROM S-CNTRL UPSTATE NY THROUGH CNTRL PA TO SOUTH OF MORGANTOWN WV AND FARTHER NW TO JUST EAST OF COLUMBUS OH TO TOLEDO OH. A SFC MESOHIGH DRIVEN BY DIABATIC COOLING PROCESSES IS LOCATED NW OF THIS BOUNDARY IN WRN PA. LOW-LEVEL ASCENT ALONG THIS BOUNDARY AUGMENTED BY CROSS-BOUNDARY DIFFERENTIAL-HEATING-INDUCED BAROCLINICITY CONTINUES TO SUPPORT ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTIVE INITIATION. WITH 10-15 KT OF WLY TO NWLY FLOW BELOW 6 KM AGL PER REGIONAL VWP DATA...EWD/SEWD-MOVING COLD POOLS WILL FOSTER ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE REGENERATION/PROPAGATION AMIDST 1000-2000 J/KG OF MLCAPE WITHIN A ZONE OF ENHANCED SFC THETA-E SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY. THE AFOREMENTIONED DEGREE OF BUOYANCY WILL SUPPORT A THREAT FOR VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS AND MARGINALLY SVR HAIL POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST CORES. AMPLE DCAPE -- IN EXCESS OF 800 J/KG IN MANY INSTANCES AND IN EXCESS OF 1100 J/KG IN OHIO -- WILL SUPPORT A MARGINALLY SVR WIND THREAT. WHILE A BROAD AREA OF ISOLATED STRONG TO PERHAPS MARGINALLY SVR STORM THREAT WILL EXIST FROM THE BLUE RIDGE WWD ACROSS WV...THE THREAT AREA NARROWS INTO CNTRL OH OWING TO A DRY SLOT PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY THAT EXTENDS FROM CNTRL IND INTO W-CNTRL OH. THIS IS PROMOTING BOUNDARY-LAYER DRYING VIA VERTICAL MIXING AND CAPE REDUCTION ACROSS W-CNTRL OH. WEAK DEEP SHEAR AND THE EVENTUAL ONSET OF NOCTURNAL COOLING SHOULD KEEP ANY SVR THREAT BRIEF IN DURATION AND SPARSE IN COVERAGE. ..COHEN/HART.. 07/03/2012 ATTN...WFO...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN... LAT...LON 40248298 40648273 40418197 39898118 39527999 39517911 39757819 39987731 39317721 38167788 37517888 37498009 37798123 38378218 39018265 39718291 40248298 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 Warning just went up for Frederick Co. I am just outside the western edge of the warning box. The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... northern Frederick County in north central Maryland... Washington County in north central Maryland... * until 645 PM EDT * at 605 PM EDT...severe thunderstorms were detected along a line extending from 11 miles north of Long Meadow to Sleepy Creek...and were moving southeast at 35 mph. This line of storms is capable of producing hail up to the size of quarters and damaging winds in excess of 60 mph. * Locations impacted include... Long Meadow... Municipal Stadium... Williamsport... Hagerstown... Emmitsburg... Boonsboro... Wolfsville... Thurmont... This is a dangerous line of storms. If you are in its path...move indoors to a sturdy building and stay away from windows. When it is safe to do so...report severe weather to local law enforcement or to the National Weather Service. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormitecture Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 Incoming! Uggg....prefer not actually...want to work on the Spitfire, and the temperatures outside are just becoming bearable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 Some thunder, no lightning and some brief heavy rain here. Peak gust of 22 mph. Probably end up with 0.15- 0.20" of rain. Did knock the temp down into the 70's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormitecture Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 Debating weather I should even leave the house for this. I have to be out later anyway, and may go see a movie late....maybe. But if there is no structure or lightning...why bother. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 They're running into a less favorable environment headed into dc/balt corridor but they might hold together. Gust front opp? Maybe too dark (as usual here). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 The storm rolling through Fred Co Va is packing a punch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 The storm rolling through Fred Co Va is packing a punch. I can hear the thunder from it, even though its 20 miles past here. Enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 Ok I was going to post that this storm was not doing much of anything... but about a minute ago while we were eating dinner at the table I saw a lightning bolt about 200 yards out from the back of the house strike the corn field. The thunder from it shook the house! We all jumped out of our chairs. I have never had it that close before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 after 09-10 snow was never as good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 I can hear the thunder from it, even though its 20 miles past here. Enjoy. Still not much rain. Seems these storms have only wind. Good lightning though. I haven't checked the gauge (can)! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 after 09-10 snow was never as good Has it snowed since? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 Hmm if they can make across the last ridge from Clarke co, we may get a decent bang here in Leesburg, 45-50 dbz on radar. defintely getting dark skies to the west and very still outside. 88* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 Has it snowed since? no, i guess not... some outflow regen. woo gardenstorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 after 09-10 snow was never as good It basically didn't snow last year, and '10-'11 was close to a disaster (not including Jan 26)...so maybe we should just amend this to "after 09-10, it doesn't snow." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 Cool sky two mins ago here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 yay outflow is here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 Cool sky two mins ago here That baby has some wind with it. Or it did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 Ok I was going to post that this storm was not doing much of anything... but about a minute ago while we were eating dinner at the table I saw a lightning bolt about 200 yards out from the back of the house strike the corn field. The thunder from it shook the house! We all jumped out of our chairs. I have never had it that close before. That woulda been one of my best ever lightning shots if that ever happened to me, getting that close on the video. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted July 3, 2012 Share Posted July 3, 2012 Behind the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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