NEG NAO Posted July 18, 2012 Author Share Posted July 18, 2012 This watch only covers as far south as Union County NJ - Southeast New England seems to be the most likely severe location http://www.spc.noaa....products/watch/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 New outlook Looking even more widespread now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 This watch only covers as far south as Union County NJ - Sotheast New England seems to be the most likely severe location http://www.spc.noaa....products/watch/ Does anyone think more watches further south and west will be issued, I've noticed there is some 4500-5000 surface CAPE in western NJ and eastern PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Cell near HPN just got warned. IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Does anyone think more watches further south and west will be issued, I've noticed there is some 4500-5000 surface CAPE in western NJ and eastern PA. Yeah, the 30% was just expanded further SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 First severe thunderstorm warning of the day issued for Westchester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Cell near HPN just got warned. IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHT NING. Absolutely hail with that, like I said. Big ones too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 I would have to assume. Based on that map there absolutely should be watch for PA/Central NJ. Does anyone think more watches further south and west will be issued, I've noticed there is some 4500-5000 surface CAPE in western NJ and eastern PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Absolutely hail with that, like I said. Big ones too. My wife just drove through it and she said it was hailing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 i was just going to ask why I'm in the 30% area but not under a watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Absolutely hail with that, like I said. Big ones too. The constant lightning caught my eye as well. Like I said before...the hail threat may wind up being more severe than originally forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 My wife just drove through it and she said it was hailing. I can see the towers here in Westchester but it popped too far east for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueSkiesFading Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Took a pic of the TCU that popped up in a matter of minutes JUST to my north. The pic doesn't really do the clouds justice. They literally blew up in a matter of minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 New watch for western areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Could tell the minute it went up that was going to be a hail producer. Trials FTW Nice anvil on that visible from here in Nassau. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 That tower on that storm that is warned is impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 storms popping all over the shore of ct straight down to the east of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Too many cells to keep track of now. Wonder if there's a round two coming up as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 CravenSigSvr is really getting impressive to the north. Popping 70 in CNY This is for Trials: 1244 PM HAIL WHITE PLAINS 41.02N 73.76W 07/18/2012 E0.75 INCH WESTCHESTER NY TRAINED SPOTTER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Would like to see some organization of storms over the next hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 18, 2012 Author Share Posted July 18, 2012 ANOTHER SEVERE WATCH http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 491 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1245 PM EDT WED JUL 18 2012 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA DELAWARE MARYLAND NEW JERSEY SOUTHEAST NEW YORK CENTRAL AND EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA NORTHERN VIRGINIA EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA PANHANDLE COASTAL WATERS EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1245 PM UNTIL 900 PM EDT. HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES EAST OF STAUNTON VIRGINIA TO 25 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF WILKESBARRE PENNSYLVANIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 490... DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF COLD FRONT AND LEE TROUGH. AMBIENT WARM SECTOR IS HOT AND HUMID WITH MLCAPE VALUES OF 2000-3000+ J/KG. WHEN COUPLED WITH STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND HIGH PW VALUES...SETUP WILL FAVOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF INTENSE WET MICROBURSTS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS. AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31020. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 More organized structure/line with those cells in western jersey? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Took a pic of the TCU that popped up in a matter of minutes JUST to my north. The pic doesn't really do the clouds justice. They literally blew up in a matter of minutes. There were some impressive clouds to its north as well. I tried to take pics but got stuck in almost 1/2 hour traffic since the main road was closed. Another cell just popped to my north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxnyc Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Waiting for some action up in the Catskills, hot even here at 90 right now, bedsides for a shower that's dissapating just to my southwest there isnot much going on now seems most of the cells firing east northeast and southeast of my area in Sullivan county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 More organized structure/line with those cells in western jersey? Constant thunder here with the storm in Sussex spreading into Orange.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 4000j/kg of CAPE in NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 -RA 98.2/77 A few light showers moving through with the thunderstorms to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 Keep an eye on that cell in NWNJ, looking like its getting it's act together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 18, 2012 Share Posted July 18, 2012 2 lines forming in Sussex County moving east Keep an eye on that cell in NWNJ, looking like its getting it's act together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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