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JULY 2012 Severe Weather /Convection Discussion


NEG NAO

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Ocean County...severe weather capital of the east coast lately.

I'm telling ya, Jackson Twp-Toms River corridor seems to be a hot spot almost every year for strong convection. The severe northern portion of the cluster has weakened, but I can't complain this summer.

Tonight I've had lightning/thunder for almost 2 hours now. Nothing better than a good old fashioned stormy night (well, ok, a blizzard).

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Pretty crazy how central nassau really avoided the storms, as did most of the 5 boroughs and NE NJ...got .32 in the bucket, saw lightning to my north all afternoon, slipped south too far east in suffolk...since i was nailed several times in june i havent seen much since.

clouds looked great all around

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Guest Pamela

1.96" of rain today in the adjacent town of Mt. Sinai...1.65" with the dinner time storm and 0.31" with the late night one.

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hit 90 yesterday, some needed rain about a half inch but yesterdays rain will not do much of a dent really given 3 upcoming scorchers and then we see what Wednesday pm brings...the lawns should be pretty dormant for the forseeable future.

Isotherm...do not know about NYC but Mt Holly still calling mid to upper 80s for me Thurs-Sat so I would think NYC would be in the low to mid 80s that timeframe

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With the frontal boundary sinking south on Wednesday along with some moderately favorable bulk shear (around 30 kts) it looks like we could see more potential for organized severe storms. The best shear and instability juxtaposition lies just to our north on most models at the time, over Southeastern New York and into parts of Southwestern New England. That being said, organized storms could develop and sink south towards higher instability later in the afternoon.

SREF_03HR_SVR_PROBS__f066.gif

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/2012071603/SREF_SFCCAPE_MEDIAN_MXMN__f063.gif

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Parts of Jersey and LI got into the heavy rain as well.

I missed out on all the good stuff yesterday again. I had some rain, thunder, lightning for like 15-20 minutes and that was that lol. Any severe storm threats this week? im going down to virginia friday so its gauranteed there will be storms here between friday and tuesday

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Most models are showing at least some shower activity late Wednesday and Wednesday night before clearing out and turning comfortable the remainder of the week and weekend. I'm still not sold on anything under 85 for a high and upper 60s for a low in the urban areas though.

I missed out on all the good stuff yesterday again. I had some rain, thunder, lightning for like 15-20 minutes and that was that lol. Any severe storm threats this week? im going down to virginia friday so its gauranteed there will be storms here between friday and tuesday

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I missed out on all the good stuff yesterday again. I had some rain, thunder, lightning for like 15-20 minutes and that was that lol. Any severe storm threats this week? im going down to virginia friday so its gauranteed there will be storms here between friday and tuesday

Wednesday has a scattered storm risk, some strong/possibly a few severe, although the storm risk drops down into Virginia by Friday while it stays dry here.

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Guest Pamela

These are official station reports but spotter reports are much higher and are on uptons page.

Public Information Statement

Issued by NWS Upton, NY

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On

Versions: 1234

000

NOUS41 KOKX 161440

PNSOKX

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-170240-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

SPOTTER REPORTS

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

1040 AM EDT MON JUL 16 2012

THE FOLLOWING ARE UNOFFICIAL OBSERVATIONS TAKEN DURING THE PAST 26

HOURS FOR THE STORM THAT HAS BEEN AFFECTING OUR REGION. APPRECIATION

IS EXTENDED TO HIGHWAY DEPARTMENTS...COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS...SKYWARN

SPOTTERS AND MEDIA FOR THESE REPORTS. THIS SUMMARY IS ALSO AVAILABLE

ON OUR HOME PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC

********************STORM TOTAL RAINFALL********************

LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS

RAINFALL OF

/INCHES/ MEASUREMENT

CONNECTICUT

...FAIRFIELD COUNTY...

NORWALK 2.82 1030 PM 7/15 PUBLIC

NEW CANAAN 2.45 700 AM 7/16 TRAINED SPOTTER

3 W NEW CANAAN 2.36 118 AM 7/16 MESONET

STAMFORD 2.24 548 PM 7/15 AMATEUR RADIO

DANBURY AIRPORT 2.23 200 AM 7/16 ASOS

3 N DANBURY 2.02 1013 PM 7/15 MESONET

2 WNW WESTPORT 1.93 221 AM 7/16 MESONET

BRIDGEPORT AIRPORT 0.94 200 AM 7/16 ASOS

...NEW HAVEN COUNTY...

NORTH HAVEN 0.76 245 AM 7/16 SKYWARN SPOTTER

MERIDEN 0.51 200 AM 7/16 ASOS

NEW HAVEN 0.51 200 AM 7/16 ASOS

NEW JERSEY

...PASSAIC COUNTY...

RINGWOOD 1.15 1010 PM 7/15 COOP OBSERVER

NEW YORK

...ORANGE COUNTY...

MONTGOMERY 5.87 700 AM 7/16 TRAINED SPOTTER

1 WNW GARDNERTOWN 2.97 106 AM 7/16 MESONET

1 SSW NEWBURGH 2.03 1003 PM 7/15 MESONET

CORNWALL ON HUDSON 1.65 930 PM 7/15 SKYWARN SPOTTER

...ROCKLAND COUNTY...

2 W BUCHANAN 1.17 1012 PM 7/15 MESONET

...SUFFOLK COUNTY...

SETAUKET 2.09 715 PM 7/15 PUBLIC

MOUNT SINAI 2.01 1145 PM 7/15 NWS EMPLOYEE

MIDDLE ISLAND 1.34 700 AM 7/16 NWS EMPLOYEE

UPTON 1.22 200 AM 7/16 NWS OFFICE

2 W SOUND BEACH 1.20 1032 PM 7/15 MESONET

SHIRLEY AIRPORT 0.93 200 AM 7/16 ASOS

ISLIP AIRPORT 0.65 200 AM 7/16 ASOS

...WESTCHESTER COUNTY...

YORKTOWN HEIGHTS 3.73 540 AM 7/16 SKYWARN

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