TheTrials Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 RGEM is even more organized with the precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 Forgive me for complaining about a wonderful series of thunderstorms last night, but I always feel storms at night are a waste of a good storm! You can't really see the heavy rains and dark clouds... yes the lightning during the night is wonderful, but overall I'd much prefer a good, strong thunderstorm during the day than at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 Forgive me for complaining about a wonderful series of thunderstorms last night, but I always feel storms at night are a waste of a good storm! You can't really see the heavy rains and dark clouds... yes the lightning during the night is wonderful, but overall I'd much prefer a good, strong thunderstorm during the day than at night. Over the interior most t-storms take place during the daytime; along the coast the pattern is reversed and the majority occur at night... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 Slept right through the storms last night. Figures. I guess it'll be quiet for the rest of the week now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 I'm not sure that we have a good enough trigger, but RAP data is showing some pretty unstable air later this afternoon with decent CAPE and shear, right up into central and even portions of northern NJ, including NYC metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 I'm not sure that we have a good enough trigger, but RAP data is showing some pretty unstable air later this afternoon with decent CAPE and shear, right up into central and even portions of northern NJ, including NYC metro. rgem likes activity, but i agree, trigger is tough to come by unless there is a vort somewhere in the flow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gump Posted July 8, 2012 Share Posted July 8, 2012 I think I would have jumped off if I was up there and saw that coming. I hate those skyride things as it is but in a thunderstorm? no way thats exactly what one girl did yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted July 9, 2012 Share Posted July 9, 2012 The wind damage on the Garden State Parkway is very impressive from yesterdays storms -- was quite a sight driving up today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted July 9, 2012 Share Posted July 9, 2012 The wind damage on the Garden State Parkway is very impressive from yesterdays storms -- was quite a sight driving up today. Fail on my part since i drove up and down between exits 98 and 114...didnt even think to scope the landscape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyg Posted July 9, 2012 Share Posted July 9, 2012 Guess it's old news now but here's one of the photos I got of the mammatus in Brick, NJ last night. I'm kicking myself for not even knowing the storm was coming and thus missing the shelf rolling in (I didn't evensee it, gah!) I also have some video from the storm that I'll have to get together. BTW, we got power back at around 11AM Sunday. EDIT: here's the video Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted July 9, 2012 Share Posted July 9, 2012 I was in Lavallette for the storm that hit on Saturday and it looks like we were right in the worst of it. The storm was one of the best I've ever seen and the winds were some of the strongest I've ever seen (report out of Toms River just to the west of gusts to 75 mph). The lightning was also constant and there were some very close strikes. Power was out from late Saturday night until about 1:45 PM yesterday because lightning apparently hit a substation. I was staying at our friends' beach house right on the ocean so I got some nice pics and videos of it: Here's a video I took of the gust front as it came through: At the end there was a full rainbow out on the ocean with lightning strikes all around it: And there were also some pretty nice mammatus clouds well after the storm passed: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueSkiesFading Posted July 9, 2012 Share Posted July 9, 2012 I was in Lavallette for the storm that hit on Saturday and it looks like we were right in the worst of it. The storm was one of the best I've ever seen and the winds were some of the strongest I've ever seen (report out of Toms River just to the west of gusts to 75 mph). The lightning was also constant and there were some very close strikes. Power was out from late Saturday night until about 1:45 PM yesterday because lightning apparently hit a substation. I was staying at our friends' beach house right on the ocean so I got some nice pics and videos of it: Here's a video I took of the gust front as it came through: Wow, great pics and video! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 14, 2012 Author Share Posted July 14, 2012 T-storms heavy rain possible sunday - PWATS BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2.0 INCHES BY SUN MORNING - some storms sunday could reach severe limits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted July 14, 2012 Share Posted July 14, 2012 The SPC SREF severe weather probabilities are lighting up for tomorrow afternoon -- with marginal shear at best. Should be interesting to watch unfold...I'd imagine with the lack of shear and high moisture we could see some heavy rain over certain areas with slow moving storms as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 The SPC SREF severe weather probabilities are lighting up for tomorrow afternoon -- with marginal shear at best. Should be interesting to watch unfold...I'd imagine with the lack of shear and high moisture we could see some heavy rain over certain areas with slow moving storms as well. It sure looks like the best chances will be north and west, the GFS right now is the only model wanting to indicate the boundary will be far enough S and E for the coast to get in on the action. And of course given its lower resolution and tendency in summer to want to push these troughs east too fast probably means the NAM and SPC WRF's indication of most activity being back over Upstate NY and N-C PA may be right. The W-SW steering flow is also a bit unfavorable for the immediate NYC metro, we usually do best with a NW steering since in a W-SW setup you're relying on getting storms into the area from C-NJ and for whatever reason storms never seem to like firing in that area as much as they do over NW NJ or SE NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 15, 2012 Author Share Posted July 15, 2012 6z nam has NYC metro in the area that gets lighter amounts of precip more to the west and east over the ocean mainly - going to be tough to break this dry pattern that is becoming obvious http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/06znamp24024.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 6z nam has NYC metro in the area that gets lighter amounts of precip more to the west and east over the ocean mainly - going to be tough to break this dry pattern that is becoming obvious http://raleighwx.ame...6znamp24024.gif Wow, that's a pretty sharp gradient from NYC to C NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 Question for you all: I was reading the AFD last night and it mentioned that there was less lightning potential today due to the "very warm environment"...why is this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 15, 2012 Author Share Posted July 15, 2012 storms begging to develop in E. PA lets see how they do moving east http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=pan&prevzoom=zoom&num=6&frame=0&delay=15&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=DIX&type=N0R&showstorms=10&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&map.x=400&map.y=240&scale=1.000¢erx=400¢ery=240&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&lerror=20&num_stns_min=2&num_stns_max=9999&avg_off=9999&smooth=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 Question for you all: I was reading the AFD last night and it mentioned that there was less lightning potential today due to the "very warm environment"...why is this? Not sure how much truth there is to just the basic explanation of a "very warm environment" has less lightning potential. I'll let the pros take that one on. Right now, any cell that can pop-off 50+dBZ is producing some decent lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 15, 2012 Author Share Posted July 15, 2012 Question for you all: I was reading the AFD last night and it mentioned that there was less lightning potential today due to the "very warm environment"...why is this? here is a good article to read about this: http://www.theweatherprediction.com/habyhints2/409/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 Big cell over Bxengine and TornadoJay Looks like flash flooding possibility there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 less ice in the cloud = less charge separation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 Tons of action to my north, but nothing headed this way for now. Saw some decent towers to the NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 Big cell over Bxengine and TornadoJay Looks like flash flooding possibility there Had a pretty good lightning show, tree right behind me got hit about 20 minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 huge cells over northern fairfield now big action to the north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 plenty of stuff building to the west for later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diego Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 Question for you all: I was reading the AFD last night and it mentioned that there was less lightning potential today due to the "very warm environment"...why is this? A: less ice in the cloud = less charge separation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 plenty of lightning here, intense at times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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