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July 2012 Observations and Discussions


NEG NAO

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NAM maps on InstantWeatherMaps also show a heat index of 105 degrees. At this rate Upton may need an Excessive Heat Warning for Saturday.

In the western burbs of philly I only got up to 91 yesterday and they had an excessive heat warning for my area....lol!

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June 21st to July 14th 1966 saw 19 of 24 days 90 or higher in central Park...At the same time Newark saw 17 of 24 days 90 or higher...so far this year has eight since June 20th...

some Hot periods...

6/21-7/14 1966...19 of 24 days 90 or higher...

7/04-7/20 1993...14 of 17 days 90 or higher...

7/29-8/19 2002...17 of 22 days 90 or higher...

7/23-8/17 1944...19 of 26 days 90 or higher...

7/12-7/23 1952...11 of 12 days 90 or higher...

7/08-7/27 1982...12 of 20 days 90 or higher...

6/24-7/02 1963.....7 of 09 days 90 or higher...

7/17-7/29 1963.....9 of 13 days 90 or higher...

8/24-9/04 1952...12 of 12 days 90 or higher...

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93 here right now for day 10.

Once this heat wave breaks, I think we're looking at a near normal temp pattern with increased storminess heading into mid July. Moist, humid SLY flow with a ton of convection potentially. If we get below normal departure days it will be via clouds/storms all day.

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How's the euro look long range?

Winterwarlock wont allow anyone to post what the euro shows after this weekend. Any mention that it shows a prolonged "cooldown" to normal weather with shots of below normal on rainy days gets attacked.

P.S. for people that want euro analysis. It still shows 100+ on Saturday. Close to 90 on Sunday and then next week features normal temps with shots at below normal on the rainy days. At the end of the run, some heat tries to return again but its not from a huge ridge like the past 2 weeks. Just normal summer-ish type heat, with 16-20 degree 850 temps.

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Winterwarlock wont allow anyone to post what the euro shows after this weekend. Any mention that it shows a prolonged "cooldown" to normal weather with shots of below normal on rainy days gets attacked.

P.S. for people that want euro analysis. It still shows 100+ on Saturday. Close to 90 on Sunday and then next week features normal temps with shots at below normal on the rainy days. At the end of the run, some heat tries to return again but its not from a huge ridge like the past 2 weeks. Just normal summer-ish type heat, with 16-20 degree 850 temps.

I have no problem with the euro being posted, the problem I have is everyone jumping over it and hammering a couple runs like gospel and that we are headed into the 60s or 70s with cloudy rainy days as the last few times it showed a cooldown...how did the recent cooldown turn out. Posters are prone to exaggeration on here when they do not like heat

I expect it to cool down to normal next week, the heat cannot last forever. I have no problem with sunny skies and temps in the 80s anyhow

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Central Park up to 94F now...very hot here at City College.

I'm assuming you mean in the meteorological sense.

Boy, did it dry out in the area (a little bubble of dry air from eastern Ontario after passage of cf or mixing from 850?). In any event, i'll take it for what it's worth tonight before we resume roasting tomorrow.

600 PM EDT THU JUL 05 2012

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS

CENTRAL PARK PTSUNNY 92 47 21 VRB3 29.79S

LAGUARDIA APRT PTSUNNY 92 50 23 N14G20 29.75S

KENNEDY INTL CLOUDY 87 66 49 SE6 29.76R

NEWARK/LIBERTY PTSUNNY 95 50 21 NW13 29.75F HX 92

TETERBORO PTSUNNY 93 56 28 N10 29.74F HX 91

WHITE PLAINS PTSUNNY 86 64 47 N9 29.78S

TETERBORO PTSUNNY 93 56 28 N10 29.74F HX 91

CALDWELL PTSUNNY 93 50 23 NW8 29.78S HX 90

MORRISTOWN PTSUNNY 91 57 31 N6 29.78S HX 90

SOMERVILLE MOSUNNY 93 59 31 N6 29.76S HX 92

SUSSEX MOSUNNY 89 53 29 N5 29.80S

ANDOVER N/A 90 55 30 VRB5 29.81

TRENTON MOSUNNY 94 61 33 N8 29.77S HX 94

MILLVILLE PTSUNNY 93 65 39 NW6 29.78S HX 95

ATLANTIC CITY PTSUNNY 92 66 42 N6 29.77S HX 94

WRIGHTSTOWN PTSUNNY 91 65 40 NW10G17 29.74F HX 93

TOMS RIVER NOT AVBL

BELMAR CLOUDY 93 64 38 W8 29.78F HX 95

PHILADELPHIA PTSUNNY 96 61 31 NW14 29.77S HX 96

ALLENTOWN MOSUNNY 91 58 32 N10 29.80F HX 90

SCRANTON MOSUNNY 90 45 21 N10 29.85S

FULTON SUNNY 79 59 50 NW5 29.87F

SYRACUSE MOSUNNY 80 58 46 W3 29.87F

ROME SUNNY 81 63 54 W12 29.86S

ELMIRA MOSUNNY 86 58 38 NE10 29.87F

BINGHAMTON MOSUNNY 82 47 29 NW10 29.92S

MONTICELLO PTSUNNY 82 46 28 N10 29.88S

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00UTC NAM came down slightly with the temps for Saturday, now going with

EWR: 103

NYC: 99

SMQ: 102

ISP: 95

JFK: 99

LGA: 102

with dewpoints in the upper 50s. As earthlight previously stated, the 18UTC GFS continued showing dewpoints in the mid 60s with correspondingly lower temperatures (if upper 90s is 'lower')...

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If some of the more recent analogs hold, then Saturday will be the hottest day of the whole summer across our area.

We experienced strong heat waves during the first week of July in 1999 and 2010. Those heat waves had

the highest temperatures of the whole summer. Both years saw the heat return but not as intense as it

was to start off the month.

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If some of the more recent analogs hold, then Saturday will be the hottest day of the whole summer across our area.

We experienced strong heat waves during the first week of July in 1999 and 2010. Those heat waves had

the highest temperatures of the whole summer. Both years saw the heat return but not as intense as it

was to start off the month.

I like 1957, 1991.....it was 101 on 7/22/57...102 on 7/21/91,,,It never got that hot again both years...Ausust could be hot too...TWT...

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00UTC NAM came down slightly with the temps for Saturday, now going with

EWR: 103

NYC: 99

SMQ: 102

ISP: 95

JFK: 99

LGA: 102

with dewpoints in the upper 50s. As earthlight previously stated, the 18UTC GFS continued showing dewpoints in the mid 60s with correspondingly lower temperatures (if upper 90s is 'lower')...

12UTC NAM MOS has similar temperatures but dewpoints in the mid 60s (at least here in C NJ). Dewpoints near 70F on the GFS causing 5-8F spreads between the models.

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The Park and LGA are staying close the past couple days. The lack of rain at the Park is making it more reliable lately.

Exactly. Amazing how a week or two of dry weather and its in line with LGA and not even too far off from EWR.
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Humidity down to 19% at EWR (48 dewpoint). Was out earlier and in the shade with a refreshing breeze it was honestly not too terrible out. Less than .2" of rain the past 11 days in my area and the grass is really parched now.

3PM roundup

TEB: 94

NYC: 91

EWR: 96

LGA: 91

JFK: 83

ISp: 85

BLM: 86

TTN: 94

ACY: 88

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