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July 2012 Observations and Discussions


NEG NAO

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It looks warm all of next week. Nothing crazy, but Tuesday could be a very hot day, if we follow the trends of the models underdoing the heat, this far out.

Friday looks pretty hot on the ecm too. 850 20c line upto EWR on tues and its into c-nj on fri before the front. Pending on clouds we could see mid 90s both those days, maybe hotter in the usual warm spots. Still time to iron out details of clouds and timing with the fronts but overall we look to continue above normal. But because of the tendecny for troughiness into the northeast with the ridge anchored in the mid section/rockies we wont get any long stretches of heat, more of 2 days hot 2 days near normal then 1/2 hot again the next week to 10 days. Potentially room for plenty of storms too. By the first week of August there's some indication that the WAR builds west again similar to last week....

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back edge of the good rain moving through in the next hour...my lawn says thank you. About .35 here so far

Some moderate rain in e-pa and n-nj streaming east into the city now. Pretty much stopped here and just over an inch on the day. Maybe I can stop the sprinklers from running twice the next two days.

AG3 - hows the 12z ecm clouds maps for tomorrow?

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Friday looks pretty hot on the ecm too. 850 20c line upto EWR on tues and its into c-nj on fri before the front. Pending on clouds we could see mid 90s both those days, maybe hotter in the usual warm spots. Still time to iron out details of clouds and timing with the fronts but overall we look to continue above normal. But because of the tendecny for troughiness into the northeast with the ridge anchored in the mid section/rockies we wont get any long stretches of heat, more of 2 days hot 2 days near normal then 1/2 hot again the next week to 10 days. Potentially room for plenty of storms too. By the first week of August there's some indication that the WAR builds west again similar to last week....

Agreed. A back and forth type pattern, biased warm, probably with good chances for convection through day 10.

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Looks as if echoes are regenerating in Sussex County and spreading east towards the City. I just got home from work an hour ago; it was pouring as I drove through the Bronx but slackened as I moved into Westchester. We'll see if we can tack on a bit more, but we desperately needed this soaking after missing most of Wednesday's convection.

-RA

61.7/61

NE@5mph

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Wow, 61F at Central Park now.

65 here with 0.26" of rain. Not much compared to north and south. Dry slot for this event.

:shiver:

Joe B:

The 3pm reading at Central Park at 61 is further BELOW NORMAL, than any hour was above normal during the heat wave, night or day

This could be one of the coldest mid afternoon July readings in central parks weather records. Anyone want to see if they can find lower?

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:shiver:

Joe B:

Of course it's lower than any temp that was higher than normal. There's a reason why our average maxes aren't much lower than our record highs. did he expect our highs a few days ago to be 115?

Does he say the same when records for winter are over 40 degrees above our average highs?

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Of course it's lower than any temp that was higher than normal. There's a reason why our average maxes aren't much lower than our record highs. did he expect our highs a few days ago to be 115?

Does he say the same when records for winter are over 40 degrees above our average highs?

the first article in his signature uses the word "alarmist" 13 times, lol

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Of course it's lower than any temp that was higher than normal. There's a reason why our average maxes aren't much lower than our record highs. did he expect our highs a few days ago to be 115?

Does he say the same when records for winter are over 40 degrees above our average highs?

If it hit 106 back in 1936 then it should easily hit 115 today... :whistle:

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