SACRUS Posted July 16, 2012 Share Posted July 16, 2012 noon - Mid summer in the city; TEB: 86 NYC: 87 EWR: 88 LGA: 86 JFK: 86 ISP: 84 TTN: 85 BLM: 87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 16, 2012 Share Posted July 16, 2012 the euro slowed the front down and shows more activity thursday... it also lingers the precip well into friday with totals from 1-1.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 16, 2012 Share Posted July 16, 2012 the euro slowed the front down and shows more activity thursday... it also lingers the precip well into friday with totals from 1-1.5" makes sense as it bumps into the bermuda high... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 16, 2012 Share Posted July 16, 2012 makes sense as it bumps into the bermuda high... it's dramatically wetter... let's see what the ensemble mean says later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 16, 2012 Share Posted July 16, 2012 it's dramatically wetter... let's see what the ensemble mean says later rain all day on friday with temps in the 60s on the current run vs late day sun and a high around 80 on the 00z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 16, 2012 Share Posted July 16, 2012 rain all day on friday with temps in the 60s on the current run vs late day sun and a high around on the 00z run wow-what a shock that would be. Too bad it won't verify in all liklihood. What's the Euro got longer range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted July 16, 2012 Share Posted July 16, 2012 rain all day on friday with temps in the 60s on the current run vs late day sun and a high around on the 00z run Why such a big change? Werent we concerned about the front being too fast and ruining our wed severe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 16, 2012 Share Posted July 16, 2012 Why such a big change? Werent we concerned about the front being too fast and ruining our wed severe? the trof that pushes the front through has more energy hanging back on the south side of it and a low pops up on the front. with such a moist airmass, any lifting mechanism is going to produce heavy rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 16, 2012 Share Posted July 16, 2012 wow-what a shock that would be. Too bad it won't verify in all liklihood. What's the Euro got longer range? looks seasonable with some possibly below normal days and another push of warmth from the bermuda high toward day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted July 16, 2012 Share Posted July 16, 2012 the trof that pushes the front through has more energy hanging back on the south side of it and a low pops up on the front. with such a moist airmass, any lifting mechanism is going to produce heavy rain Thanks froky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted July 16, 2012 Share Posted July 16, 2012 Also helps that we have warm SST's as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted July 16, 2012 Share Posted July 16, 2012 It was 83/78 here a few minutes ago - the rain showers caused our dewpoint to soar. Luckily it has "fallen" to 72F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted July 16, 2012 Share Posted July 16, 2012 Forecasts busted too high for my location. Most called for low to mid 90s for C NJ, and I only got to 90. Dews were higher than forecasted however, and are in the 70s IMBY, which probably led to forecasts busting on the high side today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 16, 2012 Share Posted July 16, 2012 90 yesterday, 91 today, tomorrow marks another official heatwave IMBY lets see what happens with the slower movement of the front...has the GFS bit on this yet, hopefully it clears out for the weekend. Mt Holly has me for 91 next Monday so looks like another heat pulse may be coming next week as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Forecasts busted too high for my location. Most called for low to mid 90s for C NJ, and I only got to 90. Dews were higher than forecasted however, and are in the 70s IMBY, which probably led to forecasts busting on the high side today. Same here. 91 at LGA when just yesterday evening the projected high was mid 90s. Pretty surprising too since the day was basically sunny all day despite the scattered clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Same here. 91 at LGA when just yesterday evening the projected high was mid 90s. Pretty surprising too since the day was basically sunny all day despite the scattered clouds. Yeah, I guess the higher dew points must have been enough to make forecast temps bust a few degrees too high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 90 yesterday, 91 today, tomorrow marks another official heatwave IMBY lets see what happens with the slower movement of the front...has the GFS bit on this yet, hopefully it clears out for the weekend. Mt Holly has me for 91 next Monday so looks like another heat pulse may be coming next week as well 3 days @ or above 90 to make it an official heat wave. Gotta wait till tomorrow ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Got to 94 here today. Was 92 around 2:00, clouds and sprinkles dropped the temp to 90. Skies cleared, and the temp shot up to 94! Still 88 at almost 9 PM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Clouds limited higher temps most of the day but mainly sunny skies between 4 and 6 produces some late maxes.. PHL: 91 EWR: 95 TTN: 90 LGA: 91 TEB: 93 ACY: 94 NYC: 91 JFK: 93 ISP: 91 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 with todays low of 70 in NYC it now has 16 of 17 days with a minimum 70 or higher...the one day that was below 70 was 69 a few days ago...we now have 20 for the year...we have six in a row now...there was ten straight from 6/30-7/9...1980, 1988 and 2010 have the most consecutive 70+ minimum days... total days with a minimum of 70 or above since 1960... year...........70+.......consecutive 70+ 1960..........20............5 1961..........42............9 1962............8............2 1963..........14............5 1964..........19............4 1965..........17............4 1966..........40..........11 1967..........17............5 1968..........29............6 1969..........33............6 1970..........37..........10 1971..........45............9 1972..........30..........15 1973..........37..........11 1974..........26............3 1975..........23..........12 1976..........24............4 1977..........37............9 1978..........31..........13 1979..........42..........17 1980..........52..........22 1981..........39............8 1982..........30..........12 1983..........45..........13 1984..........40..........16 1985..........34............6 1986..........31............4 1987..........32............7 1988..........42..........21 1989..........28............5 1990..........32............8 1991..........31............7 1992..........14............4 1993..........35..........10 1994..........35............9 1995..........39..........18 1996..........22............5 1997..........27............8 1998..........39..........11 1999..........45..........13 2000..........22............4 2001..........30............9 2002..........43............9 2003..........33..........15 2004..........28............6 2005..........60..........14 2006..........41..........15 2007..........35............8 2008..........35............8 2009..........18............5 2010..........54..........22 2011..........40...........9 2012..........20..........10 as of 7/16 1876..........46..........14 1906..........61..........17 1908..........54..........16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Sitting at 81.4/72 here in Westchester, glad I have A/C tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 89.9 was the high here, just barely qualifying as day 1 of the heat wave. Tomorrow certainly has the potential to be impressive as does Wednesday, but I think the idea that early July would produce the longest/most intense heat wave of the month is coming to fruition. Late week depends on frontal timing but I still think, regardless, we're looking at least 3 days of below normal temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diego Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 Sitting at 81.4/72 here in Westchester, glad I have A/C tonight. With the exception of LI, the dps are fairly tolerable at most sites. And with temps. eventually reaching the mid to upper 70's, could probably get away with cross ventilation from a fan/open window. CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS CENTRAL PARK PTCLDY 84 66 54 W6 29.84R LAGUARDIA APRT PTCLDY 88 66 48 W8 29.80R HX 90 KENNEDY INTL MOCLDY 84 68 58 W8 29.82R NEWARK/LIBERTY PTCLDY 86 68 54 W9 29.81R TETERBORO PTCLDY 85 66 53 W6 29.80R WHITE PLAINS CLEAR 77 68 73 CALM 29.82R FARMINGDALE PTCLDY 81 73 76 S3 29.81R ISLIP MOCLDY 78 74 87 SW3 29.80R SHIRLEY PTCLDY 79 74 84 SW3 29.82R WESTHAMPTON NOT AVBL MONTAUK POINT N/A 78 72 81 SW5 29.81R NEWBURGH PTCLDY 77 66 69 NW7 29.84R MONTGOMERY CLEAR 74 65 73 CALM 29.83R POUGHKEEPSIE PTCLDY 77 71 82 CALM 29.80R ALBANY PTCLDY 79 65 62 W8 29.80R TETERBORO PTCLDY 85 66 53 W6 29.80R CALDWELL PTCLDY 81 68 64 CALM 29.83R MORRISTOWN MOCLDY 79 68 69 CALM 29.83R SOMERVILLE PTCLDY 77 67 71 CALM 29.82R SUSSEX PTCLDY 71 65 81 CALM 29.84R ANDOVER N/A 72 70 93 CALM 29.86R TRENTON PTCLDY 82 69 64 CALM 29.84R HAZE MILLVILLE PTCLDY 78 71 79 CALM 29.86R ATLANTIC CITY NOT AVBL WRIGHTSTOWN PTCLDY 78 71 78 S6 29.83R TOMS RIVER NOT AVBL BELMAR PTCLDY 81 72 74 W6 29.86R Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 With the exception of LI, the dps are fairly tolerable at most sites. And with temps. eventually reaching the mid to upper 70's, could probably get away with cross ventilation from a fan/open window. CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS CENTRAL PARK PTCLDY 84 66 54 W6 29.84R LAGUARDIA APRT PTCLDY 88 66 48 W8 29.80R HX 90 KENNEDY INTL MOCLDY 84 68 58 W8 29.82R NEWARK/LIBERTY PTCLDY 86 68 54 W9 29.81R TETERBORO PTCLDY 85 66 53 W6 29.80R WHITE PLAINS CLEAR 77 68 73 CALM 29.82R FARMINGDALE PTCLDY 81 73 76 S3 29.81R ISLIP MOCLDY 78 74 87 SW3 29.80R SHIRLEY PTCLDY 79 74 84 SW3 29.82R WESTHAMPTON NOT AVBL MONTAUK POINT N/A 78 72 81 SW5 29.81R NEWBURGH PTCLDY 77 66 69 NW7 29.84R MONTGOMERY CLEAR 74 65 73 CALM 29.83R POUGHKEEPSIE PTCLDY 77 71 82 CALM 29.80R ALBANY PTCLDY 79 65 62 W8 29.80R TETERBORO PTCLDY 85 66 53 W6 29.80R CALDWELL PTCLDY 81 68 64 CALM 29.83R MORRISTOWN MOCLDY 79 68 69 CALM 29.83R SOMERVILLE PTCLDY 77 67 71 CALM 29.82R SUSSEX PTCLDY 71 65 81 CALM 29.84R ANDOVER N/A 72 70 93 CALM 29.86R TRENTON PTCLDY 82 69 64 CALM 29.84R HAZE MILLVILLE PTCLDY 78 71 79 CALM 29.86R ATLANTIC CITY NOT AVBL WRIGHTSTOWN PTCLDY 78 71 78 S6 29.83R TOMS RIVER NOT AVBL BELMAR PTCLDY 81 72 74 W6 29.86R LOL good luck with that in this area. On the second floor of my house, in a room that has two windows, one facing North (never gets sun), and one facing West (gets strong afternoon sun). there is no A/C in this room, and the temperature is currently 87 (inside). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diego Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 LOL good luck with that in this area. On the second floor of my house, in a room that has two windows, one facing North (never gets sun), and one facing West (gets strong afternoon sun). there is no A/C in this room, and the temperature is currently 87 (inside). At least having the option of using a window AC could benefit (not that expensive, i.e. Friedrich from PC Richards). But with a few exceptions, I've managed to get by with the fan/window method. Perhaps, getting the benefit of an afternoon sb from the lower NY Bay (I'm right near the VZ bridge) lowering the max. temps. during the June/July period, has helped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 At least having the option of using a window AC could benefit (not that expensive, i.e. Friedrich from PC Richards). But with a few exceptions, I've managed to get by with the fan/window method. Perhaps, getting the benefit of an afternoon sb from the lower NY Bay (I'm right near the VZ bridge) lowering the max. temps. during the June/July period, has helped. That should help a lot, actually. I have a good window A/C that I bought at PC Richard a few years back that only cost me $100. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 LOL good luck with that in this area. On the second floor of my house, in a room that has two windows, one facing North (never gets sun), and one facing West (gets strong afternoon sun). there is no A/C in this room, and the temperature is currently 87 (inside). The fan/window method never works here. I have a window A/C which I usually use; recently I haven't used it much and my room temperature already got to 90 degrees a few times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 One of the most beautiful sunrises ive ever seen around this area this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 17, 2012 Share Posted July 17, 2012 89.9 was the high here, just barely qualifying as day 1 of the heat wave. Tomorrow certainly has the potential to be impressive as does Wednesday, but I think the idea that early July would produce the longest/most intense heat wave of the month is coming to fruition. Late week depends on frontal timing but I still think, regardless, we're looking at least 3 days of below normal temperatures. my forecasted highs are 85, 85, and 87 with nighttime lows near average so perhaps a tad below normal....are you ready to bump up your 77 highs also the mets don't seem to be buying into that crazy euro solution for Friday so looks like maybe some lingering activity on Thursday before a beautiful 3 days plus shape up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 17, 2012 Author Share Posted July 17, 2012 According to the 6Z GFS - we will be breaking out of this hot dry pattern we have been in the last several weeks after tomorrow http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KEWR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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