Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,606
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

July 2012 Observations and Discussions


NEG NAO

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.4k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Can it be? Today must be the end of the world.

EWR: 89F

NYC: 90F

Finally clearing out here in central NJ. 87 and mostly sunny now.

Parks running about 6 too warm if its one warmer than ewr and ewr runs 5 above every other station...

EWR did hit 90 between houirs.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Parks running about 6 too warm if its one warmer than ewr and ewr runs 5 above every other station...

EWR did hit 90 between houirs.

Or Newark is in line with the rest of the area stations for once ;)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Used to be a lot of beautiful courses up there

Yea supposedly there are still a few around. In between the Jewish bungalows and pizza shops and next to the crack houses.

Regardless its beautiful morning up here. No humidity and sunny skies.

Ah, the good old Borscht Belt - Kutshers, the Raleigh, Grossingers, the Concord, the Nevele, etc., outdated/obsolete. But still a popular retreat (2nd homes) for the hasidic and ultra orthodox such as the Satmar (Williamsburg) and Lubavitch (Crown Heights). Some good kosher restauarants and bakeries I still think in Monticello.

But my primary interest there is climatological. Sitting on what appears to be an extension of the Pocono Plateau, split by the Delaware river, though referred to as the Catskills (really southern Catskills at best), at elevations on the plateau, ranging from about 1200' to 1800" (Monticello's airport is around 1400' and Liberty's 1500'). As with the PA part of the plateau, once there, the temperatures dramatically drop off and snowfall amounts rise. The rapidity of this change is very noticeably and enjoyably observed (provided you have snowtires or radials), on the gradual but steady uphill incline for about 15 miles on Route 17 from just below Wurtsboro (which is in a deep valley which I think lies on a geological fault line and the vistas on the Shawangunk Ridge overlooking this valley are astounding), to just south of Monticello.

Because of the substantially higher altitude, despite lower latitude, Liberty's average temps. and snowfall amounts have been consistently similar to Albany's. For the period of 1971-2000, Liberty's co-op station (latitude 41 48N, alt. 1549') had an avg. Jan. temp. range of 30 to 11.4F, July avg. temp. range of 79.1 to 56.2 and avg. ann. snowfall of 62.3," while Albany's International (lol) Airport (latitude 42 45N, alt. 275') had an avg. Jan. temp. range of 31.1 to 13.3F, July avg. temp. range of 82.2 to 60.0F and avg. ann. snowfall of 62.7."

Liberty also probably receives a little more leftover LES than Albany probably because of the orographic effect resulting from it's significantly higher altitude, and closer and more direct proximity downstream to Lake Ontario.

In sum, Sullivan County is a cool place despite being a virtually and perpetually economically depressed one (hey, what ever happened to casino gambling there?).

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Beautiful day up here in lake superior state park right near bethel. Fresh breeze off the lake is great. Not looking forward to the hike back to Nassau and first day at the new job tomorrow. Fail.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It's going to be a very normal 2nd week of July. About as close to average as we'll see for a 4 to 5 day stretch. My guess is EWR won't have a below 85 degree day and we'll see if they are able to see any 60s for lows.

With climo, close call. But will guess yes during Mon-Wed. period, with dps in the upper 50's to low 60's, and drier air inflow being maintained from n/nw from upper air trough over over midwest and NE permitting sufficient radiational cooling, but latter part of week less likely with breakdown of trough and build up of traditional Bermuda High.

Edit. I'm having trouble formatting the avg. highs and lows for EWR for each day of the month of July. But the average high and low temps. for the period of July 7 - 14 there is 85-68/69.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I would assume somewhere around 63-65 range and thats pretty much what I am forecasted as so sorry to disappoint about this week being below normal and looks like all the rain the gfs was showing went poof

Well, average low for Newark in July is 68-69.. :facepalm: for your area might be a little higher.

I don't think anybody was expecting a rainy week, only showers and storms on certain days. The heavy rains are for the midwest and southeast ..

Goodbye widespread 90"s :guitar:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The NAEFS that has been accurately very persistent during the winter months with widespread above average temperatures while other sources were calling for medium range near-below average temperatures is quite consistent with above average temperatures for the medium range (link)... the NAEFS also highlighted this week with average temperatures from its medium range outlook.

The current trough doesn't dig far into the region, and after a few days of near-slightly cooler than average temps the trough lifts out and a warmer air mass returns. At this time it doesn't look like widespread 90s across the region for most of the medium range with 850mb temps mostly below 20C and scattered storm activity, but the medium range does have at least a slightly warmer than average look to it with no widespread cool air mass to be found near the region. With temperatures at least 6-8 degrees above average for the first 7 days of July and considering how many cooler than average days would be needed for late July, following the next 7-10 or more days that start out near-slightly below average and transition to above average, it's hard for me to see how July ends up cooler than average, if even average. My guess is for slightly above average temps for the month, possibly somewhere around +1 to +2 degrees.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

What did it get upto in Edison today? Hit 94 here in Monroe - suspect we could have been higher if clouds cleared sooner.

94 local weather bug and 91 at new brunswick...78 and feels great now! Less humidity today...but sun was def strong...lawns burning up

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Euro ensembles are showing the ridge building back over the East next week.

It looks like Newark will have a chance to add to it's 95 degree or higher count

after taking a break this week with more normal temperatures.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...