NEG NAO Posted July 15, 2012 Author Share Posted July 15, 2012 On 7/13/2012 at 2:34 PM, NEG NAO said: wiill easily hit 90 here in northern middlesex county - already 86 at 10:30 am yesterday we reached 91 - as for sunday - wouldn't be surprised if some areas yet to be determined get very little precip less then .10 and others get 1/2 - 1 inch or more amounts all depends how things set up with the showers and storms.... I am still going with my outlook from a couple of days ago - some spots get less then .10 and others get .5 to 1.0 or more -question is exactly where - still have to wait and see developments this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 So much for the overnight rains....upton has also cut back on today's chances Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 big storms going into AG3 land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 Looks like a quick .5-.75 for those areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 On 7/15/2012 at 12:31 PM, bluewave said: Looks like a quick .5-.75 for those areas. cant be brian5675431 said no rain today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 On 7/15/2012 at 11:49 AM, Brian5671 said: So much for the overnight rains....upton has also cut back on today's chances Less posting, more watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 On 7/15/2012 at 12:25 PM, TheTrials said: big storms going into AG3 land. I got clipped by the first storm in the series. It was a quick hitting but heavy downpour. Lasted maybe 2 minutes but it really came down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 On 7/15/2012 at 12:55 PM, Snowlover11 said: Less posting, more watching. hello pot? My name's kettle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 On 7/15/2012 at 12:35 PM, TheTrials said: cant be brian5675431 said no rain today. I did? I said no rain last night and that Upton cut today's rain forecast down...how did you get no rain out of that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 On 7/15/2012 at 1:18 PM, Brian5671 said: I did? I said no rain last night and that Upton cut today's rain forecast down...how did you get no rain out of that? upton is calling for heavy rains and thunderstorms in both our zones. The forecast was always and still is for heavy rain with showers and thunderstorms, not one big sheet of rain to move in a move out. When and where it rains will pick up a ton of water fast, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 Some sun here now but we'll be dealing with clouds most of theday along with some storms later on. Where it can stay sunny for longer periods - 90 is within reach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 On 7/15/2012 at 1:20 PM, TheTrials said: upton is calling for heavy rains and thunderstorms in both our zones. The forecast was always and still is for heavy rain with showers and thunderstorms, not one big sheet of rain to move in a move out. When and where it rains will pick up a ton of water fast, I am sure we will get some rain alter...i already had a quick downpour...but this has been a bust this weekend...originally (mid-week forecast) was for rain firday night on, then saturday afternoon, then saturday night, then...sunday afternoon. Really surprised there was no rain rain until 8:30 this morning, my point and click was saying rain after 10pm last night...sorry boys, this has been a bust. My idea of a bust is looking back at the mid-week forecast for the weekend and when the weather is completely different, that is a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 Any locally heavy rain in a storm will be run off and will not help alleviate the dry conditions in place and it will also rapidly evaporate with next week's heat surge. I'm not getting my hopes up on any big rains today, I've missed out on pretty much everything since late June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 On 7/15/2012 at 12:55 AM, Isotherm said: Ok, let's make this interesting. Put some numbers down then, since you seem so confident. What do you think for NYC's high temps Thurs-Sat? dont know for NYC but IMBY the highs are forecasted in the mid to upper 80s that time frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 Dailies EWR: 7/9 : 87/73 (+3) 7/10: 87/71 (+2) 7/11: 85/73 (+3) 7/12: 89/71 (+2) 7/13: 89/73 (+3) 714: 87/73 (+2) New Brunswick: 7/9 : 88/64 (+1) 7/10: 86/65 (+1) 7/11: 87/64 (+1) 7/12: 90/66 (+3) 7/13: 88/64 (+1) 7/14: 85/67 (+1) TTN:: 7/9 : 86/71 (+3) 7/10: 87/68 (+2) 7/11: 87/65 (+1) 7/12: 90/65 (+2) 7/13: 89/69 (+3) 7/14: 84/68 (+0) NYC: 7/9 : 86/73 (+4) 7/10: 87/69 (+2) 7/11: 85/71 (+1) 7/12: 89/70 (+3) 713: 89/74 (+5) 7/14: 85/72 (+2) LGA: 7/9 : 86/73 (+3) 7/10: 86/72 (+2) 7/11: 85/71 (+1) 7/12: 89/76 (+4) 7/13: 89/76 (+5) 7/14: 87/75 (+3) JFK: 7/9 : 84/71 (+2) 7/10: 83/70 (+1) 7/11: 83/70 (+1) 7/12: 84/68 (+0) 7/13: 85/71 (+2) 7/14: 87/75 (+5) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 On 7/15/2012 at 2:04 PM, winterwarlock said: dont know for NYC but IMBY the highs are forecasted in the mid to upper 80s that time frame normals for nyc 7/19 - 7/21 84/69 I think we see NYC: 7/19: 85/64 7/20: 79/61 7/21: 82/60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 The bulk of the current rain is north of the area so it looks like Newark will make a run on 90 today. We'll have to watch the radar later today as we will destabilize with the heating of the day. Maybe we'll see some pop up convection south of the main batch north of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 5th time this year that the NAM has low 100s in the forecast, this time for Tuesday. We'll see how that goes... last 4 times it was a little too warm although last time it was mostly ruined by the morning storms further north, as Newark and surrounding areas still reached 100 degrees. The air mass is warm enough but some cloud cover could prevent the 100 degree potential. It will also be interesting to see where the front ends up on Wednesday, as there's already a warm temperature start with widespread low-mid 80s by 12z; temps should peak around 15z with widespread 90s before the clouds/rain come in, but it could be warmer if the front is a bit slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 Enjoying the heat here in KC..was still 95 at 8pm last night but quite dry so it felt great...was hoping to get some storm action but no luck..just hot and dry ...looks like I might not be missing much back east either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 12PM roundup TEB: 86 NYC: 85 EWR: 88 LGA: 86 JFK: 84 ISP: 84 N Brunswick: 86 BLM: 88 TTN: 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 15, 2012 Author Share Posted July 15, 2012 On 7/15/2012 at 4:10 PM, SACRUS said: 12PM roundup TEB: 86 NYC: 85 EWR: 88 LGA: 86 JFK: 84 ISP: 84 N Brunswick: 86 BLM: 88 TTN: 84 Looks like the heat and partial sunshine will bust earlier forecasts of cooler 80's and heavy showers and radar is dry for the most part and this is the usually overdone radar just touched 90 in northern middlesex county nj http://www.intellica...cation=USDC0001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 line of storms forming in western PA. That should come through in some form this afternoon evening. Prob not severe, but some heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 On 7/15/2012 at 2:13 PM, SACRUS said: normals for nyc 7/19 - 7/21 84/69 I think we see NYC: 7/19: 85/64 7/20: 79/61 7/21: 82/60 My thinking for those three days in NYC: 7/19: 83/66 7/20: 78/63 7/21: 77/64 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 Hit 86F with some breaks of sun but now down to 85F and cloudy. Storms beginning to fire in E PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 On 7/15/2012 at 3:38 PM, NYCSuburbs said: 5th time this year that the NAM has low 100s in the forecast, this time for Tuesday. We'll see how that goes... last 4 times it was a little too warm although last time it was mostly ruined by the morning storms further north, as Newark and surrounding areas still reached 100 degrees. The air mass is warm enough but some cloud cover could prevent the 100 degree potential. It will also be interesting to see where the front ends up on Wednesday, as there's already a warm temperature start with widespread low-mid 80s by 12z; temps should peak around 15z with widespread 90s before the clouds/rain come in, but it could be warmer if the front is a bit slower. Newark should be able to hit at least 98-99 degrees if we take a few degrees off the NAM. If EWR is able to squeak out a 100 degree reading, then I think that it would be the first pre and post July 15th 100 in July since 1999. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 On 7/15/2012 at 2:13 PM, SACRUS said: normals for nyc 7/19 - 7/21 84/69 I think we see NYC: 7/19: 85/64 7/20: 79/61 7/21: 82/60 I'd go with 85 degrees on 7/19 and 82-84 degrees for the other 2 days. Overnight lows in low-mid 60s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 its humid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 storms firing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 On 7/15/2012 at 4:55 PM, TheTrials said: storms firing. Rainfall rates should be impressive for areas that see training of cells. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diego Posted July 15, 2012 Share Posted July 15, 2012 On 7/15/2012 at 4:00 PM, Plfdwxdude said: Enjoying the heat here in KC..was still 95 at 8pm last night but quite dry so it felt great...was hoping to get some storm action but no luck..just hot and dry ...looks like I might not be missing much back east either When i think of KC, i think http://www.stroudsrestaurant.com/ On 7/15/2012 at 4:44 PM, NorEaster27 said: its humid No kidding. But roleaf on the way, wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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