BuffaloWeather Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 We got slammed here a few times. Most went north or south of my location. Most damage came with the round coming through around midnight. Lots of trees and power lines down. Hail was with the 1st round around 7pm. Lots of reports of Golf Ball sized. Decent video of the hail in Rome. Thats where the golf ball stuff came from too. Absolutely awesome picture and video. Glad you got in on some of the action, hope no car windows were broken! Those were some large hail stones. Hopefully we can get some action over here in Buffalo if the lake shadow does not destroy every single storm that attempts to develop! UGH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 LOL Not my video. Sorry. One of my FB followers posted that. A house got blown off it's foundation about 2 miles from me too. Not really sure how that happened. http://www.wktv.com/news/local/New-home-severely-damaged-on-Lamphear-Road-in-Rome--163564876.html Guess I need to clean all the bird crap off my wind instruments. Lots of poop from the bluebirds sitting on it. Dont think the wind was much higher. So no branches or leaves or nothing on my way into work. I'm happy. Got 0.77" for the day. Doubled my monthly total. But, KRME is stuck at 0.09" for the month still. The ASOS reported zip the last 2 days when there was some rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted July 24, 2012 Share Posted July 24, 2012 Man, I saw some of that action heading through CNY yesterday and then later last night, it looked legit on radar and now I see that it REALLY was legit. That is big nasty hail right there! As for the rain, I'm quite jealous of you guys. My little section on the west side of Rochester has literrally had less than one tenth of an inch of rain since June 21....it is absolutley insane. The number of storms that have been within mile of my house is crazy, at least 6 or so in the last couple weeks....yet I havent got more than a drop or two out of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted July 25, 2012 Share Posted July 25, 2012 0.85" here since July 1st. Hoping to cash in on 1" plus from tonight through Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted July 25, 2012 Share Posted July 25, 2012 Looks like another severe weather event for tomorrow for a lot of NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted July 25, 2012 Share Posted July 25, 2012 KBUF is mentioning the possibility of a derecho overnight. Any thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted July 25, 2012 Share Posted July 25, 2012 KBUF is mentioning the possibility of a derecho overnight. Any thoughts? Will prob be th most eventful wx of the year tonight through tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted July 25, 2012 Share Posted July 25, 2012 yeah no question tonight and Thursday are the best chance for severe weather that WNY has seen this year. I'm a little weary to throw out the derecho term as BUF has given that they are generally quite difficult to forecast and fairly rare. Synoptically speaking, the difference from an elevated cluster of heavy rain/embedded severe thunderstorms with hail and a cold pool organizing into a progressive derecho aren't all that different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted July 25, 2012 Share Posted July 25, 2012 nice. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html ...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM OH TO PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST... ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES/MID-MS VALLEY NEWD TO SRN NEW ENGLAND... ...POTENTIAL FOR A WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND EVENT/DERECHO ON THU AFTERNOON FROM PARTS OF THE MIDWEST TO THE NORTHEAST... ...SYNOPSIS... VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER THE SRN CANADIAN PRAIRIES WILL MOVE SEWD AND REACH THE UPPER GREAT LAKES BY EARLY FRI...WITH A MODERATELY FAST ZONAL FLOW REGIME EXISTING DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE NERN CONUS. AT THE SURFACE...A WARM FRONT WILL ADVANCE NEWD IN THE NORTHEAST AND SHOULD REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY ACROSS THE CNTRL GREAT LAKES. A SERIES OF WEAK CYCLONES SHOULD BE PREVALENT ALONG THIS BOUNDARY...WHICH WILL INTERSECT A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT MOVING SEWD FROM THE MID-MS VALLEY TO THE SRN PLAINS. IN THE WEST...MID-LEVEL RIDGING WILL BUILD FROM THE SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. ...MID-MS/OH VALLEYS TO THE NORTHEAST/SRN NEW ENGLAND... CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO GROW WITH POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS ORGANIZED SEVERE TSTMS...PARTICULARLY FROM THE MIDWEST TO THE NORTHEAST. AN MCS SHOULD BE ONGOING ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...SUPPORTED BY AN INITIAL MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX AND ROBUST LOW-LEVEL WAA ADVECTION. THIS SHOULD RETARD THE NERN ADVANCEMENT OF THE WARM FRONT AND SUBSEQUENT EVOLUTION OF THIS ACTIVITY DOES BREED UNCERTAINTY OVER WHERE THE FRONT WILL ULTIMATELY ANCHOR. AN EXPANSIVE UNCAPPED WARM SECTOR CHARACTERIZED BY 90S/60S SURFACE TEMPERATURES/DEW POINTS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MODERATE TO STRONG BUOYANCY THU AFTERNOON WITH MLCAPE OF 2000-4000 J/KG. A LARGE SWATH OF 30-50 KT 700-500 MB WLYS WILL OVERLAP THIS INSTABILITY...AND WITH WEAK MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS COMBINING WITH FRONTAL CONVERGENCE...THIS SETUP WILL YIELD SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS FORMING ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. THE UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILES AND STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD SUPPORT UPSCALE GROWTH INTO SEVERAL CLUSTERS WITH BOWING SEGMENTS AND EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. DAMAGING WINDS /POTENTIALLY WIDESPREAD AND SIGNIFICANT/ WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT. A RELATIVELY NARROW CORRIDOR OF ENHANCED TORNADO RISK SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG THE WARM FRONTAL ZONE WHERE EFFECTIVE SRH AND STRONGEST DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL BE MAXIMIZED. ALTHOUGH PINPOINTING THIS CORRIDOR IS DIFFICULT GIVEN LIKELIHOOD OF PRECEDING OVERNIGHT CONVECTION...IT APPEARS MOST PROBABLE FROM PARTS OF NY INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND. SOME CONVECTION-ALLOWING GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT DISCRETE CONVECTION MAY FORM WITHIN A PERSISTING WAA REGIME THU AFTERNOON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 815 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2012 NYZ001>004-010>014-019>021-085-260715- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING- LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA... JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 815 PM EDT WED JUL 25 2012 ...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT... A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES THIS EVENING WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AND PUSH ACROSS THE WESTERN COUNTIES OF NEW YORK AFTER 2 AM. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE PART OF AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE...MOISTURE RICH AIRMASS THAT WILL SUPPORT VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS...LEADING TO A HEIGHTENED THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER. THE GREATEST THREAT WILL BE IN THE FORM OF DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...ALONG WITH VERY FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. THERE IS EVEN THE RISK OF AN ACTUAL DERECHO MOVING THROUGH THE REGION...WHICH COULD EASILY PRODUCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS... WHICH COULD POTENTIALLY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...PARTICULARLY IN URBAN AREAS. THE HIGHEST CHANCE FOR THE STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE OVER THE FAR WESTERN COUNTIES BETWEEN 2 AM AND 5 AM EDT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 MCS really starting to take shape fast. Looking dangerous already. Also looks to be much furtherm south than modeled. This is going to be a NASTY night. Cant wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Growing larger and stronger by the second. http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/centgrtlakes_loop.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 That line near Flint Michigan looks absolutely ridiculous...The stuff that looks to hit us does not look as bad, looks to be drifting farther south then models earlier indicated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 What a ****ing joke this year has been for severe weather. Another severe wx event blown. One boom of thunder literally and some showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Only 0.15" in the rain gauge. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Looks like the hpc advances the warm front more north now, around gfl. If this is the case, significant instability between 1000-2000 j/kg will be present in the Albany area, especially with the breaks in the clouds currently over parts of cny. Both the hrrr and the nssl wrf have the development of a few supercells in the area, around 21z with 0-3km srh values around 150-250. The hrrr also seems to suggest the presence of some leftover mesoscale boundaries from this morning which could locally enhance helicity and convergence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gorizer Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Is the warm front moving up from the south or coming in from the west? Dew points south and southwest of Albany are still not very high... Binghamton 61 Poughkeepsie 64 NYC 61 I see western NY is in the juicy stuff with Buffalo at 70. Looks like the hpc advances the warm front more north now, around gfl. If this is the case, significant instability between 1000-2000 j/kg will be present in the Albany area, especially with the breaks in the clouds currently over parts of cny. Both the hrrr and the nssl wrf have the development of a few supercells in the area, around 21z with 0-3km srh values around 150-250. The hrrr also seems to suggest the presence of some leftover mesoscale boundaries from this morning which could locally enhance helicity and convergence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Is the warm front moving up from the south or coming in from the west? Dew points south and southwest of Albany are still not very high... Binghamton 61 Poughkeepsie 64 NYC 61 I see western NY is in the juicy stuff with Buffalo at 70. We still cant get any storms to fire. In fact the storms keep fizziling as they move towards BUF.http://radblast-mi.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/radar/WUNIDS_map?station=BUF&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=N0R&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&t=1342358210&lat=42.76443863&lon=-78.74652863&label=Orchard+Park%2C+NY&showstorms=0&map.x=400&map.y=240¢erx=400¢ery=240&transx=0&transy=0&showlabels=1&severe=0&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&smooth=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Is the warm front moving up from the south or coming in from the west? Dew points south and southwest of Albany are still not very high... Binghamton 61 Poughkeepsie 64 NYC 61 I see western NY is in the juicy stuff with Buffalo at 70. The front appears to be moving in from the west, oriented from nw to se. Meanwhile, we've had a few breaks of sunshine here in Albany. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gorizer Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Yup - we just had some sun here 25 miles west of Albany - but it's clouded back over again. Just a few tiny spots of blue in the cloud cover here and there. Hopefully the sun will work on eroding some of this cover this morning. The front appears to be moving in from the west, oriented from nw to se. Meanwhile, we've had a few breaks of sunshine here in Albany. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 525 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 210 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2012 TORNADO WATCH 525 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS NYC001-007-011-015-017-021-023-025-027-035-039-041-043-053-057- 065-067-077-083-091-093-095-097-099-101-105-107-109-111-113-115- 123-270100- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0525.120726T1810Z-120727T0100Z/ NY . NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALBANY BROOME CAYUGA CHEMUNG CHENANGO COLUMBIA CORTLAND DELAWARE DUTCHESS FULTON GREENE HAMILTON HERKIMER MADISON MONTGOMERY ONEIDA ONONDAGA OTSEGO RENSSELAER SARATOGA SCHENECTADY SCHOHARIE SCHUYLER SENECA STEUBEN SULLIVAN TIOGA TOMPKINS ULSTER WARREN WASHINGTON YATES Everything so far has stay south of I-86. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 400 PM EDT THU JUL 26 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN CHEMUNG COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW YORK... SOUTHERN TIOGA COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW YORK... NORTHEASTERN BRADFORD COUNTY IN NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA... * UNTIL 445 PM EDT. * AT 356 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF CHEMUNG...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH. * THE STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... CHEMUNG AND LOCKWOOD BY 405 PM EDT... LITCHFIELD...WAVERLY AND BARTON BY 410 PM EDT... NICHOLS AND LITCHFIELD BY 415 PM EDT... WINDHAM...TIOGA CENTER AND LOUNSBERRY BY 420 PM EDT... APALACHIN BY 425 PM EDT... TIOGA TERRACE BY 430 PM EDT... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 "I'll take stratiform rain for $200 please Alex." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 From TWC's twitter page: Roofs off buildings, trees down, people trapped in vehicles in Elmira, NY. Owego, Binghamton take shelter! wxch.nl/QLfULv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Pretty good shot of there being a tds just sw of Binghampton radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Here's a radar shot: AT 405 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS WERE TRACKING A TORNADO. A TORNADO WAS REPORTED TO HAVE TOUCHED DOWN IN THE CITY OF ELMIRA. THE STORM CONTAINING THE TORNADO HAS MOVED EAST OF ELMIRA AND WAS IN FAR EASTERN CHEMUNG COUNTY HEADING INTO WESTERN TIOGA COUNTY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Only 0.28" for the entire event so far with minimal thunder and lightning last night. What a letdown here. Look at the fricken donut hole over the BUF metro area... The area that has the worst drought in the state of NY, especally now. Were short on rainfall for the year over 6"! http://radblast-mi.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/radar/WUNIDS_map?station=BUF&brand=wui&num=6&delay=15&type=NTP&frame=0&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&t=1337709202&lat=42.76443863&lon=-78.74652863&label=Orchard+Park%2C+NY&showstorms=0&map.x=400&map.y=240¢erx=400¢ery=240&transx=0&transy=0&showlabels=1&severe=0&rainsnow=0&lightning=0&smooth=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted July 26, 2012 Share Posted July 26, 2012 Didn't read the discussion, so not really sure on SPC's decision to issue that TOR watch so far north, especially since this area was outside of their moderate risk area since the early morning outlook. Quite a bust north of Binghamton though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted July 27, 2012 Author Share Posted July 27, 2012 Some amount of hype on Albany media.... and a complete non event. I was up in the central Dacks near Indian and Blue Mountain Lakes and the people heard all the media and were telling us a possible tornado was coming. LOL Never a chance there of course because it was off and on cool rains all day. Back here a lot muggier, but not hot. 73 now. Spritzed for an hour. Didn't read the discussion, so not really sure on SPC's decision to issue that TOR watch so far north, especially since this area was outside of their moderate risk area since the early morning outlook. Quite a bust north of Binghamton though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNYLakeEffect Posted July 27, 2012 Share Posted July 27, 2012 1.26" of rain today, with a bit more coming through soon. 3.63" for the month, so below average but not bad considering other places. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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