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It Really Was a Heat Wave II (unless it wasn't, in which case it was weak sauce)- - Obs and Disco Late June/Early July 2012

HoarfrostHubb

By HoarfrostHubb,
in New England

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Mr Torchey

Mr Torchey

Posted
Posted

Lol...i was going to say that does not sound like him....looks like the streak ends in bos and nyc this month....ewr also has a shot depending on today...surprising i kno

lga jfk isp bdr and probably ewr all above normal. CP is -1, looks like they are safe

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted

like i've said in the past, you post in the wrong sub-forum:

lga = not new england

jfk = not new england

isp = wait, let me check...oh...still not new england

bdr = blah

I guess they are happy that 1 week out of the last 6 went 0.5 degrees in their direction. June went -3 though. :(

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Brian5671

Brian5671

Posted
Posted

Don S notes heat is likely to be worst 1st half of July.....Cool August likely if you go by El-nino analogs....NYC forum notes Euro hot after the 4th too. If we get big heat 1st half of July, will be hard to wipe out the positive anomolies unless we get something like Monday's cutoff a few times...

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Tropopause_Fold

Tropopause_Fold

Posted
Posted

Don S notes heat is likely to be worst 1st half of July.....Cool August likely if you go by El-nino analogs....NYC forum notes Euro hot after the 4th too. If we get big heat 1st half of July, will be hard to wipe out the positive anomolies unless we get something like Monday's cutoff a few times...

the euro didn't look overly warm to me through a good chunk of next week - it was definitely hot toward the second half of the run but the ensembles didn't look nearly as toasty.

as long as the core of that heat ridge remains where it is and we continue to have WNW flow aloft, we're going to get these relatively short-lived plumes of heat ejecting out of it but not sticking around too long. south of that axis, you are screwed and going to bake.

but we are also turning the calendar to july - so if its sunny...it's 80s at least so even though we say it doesn't look hot it doesn't mean the implication is cold/damp/stormy...just not oppressive weather for the time being.

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted

Don S notes heat is likely to be worst 1st half of July.....Cool August likely if you go by El-nino analogs....NYC forum notes Euro hot after the 4th too. If we get big heat 1st half of July, will be hard to wipe out the positive anomolies unless we get something like Monday's cutoff a few times...

He's not the only one thinking cooler August either. July also may have a back side cooler risk.. especially here.

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Mr Torchey

Mr Torchey

Posted
Posted

like i've said in the past, you post in the wrong sub-forum:

lga = not new england

jfk = not new england

isp = wait, let me check...oh...still not new england

bdr = blah

I was responding to a post regarding nyc made in this thread Phillip, I love being trolled by a met!

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
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Too early for ORH...a few tenths above normal compared to your +2 or better doesn't count.

NWS hasn't updated the departures since the 26th....but adding in ORH's 74/56 on the 27th and 81/59 yesterday...that puts them at -0.7F for the month with 2 days to go. They need to average +10 back to back days to make it above normal for the month. That won't be easy.

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Mr Torchey

Mr Torchey

Posted
Posted

NWS hasn't updated the departures since the 26th....but adding in ORH's 74/56 on the 27th and 81/59 yesterday...that puts them at -0.7F for the month with 2 days to go. They need to average +10 back to back days to make it above normal for the month. That won't be easy.

if you go to daily and click archives its there

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Damage In Tolland

Damage In Tolland

Posted
Posted

Don S notes heat is likely to be worst 1st half of July.....Cool August likely if you go by El-nino analogs....NYC forum notes Euro hot after the 4th too. If we get big heat 1st half of July, will be hard to wipe out the positive anomolies unless we get something like Monday's cutoff a few times...

Don is thinking above normal August..perhaps much above in his posts. Not below

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted

NWS hasn't updated the departures since the 26th....but adding in ORH's 74/56 on the 27th and 81/59 yesterday...that puts them at -0.7F for the month with 2 days to go. They need to average +10 back to back days to make it above normal for the month. That won't be easy.

I figured ORH may eek just below, but I didn't have the numbers.

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
Posted

if you go to daily and click archives its there

The 27th is incorrect on ORH in the daily archives, it had 62/56...if it was right, we'd have 0 chance to finish above normal. The actual that day was 74/56 I calculated the numbers based on 6 hour max/min.

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Mr Torchey

Mr Torchey

Posted
Posted

The 27th is incorrect on ORH in the daily archives, it had 62/56...if it was right, we'd have 0 chance to finish above normal. The actual that day was 74/56 I calculated the numbers based on 6 hour max/min.

I only looked at BOS, wow should look at the numbers again, whats the issue at box?

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Mr Torchey

Mr Torchey

Posted
Posted

all in good fun.

Nah, not meant in fun, you pick everything apart I post and jump on everything, and thats fine, I dont know you from Adam, internet personalities are just that, so its all lol. Perhaps, we can meet in person one day, and the online experience might be a little more smooth, in any case have an awesome day!

3 COTTON t's today just for blizzie! Wish it had not rained, this late start will be brutal.

Have the best day you have ever had, and enjoy the fire!

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