Damage In Tolland Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Sounds like a 3-5 Pony-o kind of day for some. Tie em back folks AS FOR TEMPS...ONCE WARM FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE AROUND MIDDAY TEMPS WILL SOAR INTO THE L90S AS 850 TEMPS CLIMB TO NEAR 20C! ...HOWEVER HIGH HUMIDITY WILL IMPACT THESE AREAS. NONETHELESS SUMMER-LIKE HEAT AND HUMIDITY FOR MOST OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND FRI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 New EC has a cold fropa next Wed for the region with a cooler day Thursday. It still looks like a series of hot shots followed by weak cold fronts to me. The EC ens are a little warmer, but have the same general idea. It is continuing to retrograde the ridge into the Rockies past d10 giving us more troughing, but in this pattern it probably only means cooldowns to near normal amidst any heat plumes that sneak in. I agree Brian, sounds like pretty normal summer stuff. However, would not be surprised at all to see a couple 2-4 day periods in July that roast with the ridge to our west, I think eventually it shifts east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 My guesses for July bdl +2.8 bos+2.1 pvd +1.8 orh+2.4 bdr+3.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 I'm reading the book, "In the Garden of Beasts" by Eric Larson. If any of you read Isaac's Storm he's the author of that as well. It is about the first US Ambassador to Germany after Hitler became Chancellor. Many interesting and indeed depressing things in the book but I can't help marvel over the similarity of the weather. Larson describes historic heatwaves in the 1930s which effected Europe AND the USA. 1936-7 and 2011-12.....the 2 biggest snow dead ratters. Extremely hot summers and one frigid winter...the coldest of the century in our neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 I'm reading the book, "In the Garden of Beasts" by Eric Larson. If any of you read Isaac's Storm he's the author of that as well. It is about the first US Ambassador to Germany after Hitler became Chancellor. Many interesting and indeed depressing things in the book but I can't help marvel over the similarity of the weather. Larson describes historic heatwaves in the 1930s which effected Europe AND the USA. 1936-7 and 2011-12.....the 2 biggest snow dead ratters. Extremely hot summers and one frigid winter...the coldest of the century in our neck of the woods. Next up, dust bowl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Late highs happening as planned... BED only now just struck 84... FIT at their high of 85. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 yeah, makes a lot of sense. 96-97 is what they are registering upstream in the source region. It's the DPs I'm interested in.. I have noticed this, too, about the NAM getting zealous with the 850mb temperatures 60 hours out. Yeah...there is a plume of high dews over Iowa and pooling eastward into MI. Looks like the high dews are north of a sfc axis of dilatation in the region with the really hot temps and low dews south of that boundary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Going by the FRH grid of the NAM over the last few cycles...it's really only up toward ALB-BOS that it is shaving back the heat - LGA and PHL haven't really budged. Fine by me. My house does not have A.C. in the central living area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Yeah...there is a plume of high dews over Iowa and pooling eastward into MI. Looks like the high dews are north of a sfc axis of dilatation in the region with the really hot temps and low dews south of that boundary. I don't know what's worse 106/63, or 97/75 Fascinating plume of DP - I was reading once a Met paper about the effects of concentrated mid west agriculture on theta-e distribution. That almost looks like a pool resulting from crop-based evapotranspiration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 28, 2012 Author Share Posted June 28, 2012 I'm reading the book, "In the Garden of Beasts" by Eric Larson. If any of you read Isaac's Storm he's the author of that as well. It is about the first US Ambassador to Germany after Hitler became Chancellor. Many interesting and indeed depressing things in the book but I can't help marvel over the similarity of the weather. Larson describes historic heatwaves in the 1930s which effected Europe AND the USA. 1936-7 and 2011-12.....the 2 biggest snow dead ratters. Extremely hot summers and one frigid winter...the coldest of the century in our neck of the woods. Eric Larson also wrote the Devil in the White City (also great), and one about Marconi (I forget the title). The book you are reading is next on my "to read" list after I finish this Stephen King monster... That would be interesting if we had a mega cold winter after this past year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Ryan has 5 of the next 7 days at 90 or above ..How can you ask for anything more than that? I guess just ask for high dews like we'll have tomorrow for the entire weekend instead of mid 60's like we'll see Sat/Sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 That almost looks like a pool resulting from crop-based evapotranspiration. Yeah...I agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 I don't know what's worse 106/63, or 97/75 Fascinating plume of DP - I was reading once a Met paper about the effects of concentrated mid west agriculture on theta-e distribution. That almost looks like a pool resulting from crop-based evapotranspiration. I can almost guarantee that some of that dew point pool is crop based. This is when growth really starts to take off, especially the month of July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Eric Larson also wrote the Devil in the White City (also great), and one about Marconi (I forget the title). The book you are reading is next on my "to read" list after I finish this Stephen King monster... That would be interesting if we had a mega cold winter after this past year... I'm almost finished with my sci -fi novel, Dominia Yeah, I read "Isaac's Storm". One of my favorite passages was when the kids were playing in the water as the waves began crashing up on to the streets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 28, 2012 Author Share Posted June 28, 2012 "Thunderstruck" was the Marconi one...pretty good read Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Really sharp Td gradient tomorrow morning W-E across the OH Valley along that wind shift. To answer Tip...I think I'd take the 105/55 over 97/75. At least I can block the sun out of the house during the day and cool it off inside at night with window fans assuming we radiate into the 60s with the lower dews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Eric Larson also wrote the Devil in the White City (also great), and one about Marconi (I forget the title). The book you are reading is next on my "to read" list after I finish this Stephen King monster... That would be interesting if we had a mega cold winter after this past year... I read Devil in the White City...the first of his books I read...probably 10-15 years ago? I think I was in South Africa whlie reading it. The climate parallel is eerie though from the 30s to now. The warmth is more persistent now for probably reasons that shouldn't be discussed in this particular forum or thread but the overall pattern was the same in many ways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Based on now-cast alone ... it would appear there is a chance that the shave back on highs for Friday may turn out to be a mistake. Flint Michigan ob: 16:53 W 15 10.00 A Few Clouds FEW075 99 71 41% NA 108 That's our air mass source for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Based on now-cast alone ... it would appear there is a chance that the shave back on highs for Friday may turn out to be a mistake. Flint Michigan ob: 16:53 W 15 10.00 A Few Clouds FEW075 99 71 41% NA 108 That's our air mass source for tomorrow. They have 24C 850s overhead right now...we're not getting that warm aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Yeah, I'm out by the Ypsilanti, MI (Willow Run) airport. Their 5PM official observation was 105/71, bringing a heat index of 115. It's brutal. Based on now-cast alone ... it would appear there is a chance that the shave back on highs for Friday may turn out to be a mistake. Flint Michigan ob: 16:53 W 15 10.00 A Few Clouds FEW075 99 71 41% NA 108 That's our air mass source for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Wow. MDW SA 2151 AO2A 55 SCT E200 BKN 9 066/100/75/2910G15/977/ CB DSNT N $= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Ryan has 5 of the next 7 days at 90 or above ..How can you ask for anything more than that? We are going to use your wishing for heat as a scapegoat this winter if it's warm and rainy. I can picture this post in January..."Ryan has 5 of the next 7 days at 50F or higher...what more can we ask for." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 We are going to use your wishing for heat as a scapegoat this winter if it's warm and rainy. I can picture this post in January..."Ryan has 5 of the next 7 days at 50F or higher...what more can we ask for." I look forward to talking about any potential rain event in January, just because it will make Kevin cry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 28, 2012 Author Share Posted June 28, 2012 Yeah, I'm out by the Ypsilanti, MI (Willow Run) airport. Their 5PM official observation was 105/71, bringing a heat index of 115. It's brutal. Awful stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 28, 2012 Author Share Posted June 28, 2012 I look forward to talking about any potential rain event in January, just because it will make Kevin cry. I thought you mets don't troll? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 I look forward to talking about any potential rain event in January, just because it will make Kevin cry. Sou'Easter with damaging wind staying at 2K feet above the inversion! Exciting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 No shortage of CAPE in NW IL/E IA today lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 I thought you mets don't troll? It's not. When he claims snow in the interior with +4 850 temps..I'll remind him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 It's not. When he claims snow in the interior with +4 850 temps..I'll remind him. It's about meteorology not modelology! Who cares if the ECM has +4C? It'll trend south, no doubt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 It's about meteorology not modelology! Who cares if the ECM has +4C? It'll trend south, no doubt Strong VVs will flash us over to S+. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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