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It Really Was a Heat Wave II (unless it wasn't, in which case it was weak sauce)- - Obs and Disco Late June/Early July 2012


HoarfrostHubb

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I don't see this being very close at all to that. But I could be wrong. I was a bit surprised by the last wave...alas that had 850 temps a bit warmer though and my surprise was more from 3-4 days out, and not the night before.

as i recall Will 3-4 days out 850 temps were 20-22c but as we got closer to event 850's were more like 18.5-19c per SPC mesoscale on the pm hours in boston with dews in mid 60's on the sat/sun days.

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Euro cooled its 850 temps by like 1-2C for tomorrow...it had been the warmest up to this point.

I'm very skeptical of the idea of challenging record highs for tomorrow which is currently being forecast by some. BOS can probably approach 95 which is the current record for 6/30. ORH is 92, but I thinkl that is going to be hard. I think PVD's 98 and BDL's 100 have bascally zero shot.

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as i recall Will 3-4 days out 850 temps were 20-22c but as we got closer to event 850's were more like 18.5-19c per SPC mesoscale on the pm hours in boston with dews in mid 60's on the sat/sun days.

I recall the Euro upping the 850 temps as we got closer, then at the last second lowering them, but still higher than what it had 4 days out.

BOS hit 97F on 6/20..and soundings show that 850 temps were around 21C.

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ORH hit 92F that day...its hard for me to believe they can even hit 90F with like +17-18 unless its perfect NW flow with good dry downsloping and winds aren't progged to be that. Usually SW wind at +18 for ORH always results in like 88-89F....but perhaps 90F tomorrow because we do have this drier airmass.

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here's kevin's heat wave

Ensembles def support a warmup again around then...obviousl not as robust as the OP, but I think def good enough for a day or three of widespread 90s in SNE...esp when you account for the ensembles bias against the 5H mean vs 850 temps. (in both directions)

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BDL registered a 67 but may or nay not have gotten cooler...so this is going to be close fr them if they put up like a 98 today...96/67 would be +9.5. 98/67 would easily be +11, and put them plus for the month.

So Kevin's "all 4 SNE stations will finish above nornmal" statement exactly 2 weeks ago will come down to BDL's high temp today I think to keep him from getting skunked on all 4. ORH still has an outside chance if they can go like 94 today, but I actually think they might struggle to make 91F...we'll see though.

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Low of 68.7 here/58 currently. Still a hot run this morning with biting flies on the attack. Saw lots more tree damage in the area that was blocked off by wires last weekend.

Good luck to everyone in Ct today as we go for another month above normal in the never ebding string.

Euro and GFS both have 100+ next Saturday BTW

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Good example how ORH can't radiate...as soon as they try and cool, it spikes back up on the hill, there.

http://www.weather.g...story/KORH.html

Look versus ORE in an elevated valley:

http://www.weather.g...story/KORE.html

Oh, so familiar.

Got down to 58F in our little hollow last night. That should make for an impressive temp. swing today. 30+ degrees.

Up the hill got down to 64*--thanks for stealing my cool. Regardless, the 50* dp was still comfortable.

Already up to 69.9/53. Today's run has to be better than the one I went on at 1:00p.m. yesterday close to the 87.5* high.

P/C has me getting to 86* today, 85* tomorrow. Yuck.

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Try and stay cool today either at a pool/beach or a/c. Hope everyone has access to at least one of those. Otherwise we feel for you

Won't be life-threatening here - may not hit 90° - but I'll be putting my buff bod on display at Old Orchard Beach today. Maybe grab some pier fries while I'm at it. I will pray for those in CT today.

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