ORH_wxman Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Here are the MOS numbers FWIW: BOS.....MAV: 93F MET: 94 ORH.....MAV: 91F MET: 90 BED.....MAV: 95 MET: 95 BDL......MAV: 96 MET 97 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 I don't see this being very close at all to that. But I could be wrong. I was a bit surprised by the last wave...alas that had 850 temps a bit warmer though and my surprise was more from 3-4 days out, and not the night before. as i recall Will 3-4 days out 850 temps were 20-22c but as we got closer to event 850's were more like 18.5-19c per SPC mesoscale on the pm hours in boston with dews in mid 60's on the sat/sun days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Euro cooled its 850 temps by like 1-2C for tomorrow...it had been the warmest up to this point. I'm very skeptical of the idea of challenging record highs for tomorrow which is currently being forecast by some. BOS can probably approach 95 which is the current record for 6/30. ORH is 92, but I thinkl that is going to be hard. I think PVD's 98 and BDL's 100 have bascally zero shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 as i recall Will 3-4 days out 850 temps were 20-22c but as we got closer to event 850's were more like 18.5-19c per SPC mesoscale on the pm hours in boston with dews in mid 60's on the sat/sun days. I recall the Euro upping the 850 temps as we got closer, then at the last second lowering them, but still higher than what it had 4 days out. BOS hit 97F on 6/20..and soundings show that 850 temps were around 21C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 yup euro def cooled at 24hrs comp. with last nite's run . i mean i don't have the 6hr 18z temp's but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 ORH hit 92F that day...its hard for me to believe they can even hit 90F with like +17-18 unless its perfect NW flow with good dry downsloping and winds aren't progged to be that. Usually SW wind at +18 for ORH always results in like 88-89F....but perhaps 90F tomorrow because we do have this drier airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 didn't realize soundings showed 21c for boston on that saturday.....the plymouth state show kalb had 18.4c at 12z on 6/20 and 20.2c at 0z 6/21 but latest euro trends re 850's seem to put nail in 100F coffin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Upper 50s showing up at some typical elevated valleys right now...what a night. That's what low dew will do with a bit of decoupling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 56/54, just had a bear attack the outbuilding that houses our trash barrels.Didn't get to the trash but made enough noise to wake me up. Stupid bears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 here's kevin's heat wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 here's kevin's heat wave Ensembles def support a warmup again around then...obviousl not as robust as the OP, but I think def good enough for a day or three of widespread 90s in SNE...esp when you account for the ensembles bias against the 5H mean vs 850 temps. (in both directions) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Good example how ORH can't radiate...as soon as they try and cool, it spikes back up on the hill, there. http://www.weather.gov/obhistory/KORH.html Look versus ORE in an elevated valley: http://www.weather.gov/obhistory/KORE.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 BDL registered a 67 but may or nay not have gotten cooler...so this is going to be close fr them if they put up like a 98 today...96/67 would be +9.5. 98/67 would easily be +11, and put them plus for the month. So Kevin's "all 4 SNE stations will finish above nornmal" statement exactly 2 weeks ago will come down to BDL's high temp today I think to keep him from getting skunked on all 4. ORH still has an outside chance if they can go like 94 today, but I actually think they might struggle to make 91F...we'll see though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Low of 68.7 here/58 currently. Still a hot run this morning with biting flies on the attack. Saw lots more tree damage in the area that was blocked off by wires last weekend. Good luck to everyone in Ct today as we go for another month above normal in the never ebding string. Euro and GFS both have 100+ next Saturday BTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Got down to 58F in our little hollow last night. That should make for an impressive temp. swing today. 30+ degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 With hot dry conditions ruling the weather this week I bet we see some brush fires from people setting off backyard fireworks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Good example how ORH can't radiate...as soon as they try and cool, it spikes back up on the hill, there. http://www.weather.g...story/KORH.html Look versus ORE in an elevated valley: http://www.weather.g...story/KORE.html Oh, so familiar. Got down to 58F in our little hollow last night. That should make for an impressive temp. swing today. 30+ degrees. Up the hill got down to 64*--thanks for stealing my cool. Regardless, the 50* dp was still comfortable. Already up to 69.9/53. Today's run has to be better than the one I went on at 1:00p.m. yesterday close to the 87.5* high. P/C has me getting to 86* today, 85* tomorrow. Yuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 100 degrees next Sat and Sunday..hopefully we can also get in on the derecho action they've had in the midwest and not just the high heat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Chilly in New Brunswick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Best of luck to BDL today, you can do it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 81/65 cool and crisp start to the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 bocce ball bonanza today at the beach! I think we should have a tanning contest/thread!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 65/63, a morning low of 53, looks like mid 80's here today. What a flop of a heat wave. LOL @ the torch twins wringing their hands hoping the tarmac at BDL heats up enough to give them a + 0.01 positive departure for June. Face it boys, it's over Johnny, it's over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 This country is on fire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Try and stay cool today either at a pool/beach or a/c. Hope everyone has access to at least one of those. Otherwise we feel for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 skimrg>its chilly today, its been a chilly two years, its always cold at 2k<skimrg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Try and stay cool today either at a pool/beach or a/c. Hope everyone has access to at least one of those. Otherwise we feel for you Please. I'm going to walk 18 mid-day. Should be pleasantly warm. You are a fear mongerer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 30, 2012 Author Share Posted June 30, 2012 I hope today is as "hot" as yesterday...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 Try and stay cool today either at a pool/beach or a/c. Hope everyone has access to at least one of those. Otherwise we feel for you Won't be life-threatening here - may not hit 90° - but I'll be putting my buff bod on display at Old Orchard Beach today. Maybe grab some pier fries while I'm at it. I will pray for those in CT today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted June 30, 2012 Share Posted June 30, 2012 I hope today is as "hot" as yesterday...lol Me too!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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