Jump to content

  • Member Statistics

    17,586
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

It Really Was a Heat Wave II (unless it wasn't, in which case it was weak sauce)- - Obs and Disco Late June/Early July 2012

HoarfrostHubb

By HoarfrostHubb,
in New England

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.2k
  • Created
  • Last Reply
OceanStWx

OceanStWx

Posted
Posted

UPDATED MORNING PRELIMS SIMPLIFY THE ABOVE SOLUTION USING GFS

ENSEMBLE MEANS THROUGH DAY 5 TUES THEN A MIXTURE OF GFS AND ECMWF

MEANS USED DAYS 6 AND 7 WED/THURS. THIS RESULTS IN ONLY MINOR

FRONTAL CHANGES FROM OVERNIGHT PROGS. CONCERNING THE FORECAST HEAT

IN THE SHORT RANGE AND EARLY PORTIONS OF THE MEDIUM RANGE AS IT

ADVECTS EASTWARD...PERSISTENT AND CONSISTENT MODEL FORECASTS OF

H850 TEMPERATURES IN EXCESS OF 24C EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS ARE

RARELY IF EVER SEEN OR FORECAST BY MODELS AND COVER FAIRLY BROAD

AREAS. THIS ALONG WITH VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN

WIDESPREAD DAILY AND POSSIBLY SOME ALL TIME TEMPERATURE RECORDS

OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN CONUS.

They are not talking New England, but interesting sentiment nonetheless.

Check out RAH's AFD, only twice since 1948 have 850 mb temperatures on the GSO sounding been observed at +25 or greater. Model forecasts are for +26 this weekend.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted

I said today had a shot at 90 at BDL and an 88 looks likely. Where us the cold wet full week you promised everyone and cool ending to June? It's 100% opposite of your forecast lol

Never said cold, your invention, Monday was cold however. 23-30th cool down, obviously Bob changed my title so you would never know, go back and read the thread though. Admitted I got the last two days wrong. I said week averages out -2 and would be wrong. so far since the 23rd -5 near my hood, today was cool this AM 58 

23  82  60  71   4      
24  79  59  69   2       
25  69  58  64  -4   
26  67  54  61  -7

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted

Buy your corn and grains now.

As a met, it's pretty scary to see how this country will bake for the most part. This is bad stuff.

Isnt the average high like 95-97 in Iowa this time of year anyways though?. I realize it is crazy hot but what are we talking for SDs and length of heat wave

Link to comment
Share on other sites
CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted

Isnt the average high like 95-97 in Iowa this time of year anyways though?. I realize it is crazy hot but what are we talking for SDs and length of heat wave

Hill City KS has been over 110 for like 5 days in a row when the normal is 88. This isn't the srn Plains...this goes to KS,NE and down into the deep south. Corn and Soy FTL.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Damage In Tolland

Damage In Tolland

Posted
Posted

Never said cold, your invention, Monday was cold however. 23-30th cool down, obviously Bob changed my title so you would never know, go back and read the thread though. Admitted I got the last two days wrong. I said week averages out -2 and would be wrong. so far since the 23rd -5 near my hood, today was cool this AM 58

23  82  60  71   4	  
24  79  59  69   2	  
25  69  58  64  -4  
26  67  54  61  -7

2 slightly below normal days during a week when we were promised a full week of cold, wet conditions, with wild noreasters and a cool ending to June?

Ouch

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted

Hill City KS has been over 110 for like 5 days in a row when the normal is 88. This isn't the srn Plains...this goes to KS,NE and down into the deep south. Corn and Soy FTL.

Got to like when the HI is below your actual temp of 115, nice cool breeze brought it down to 107

27 15:53 S 22 G 35 10.00 Fair and Breezy CLR 115 36 7% NA 107 29.71 1002.3

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Damage In Tolland

Damage In Tolland

Posted
Posted

Done with your lies Kev, just done, post some links or go home. LOL

Dude. I distinctly recall you posting some euro maps of a wild June noreaster and Will making a few comments saying it was possible..and gave another year where it happned. I don't know what thread it was in..You also made a post which stuck with me from the beginning about the last week of June being a cold, wet week. Again I don't know what thread it was in, but I know you recall doing it

Link to comment
Share on other sites
ski MRG

ski MRG

Posted
Posted

Dude. I distinctly recall you posting some euro maps of a wild June noreaster and Will making a few comments saying it was possible..and gave another year where it happned. I don't know what thread it was in..You also made a post which stuck with me from the beginning about the last week of June being a cold, wet week. Again I don't know what thread it was in, but I know you recall doing it

Just wrapped up a cold, wet stretch here. You're never outside so I forgive you for not noticing.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
OceanStWx

OceanStWx

Posted
Posted

Isnt the average high like 95-97 in Iowa this time of year anyways though?. I realize it is crazy hot but what are we talking for SDs and length of heat wave

Low to mid 80s for this time of year. Des Moines is 85, Cedar Rapids 83, etc.

The swings can certainly be a little wilder out that way, but this kind of heat is oppressive for them for sure.

+31 on the Lincoln, IL sounding at 850 this morning. Toasty.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted

Low to mid 80s for this time of year. Des Moines is 85, Cedar Rapids 83, etc.

The swings can certainly be a little wilder out that way, but this kind of heat is oppressive for them for sure.

+31 on the Lincoln, IL sounding at 850 this morning. Toasty.

Brutal out there. Saw that HI of 107 with a temp of 115 and had to chuckle.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
OceanStWx

OceanStWx

Posted
Posted

Brutal out there. Saw that HI of 107 with a temp of 115 and had to chuckle.

Regarding your anomaly question, depending on the guidance, we're talking anywhere from +3 to +4 SD at 850. Definitely record warm temp aloft territory.

Also the anomalies peak in the Carolinas this weekend around +5 and 850 and 925. 90 holes of golf in 4 days FTL...

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted

Regarding your anomaly question, depending on the guidance, we're talking anywhere from +3 to +4 SD at 850. Definitely record warm temp aloft territory.

Also the anomalies peak in the Carolinas this weekend around +5 and 850 and 925. 90 holes of golf in 4 days FTL...

Wow. Thank God for New England. No need for a Tippy Toaster just lay on the asphalt and play the Pink Floyd .

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Baroclinic Zone

Baroclinic Zone

Posted
Posted

Garth and I both only hit 89 the last day. do you have your station data log, would love to see the trace. I see SW winds cutting into the 3 day 90 from ORH East. I also said today would not be 90 like you claimed yesterday from ORH east low 80, upper 70s right now. Of course your summer cottage on the Tarmac at BDL will have a heat wave, no doubt.

FYP because of the lie.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Go to topic listing

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...