Thundersnow12 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Red box up for parts of MN and currently a tornado warned supercell northeast of Wadena with an impressive mid-level meso. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Impressive supercell E of Wadena, MN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 I was just looking at the hourly obs from Windsor ON across from Detroit -- 38 C at 6 p.m. (100 F) and then 18 C (65 F) at 7 p.m. but the winds with that storm were SSE veering to SW. Quite unusual to see that big a drop without a northerly component for the downdraft, but it is what it is. 22z RAP sounding for Detroit showed quite a bit of dry air just above the level of saturation (LCL), almost a pseudo-inverted v type of sounding (dewpoint depression of nearly 40 degrees) thanks to some lowering of the dewpoints near the surface. Thus you had the really low wet bulb temperatures, which is what you observed, even despite the lack of any large scale airmass change. Downdraft cape was about about 1500-2000 J/KG as the storms moved through, which only enhanced the downward momentum of that air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Storms picking up over lm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 If the last two days produced for SEMI, I see no reason why tomorrow shouldn't... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 If the last two days produced for SEMI, I see no reason why tomorrow shouldn't... As long as that boundary stays in the area it should, not to mention the batch of storms moving through the state should lay down some outflow boundaries that could focus convection too. Plus any sort of lake breeze or differential heating boundary in the area. Lastly depending how hot we get we could just approach the convective temp for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Nice looking batch of storms making it's way here. Too bad I have to get up so darn early for work. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Nice looking batch of storms making it's way here. Too bad I have to get up so darn early for work. Oh well. Yeah it has maintained itself nicely as it has crossed the lake and into Michigan. With new cells starting to form out ahead of it too, maybe a WAA wing trying to form. If that is the case it probably won't be weakening any time soon. Last couple of frames it looks like it is trying to jog a bit more to the ESE than it has been, which would put it much closer to the Metro area compared to what I originally thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Per latest md spc will put out a watch for parts of grr and dtx cwa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Per latest md spc will put out a watch for parts of grr and dtx cwa DISCUSSION...SMALL MCS WITH A HISTORY OF WIND DAMAGE WILL CONTINUE SEWD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA EARLY THIS MORNING. THE COMBINATION OF A WARM AND MOIST INFLOW AIR MASS AND MODERATELY STRONG DEEP...NWLY SHEAR WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF FORWARD-PROPAGATION/ACCELERATION WITH A RISK FOR MAINLY DAMAGING WINDS. Looks like I am staying up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Wondering if being a zombie at work is worth staying up for this thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettman320 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Damnit I really need sleep. It's been weather weenie's wet dream around here lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Wondering if being a zombie at work is worth staying up for this thing. Nah I think later today will be more chances, unless you like lots of lightning at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Damnit I really need sleep. It's been weather weenie's wet dream around here lately. Yeah it has been, thankfully I work the vampire shift mostly (mids) so this is prime time for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Really starting to bow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Really starting to bow. I hate to say this but I think the worst might miss you to the North, at least as it looks now. Unless the line bows out more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Looks like Powerball weenie bait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 I hate to say this but I think the worst might miss you to the North, at least as it looks now. Unless the line bows out more. It's all good. I'm probably getting the stuff in livingston that is strengthening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 It's all good. I'm probably getting the stuff in livingston that is strengthening. Yeah last few frames that stuff is going upward. might be a hit for everyone in the metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Some of these reports coming in are crazy. Widespread wind damage looks likely for Detroit area. I dont like the look of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettman320 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Some of these reports coming in are crazy. Widespread wind damage looks likely for Detroit area. I dont like the look of it. Agree hearing about lots of damage over the scanner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Great velocity presentation on this sucker from DTX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 KFNT 050825Z 30037G55KT 1/2SM +TSRA FG BKN014 BKN020 OVC050 20/18 A3000 RMK AO2 PK WND 29055/0823 WSHFT 0803 LTG DSNT S-NW TSB03RAB07 P0009 RVRNO 63mph gust at Flint Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Wowee.. Just woke up from the sound of the wind alone. Sounds vicious out there... I'll go out and look for any damage in the morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 You can tell it is July 5th, Pontiac is reporting smoke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettman320 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Most intense velocities look to be coming my way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 0315 AM TSTM WND DMG ST. JOHNS 43.00N 84.56W 07/05/2012 CLINTON MI COUNTY OFFICIAL ESTIMATED OVER 100 TREES WERE DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY. SEVERAL ROADS BLOCKED BY FALLEN TREES. WORST HIT AREA WAS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTY. 0315 AM TSTM WND DMG NORTH STAR 43.25N 84.54W 07/05/2012 GRATIOT MI COUNTY OFFICIAL NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY. WORST HIT AREAS WERE NORTH OF M-57 AND THE TOWN OF NORTH STAR This was right when it bowed out as it crossed the US-127 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjwise Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Was just woken up by the gust front near ARB. I can't believe this actually managed to develop out of what was left when I went to bed 5 hours ago. The HRRR was struggling to develop something in its runs but I figured nothing would come of it. Poor model performance sniffing this one out, I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 Pretty solid storm on the East side, I'd say we gusted to about 50. Saw some transformer flashes off in the distance to my Northeast too. Going to be a tough day to go without power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettman320 Posted July 5, 2012 Share Posted July 5, 2012 It wasn't a big deal here. Just some gusty winds and heavy rain. Oh well I didn't want to lose power anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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