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June 28-July 8th Severe Potential


Chicago Storm

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500k still no power in ohio.....about 135k in franklin county alone. Much like the Ike windstorm in 2009, they are saying some could go 5-7 days without. With utility crews spread thin all throughout the midatlantic as well as midwest, and the possibility of additional similar severe wx... :yikes: Ugh...imagine no power and upper 90's.

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Bump that boundary further north please!

It looks to remain over Indiana for at least today and tomorrow, possibly getting pushed up your way by Monday-Tuesday. It will then be your turn for wind damage, power outages and the resulting increase in baby powder sales due to lack of AC.

I know that we have to put up with this type of weather in this part of the country, but I'd take a good ol' supercell anyday over a derecho.

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It looks to remain over Indiana for at least today and tomorrow, possibly getting pushed up your way by Monday-Tuesday. It will then be your turn for wind damage, power outages and the resulting increase in baby powder sales due to lack of AC.

I know that we have to put up with this type of weather in this part of the country, but I'd take a good ol' supercell anyday over a derecho.

I'll tell you this, if I lose power a hotel in the area will be appreciating my business.

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surprisingly quiet across the ridge this morning...the whole region will become extremely unstable...wonder if we'll see a decent trigger. (clearly not talking imby but area wide)

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL

1135 AM CDT SAT JUN 30 2012

.MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...

1131 AM CDT

FORECAST CHALLENGES CONTINUE WITH SHOWER/THUNDERSTORMS TRENDS

THROUGH MID DAY AS WELL AS INTO THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

HAVE MADE SOME MINOR EDITS TO POP/WX AND CLOUD COVER GRIDS IN THE

NEAR TERM TO REFLECT LATEST TRENDS AS WELL AS A DECENT CHANCE FOR

ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY

EVENING. LATEST RADAR IMAGERY IS SHOWING AN AREA OF SHOWERS WITH

SOME ISOLATED THUNDER WITH IT CURRENTLY MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST FROM

AN AREA FROM SOUTHERN LA SALLE COUNTY SOUTHEAST TO IROQUOIS COUNTY

IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS. THIS IS WEAKLY FORCED AND ASSOCIATED WITH A

WEAK MID LEVEL WAVE SHIFTING THROUGH THE REGION. EXPECT THESE

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE THROUGH THIS GENERAL AREA

THROUGH MID DAY...BUT WITH NO SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED WITH THESE

STORMS DURING THIS TIME. CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS FOR POSSIBLE

REDEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AS A MID LEVEL

FEATURE NOTED ON LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY TO THE NORTHWEST ONCE

AGAIN DROPS SOUTHEAST AND ENCOUNTERS A LINGERING BOUNDARY DRAPED

ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS. FORCING ALONG WITH STRONG HEATING AND

MORE THAN SUFFICIENT MOISTURE PROVIDING A STRONGLY UNSTABLE

ENVIRONMENT SHOULD ALLOW FOR DEVELOPMENT ALONG THIS FRONT BY THIS

AFTERNOON. STEEP LOW TO MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND THIS ABUNDANCE

OF MOISTURE WILL ONCE AGAIN BRING THE POSSIBILITY OF LARGE HAIL

AND DAMAGING WINDS WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO

THE EVENING EXPECTED FOR AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80.

Looks like we will, and more in my neck of the woods today :) Btw, I got some AMAZING shelf cloud pictures in Sterling, IL last night which I will post when I get them uploaded.

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Saw that there have been 12 fatalities from yesterday's derecho.

Really could have been much much worse especially in my area. As i mentioned yesterday or at least i think i did, there was going to be an event at Wright Patt AFB called Tattoo and around 80,000 people were estimated to be there. Due to the timing of the storm, the organizers were able to tell everyone to stay at home so we could avoid a repeat of what happened in Indy last year. Good thing too because it was a mess after all was said and done.

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Decent amount of non-severe activity along the kinda sorta retreating warm front...thinking there is a good chance it will be just enough to help hold the favored track for this evenings action just south of my area...looks like another I80 special.

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