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Northeast Severe/Convective/Thunder thread IV


NJwinter23

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THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

WEST CENTRAL LITCHFIELD COUNTY IN NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...

NORTHERN DUTCHESS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK...

* UNTIL 215 PM EDT

* AT 115 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND

DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR

STANFORDVILLE...OR 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF RHINEBECK...AND MOVING EAST

AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...

MILLBROOK BY 125 PM EDT...

AMENIA AND DOVER PLAINS BY 145 PM EDT...

SHARON BY 155 PM EDT...

KENT BY 200 PM EDT...

CORNWALL BRIDGE POTTERY AND CORNWALL BRIDGE BY 210 PM EDT...

I'm at the gym but that sounds like a general trajectory towards here

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Unfortunately for you, you don't have the benefit of seeing his smiling, face on tv everyday..where in fact he drew an imaginary line from Storrs to HVN southeast for greatest risk of storms today.

I'm not saying I'll see a storm. I might not..All I'm saying there is a risk for storms anywhere south of pike today

I agree. I would think though the highest risk is south of 84, but like I said..I wouldn't rule out your area.

But his general thinking was correct as of this morning for highest risk.

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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 444

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

135 PM EDT SUN JUL 1 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CONNECTICUT

NORTHERN NEW JERSEY

SOUTHEAST NEW YORK

EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA

COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 135 PM UNTIL 800

PM EDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70

MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75

STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES EAST

NORTHEAST OF POUGHKEEPSIE NEW YORK TO 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF

TRENTON NEW JERSEY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE

THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 442...WW 443...

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG A

SURFACE TROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FROM SE NY INTO ERN PA/NRN NJ...AND

STORMS WILL SPREAD EWD/ESEWD ACROSS CT/LONG ISLAND THROUGH THE

AFTERNOON. MLCAPE HAS INCREASED TO 1500-2000 J/KG WITH SURFACE

HEATING...WHILE EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 35-40 KT WILL SUPPORT

ORGANIZED MULTICELLS/SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS

AND LARGE HAIL.

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